Realized P&L
-$318
Unrealized P&L
+$553
Hit rate
69.1%
Resolved
23
Trades
144
lifetime
Volume
$13.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$4.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-12
last 10-31 08:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
70% 38% -$132
Politics
22% 50% -$53
Tech
7% 50% -$134
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027 No +337 $240 86¢ $292 +$52 09-30 07:17
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +312 $220 80¢ $251 +$31 10-29 13:57
will oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +303 $200 80¢ $241 +$41 10-01 02:28
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +274 $200 84¢ $229 +$29 09-30 09:39
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +234 $180 84¢ $196 +$16 10-01 11:58
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028 No +234 $150 74¢ $175 +$25 10-02 06:59
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +178 $160 95¢ $169 +$9 09-28 00:07
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +192 $140 87¢ $167 +$27 10-01 19:13
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +167 $120 88¢ $148 +$28 10-03 16:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +168 $120 87¢ $146 +$26 10-21 11:43
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +159 $140 90¢ $142 +$2 10-17 10:09
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +162 $44 86¢ $139 +$95 08-13 05:20
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +152 $120 87¢ $132 +$13 10-25 18:57
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +161 $120 82¢ $131 +$12 10-18 03:21
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +155 $120 84¢ $131 +$12 10-16 12:34
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +162 $138 80¢ $129 -$9 10-18 11:44
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +166 $81 75¢ $124 +$44 08-21 09:02
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +134 $120 92¢ $123 +$3 10-30 04:47
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No +145 $120 84¢ $122 +$2 10-31 08:40
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +159 $100 70¢ $110 +$10 10-02 11:08
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? No +118 $110 93¢ $110 +$0 09-22 02:31
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +137 $100 80¢ $109 +$9 10-02 17:40
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +127 $100 85¢ $108 +$8 09-25 00:06
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +473 $100 22¢ $106 +$6 08-28 20:18
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +125 $100 82¢ $103 +$3 10-02 01:10
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +114 $100 90¢ $103 +$3 09-19 10:35
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +102 $60 92¢ $94 +$34 09-15 02:42
will alibaba be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230551 No +114 $68 82¢ $93 +$25 08-16 23:14
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +119 $100 78¢ $92 -$8 10-12 14:51
US recession by end of 2026? No +86 $75 94¢ $81 +$6 09-15 20:03