Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
140
Trades
244
lifetime
Volume
$372
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$17
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 10-10 13:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
72% 50% +$4
Politics
23% 31% -$39
Sports
5% 64% -$3
Tech
1% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +12 $3 88¢ $10 +$7 06-09 07:39
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +3 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 05-12 19:15
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 09-28 12:24
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +3 $2 60¢ $2 $0 09-24 07:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +12 $2 4¢ $0 -$1 05-27 17:20