| 10-31 08:40:40 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
145 |
83¢ |
$120 |
0x41a7ef…
|
| 10-31 07:28:52 |
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?
|
No |
SELL |
207 |
94¢ |
$195 |
0x327f21…
|
| 10-30 04:47:42 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
134 |
89¢ |
$120 |
0xff1158…
|
| 10-29 22:00:15 |
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
|
Yes |
SELL |
125 |
96¢ |
$120 |
0x7754a4…
|
| 10-29 20:22:22 |
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
|
No |
SELL |
164 |
98¢ |
$161 |
0x7246e4…
|
| 10-29 20:17:21 |
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
45 |
96¢ |
$43 |
0x1cee2d…
|
| 10-29 13:57:13 |
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
147 |
75¢ |
$110 |
0x7b9120…
|
| 10-29 07:00:16 |
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
|
No |
BUY |
164 |
85¢ |
$140 |
0x37b660…
|
| 10-29 05:08:47 |
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
182 |
96¢ |
$174 |
0x45c062…
|
| 10-28 23:24:28 |
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
36 |
94¢ |
$34 |
0xfde8e5…
|
| 10-28 23:19:02 |
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
151 |
98¢ |
$147 |
0xdd89a0…
|
| 10-28 19:53:29 |
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
|
Yes |
BUY |
125 |
80¢ |
$100 |
0xa2b727…
|
| 10-28 15:26:55 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
150 |
80¢ |
$119 |
0x1f020d…
|
| 10-28 05:29:40 |
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
|
No |
SELL |
160 |
1¢ |
$2 |
0x9c9956…
|
| 10-27 14:43:05 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
109 |
92¢ |
$100 |
0xa4450b…
|
| 10-26 12:16:35 |
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?
|
No |
BUY |
57 |
86¢ |
$49 |
0x3e38a5…
|
| 10-26 02:12:18 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
|
No |
SELL |
277 |
100¢ |
$275 |
0xf26c51…
|
| 10-25 18:57:50 |
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
152 |
79¢ |
$120 |
0x246cac…
|
| 10-23 21:04:51 |
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?
|
No |
SELL |
150 |
97¢ |
$145 |
0x1174af…
|
| 10-23 10:12:23 |
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
140 |
95¢ |
$133 |
0x35618a…
|
| 10-23 02:20:09 |
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
381 |
1¢ |
$5 |
0xb9712c…
|
| 10-21 21:33:24 |
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
|
Yes |
BUY |
160 |
87¢ |
$140 |
0xa1f627…
|
| 10-21 11:43:08 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
168 |
72¢ |
$120 |
0xf42be4…
|
| 10-20 10:52:24 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
147 |
81¢ |
$119 |
0x3a1331…
|
| 10-18 21:47:53 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
|
No |
BUY |
277 |
65¢ |
$180 |
0xda71f7…
|
| 10-18 11:44:41 |
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
|
No |
BUY |
162 |
86¢ |
$138 |
0x84350e…
|
| 10-18 03:21:27 |
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?
|
No |
BUY |
161 |
74¢ |
$120 |
0x356a2a…
|
| 10-18 03:06:09 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
|
No |
SELL |
65 |
97¢ |
$63 |
0x42e4b5…
|
| 10-17 18:09:36 |
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?
|
No |
BUY |
207 |
77¢ |
$159 |
0x799c43…
|
| 10-17 10:09:30 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
159 |
88¢ |
$140 |
0x776956…
|
| 10-16 18:11:33 |
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
140 |
85¢ |
$119 |
0xb7896e…
|
| 10-16 12:34:07 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
155 |
77¢ |
$120 |
0xa43e82…
|
| 10-15 12:09:17 |
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
156 |
97¢ |
$151 |
0x23613f…
|
| 10-13 16:42:36 |
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
298 |
47¢ |
$140 |
0x86507a…
|
| 10-12 16:11:30 |
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?
|
No |
BUY |
158 |
63¢ |
$100 |
0x0a47fa…
|
| 10-12 14:51:45 |
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
119 |
84¢ |
$100 |
0xc7908c…
|
| 10-12 02:23:30 |
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?
|
Yes |
BUY |
152 |
79¢ |
$120 |
0x739b33…
|
| 10-11 13:10:54 |
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
77 |
65¢ |
$50 |
0x794a21…
|
| 10-07 20:19:14 |
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
|
No |
SELL |
150 |
97¢ |
$145 |
0x344ec9…
|
| 10-07 00:08:10 |
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
164 |
73¢ |
$120 |
0x26df56…
|
| 10-05 00:40:05 |
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
|
Yes |
SELL |
168 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0x8acc12…
|
| 10-03 16:31:26 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
|
No |
BUY |
167 |
72¢ |
$120 |
0xd05802…
|
| 10-02 17:40:26 |
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
137 |
73¢ |
$100 |
0xdf3192…
|
| 10-02 11:08:15 |
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
|
No |
BUY |
159 |
63¢ |
$100 |
0x0715cc…
|
| 10-02 06:59:36 |
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028
|
No |
BUY |
234 |
64¢ |
$150 |
0x728b2d…
|
| 10-02 01:10:39 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
125 |
80¢ |
$100 |
0x6083ea…
|
| 10-01 19:13:24 |
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
192 |
73¢ |
$140 |
0x6842b4…
|
| 10-01 11:58:18 |
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
234 |
77¢ |
$180 |
0x5ff2c6…
|
| 10-01 02:52:23 |
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
86 |
97¢ |
$83 |
0x5c1b14…
|
| 10-01 02:28:21 |
will oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027
|
No |
BUY |
303 |
66¢ |
$200 |
0x98f01f…
|
| 09-30 19:14:51 |
will ohio enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026
|
No |
BUY |
156 |
90¢ |
$140 |
0xa5b42a…
|
| 09-30 13:23:59 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
101 |
1¢ |
$1 |
0x86fc65…
|
| 09-30 09:39:47 |
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027
|
No |
BUY |
274 |
73¢ |
$200 |
0x04b878…
|
| 09-30 07:17:08 |
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027
|
No |
BUY |
337 |
71¢ |
$240 |
0x281cc0…
|
| 09-30 00:08:02 |
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31
|
No |
BUY |
150 |
80¢ |
$120 |
0x5de470…
|
| 09-28 08:26:59 |
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
|
No |
SELL |
72 |
97¢ |
$70 |
0x3b615f…
|
| 09-28 00:07:23 |
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
178 |
90¢ |
$160 |
0xcd7f98…
|
| 09-27 18:13:41 |
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
|
No |
SELL |
137 |
95¢ |
$131 |
0x0dcbc7…
|
| 09-27 14:04:12 |
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
No |
SELL |
74 |
99¢ |
$73 |
0x88f085…
|
| 09-26 09:01:29 |
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
102 |
1¢ |
$1 |
0x9a8112…
|
| 09-25 02:29:27 |
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
267 |
45¢ |
$120 |
0x25bd29…
|
| 09-25 00:06:56 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
127 |
79¢ |
$100 |
0x63b831…
|
| 09-24 06:55:17 |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
98 |
98¢ |
$95 |
0xdd743b…
|
| 09-24 04:53:06 |
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
182 |
66¢ |
$120 |
0x32003d…
|
| 09-23 19:18:16 |
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
|
No |
BUY |
237 |
59¢ |
$140 |
0xb1d399…
|
| 09-23 02:31:04 |
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
|
No |
BUY |
150 |
93¢ |
$140 |
0x593278…
|
| 09-22 02:31:44 |
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
118 |
93¢ |
$110 |
0xda3705…
|
| 09-20 22:22:41 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
|
Yes |
SELL |
162 |
98¢ |
$159 |
0x70482e…
|
| 09-19 10:35:53 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
114 |
88¢ |
$100 |
0x128340…
|
| 09-18 08:55:34 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
305 |
33¢ |
$100 |
0x6dd52b…
|
| 09-16 17:38:40 |
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
97 |
96¢ |
$93 |
0xc13c89…
|
| 09-16 08:58:18 |
Will Vitality Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
97 |
62¢ |
$60 |
0x5e8892…
|
| 09-16 00:11:46 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
233 |
30¢ |
$70 |
0x0ce310…
|
| 09-15 22:21:48 |
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
103 |
2¢ |
$2 |
0x5293f5…
|
| 09-15 20:03:48 |
US recession by end of 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
86 |
87¢ |
$75 |
0x173358…
|
| 09-15 08:35:25 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
174 |
96¢ |
$168 |
0x37fb69…
|
| 09-15 02:42:13 |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
102 |
59¢ |
$60 |
0x5c8ef7…
|
| 09-13 19:23:40 |
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
102 |
69¢ |
$70 |
0xf512b9…
|
| 09-12 05:03:21 |
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
|
No |
BUY |
100 |
60¢ |
$60 |
0x02dad1…
|
| 09-07 15:33:42 |
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
148 |
1¢ |
$2 |
0x0a8cfd…
|
| 09-05 00:14:37 |
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
148 |
34¢ |
$50 |
0xb7598d…
|
| 09-04 07:32:31 |
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
|
No |
BUY |
72 |
69¢ |
$50 |
0x5f9523…
|
| 09-03 16:57:52 |
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
No |
BUY |
74 |
81¢ |
$60 |
0x4e483b…
|
| 09-03 03:19:07 |
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
|
Yes |
BUY |
168 |
48¢ |
$80 |
0xdf03fe…
|
| 09-02 08:28:45 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
|
Yes |
SELL |
155 |
1¢ |
$2 |
0x844dc7…
|
| 09-02 08:05:28 |
Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
317 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0xae33eb…
|
| 09-02 00:10:39 |
Blue wave in 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
536 |
28¢ |
$150 |
0x998c22…
|
| 09-01 21:47:36 |
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
187 |
48¢ |
$90 |
0xd22db2…
|
| 09-01 21:04:37 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
123 |
38¢ |
$47 |
0xc0c249…
|
| 09-01 21:04:36 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
|
No |
SELL |
778 |
8¢ |
$62 |
0xc54b89…
|
| 09-01 21:04:34 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
103 |
92¢ |
$94 |
0x245070…
|
| 09-01 21:04:33 |
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
78 |
88¢ |
$69 |
0x77b41f…
|
| 09-01 21:04:31 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
250 |
16¢ |
$40 |
0x4276b1…
|
| 09-01 18:35:58 |
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
15 |
57¢ |
$9 |
0x40d617…
|
| 08-31 16:49:37 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
174 |
31¢ |
$54 |
0xdbb066…
|
| 08-31 16:02:25 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
|
Yes |
BUY |
162 |
68¢ |
$110 |
0xec3373…
|
| 08-31 05:41:39 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
90 |
72¢ |
$65 |
0x27e90d…
|
| 08-30 22:22:12 |
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
|
No |
BUY |
135 |
48¢ |
$65 |
0x38a25c…
|
| 08-30 17:29:51 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
123 |
41¢ |
$50 |
0xd6f164…
|
| 08-30 07:10:09 |
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
77 |
91¢ |
$70 |
0xea5382…
|