Secondary-Thongs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$294

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 08-19 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

71% 55% +$1

Politics

28% 36% $-21

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechia	2	$27	25	25	+0	open	—	05-16 22:14
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	3	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-05 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$8	19	7	+12	open	—	08-19 21:20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$8	40	0	+40	Yes	$-8	03-31 11:36
will gold gc settle over 5000 on the final trading day of february 2026	3	$7	8	5	+3	open	—	02-22 13:21
si above 120 jan 2026	5	$7	7	4	+3	open	—	01-26 17:08
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-28 07:05
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	02-28 07:05
lol ig1 nip 2026 02 10	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	02-09 13:27
military action against iran ends by june 30 2026	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	04-04 13:42
military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-04 13:42
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 13:38
Prince Andrew released by February 19?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	02-19 19:44
lol fox1 dk 2026 02 28	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-28 10:40
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	07-05 20:50
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	03-09 10:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	1	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	+$2	03-06 09:37
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$4	11	0	+11	Yes	$-4	03-07 10:14
will silver si settle over 85 on the final trading day of february 2026	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-24 12:05
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	1	$4	11	0	+11	Yes	$-4	07-24 18:08
lol sec ban2 2026 02 17	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-17 16:27
lol wb al 2026 03 05	4	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	03-05 10:57
lol sly ff1 2026 02 18	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-18 20:54
lol newmet lguide 2026 03 03	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-03 13:47
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 18:18
lol es1 big1 2026 03 04	4	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	03-04 18:37
military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	04-04 13:42
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	1	$3	11	0	+11	Yes	$-3	03-31 13:45
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	1	$3	11	0	+11	Yes	$-3	03-31 11:58
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	$-3	06-22 08:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 21:20:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xa6d6ab…
08-17 18:08:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x4691ba…
08-06 08:17:27	andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x7f30f3…
07-24 18:09:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa7bb1a…
07-24 18:08:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x53bc32…
07-19 14:22:49	andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x19ea8f…
07-19 14:22:30	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc87ebb…
07-10 09:02:28	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9cc03f…
07-10 09:02:11	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xea184a…
07-05 20:50:22	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x5aa88e…
07-03 09:52:05	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xdff39d…
06-29 08:53:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x10cfdc…
06-29 08:52:26	Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf66bde…
06-24 17:54:07	will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x888f90…
06-22 11:25:29	will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x759acf…
06-22 10:43:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0f9e83…
06-22 08:51:14	Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x70c215…
06-22 08:45:29	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6220a0…
06-18 12:04:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x0f50c9…
06-15 14:13:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x55a0b9…
06-15 14:13:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3aca2e…
06-09 07:39:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x75ffa6…
06-06 16:01:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6060c7…
06-06 16:00:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt6t by june 30	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xfdd0f3…
06-01 08:16:12	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6e6289…
05-28 19:19:59	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x01096b…
05-17 18:02:41	World Championships: Norway vs. Slovenia	Slovenia	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x079319…
05-17 16:55:29	World Championships: Denmark vs. Sweden	Denmark	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x36a396…
05-16 22:14:19	World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechia	Slovenia	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x3130a9…
05-16 16:19:51	World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechia	Slovenia	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x42bb77…
05-14 07:09:47	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x1ab2b1…
05-13 18:18:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x2bea0b…
05-13 18:13:07	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf88850…
05-13 12:32:35	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x02dc55…
05-13 10:02:26	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xd56493…
05-11 20:35:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa18b46…
05-09 09:19:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x058f3e…
05-07 10:27:49	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0x26bcb6…
05-04 07:50:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6acd62…
04-27 11:16:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x834b8e…
04-26 08:28:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x596422…
04-04 13:42:55	military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe9614c…
04-04 13:42:31	military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x72078b…
04-04 13:42:11	military action against iran ends by june 30 2026	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xdc68b3…
04-04 13:38:41	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb08e1d…
04-04 13:37:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7bdaea…
04-04 13:37:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x24b76e…
03-31 13:45:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xca2f51…
03-31 11:58:05	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xb75564…
03-31 11:36:45	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x404eec…
03-31 11:34:57	will crude oil cl settle at 70 75 in march 528	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9e83bc…
03-30 21:15:09	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xec65f2…
03-14 21:31:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	15	17¢	$2	0xe18a95…
03-14 21:30:59	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc8b296…
03-09 10:40:35	will silver si settle at 85 90 in march	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x6ac779…
03-09 10:32:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x46d20c…
03-09 10:12:03	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x37c5c4…
03-08 12:18:27	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0a1a7c…
03-07 10:14:43	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x86b8eb…
03-06 17:56:33	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x814581…
03-06 17:49:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1e8274…
03-06 17:48:51	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb5170f…
03-06 17:24:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x698834…
03-06 09:37:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x70c94e…
03-05 20:08:21	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4955d9…
03-05 18:27:49	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x75b2a8…
03-05 10:57:09	lol wb al 2026 03 05	Anyone's Legend	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0x76890f…
03-05 09:49:51	lol wb al 2026 03 05	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x13627d…
03-05 09:48:19	lol wb al 2026 03 05	Anyone's Legend	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x3e867a…
03-05 08:54:27	lol wb al 2026 03 05	Anyone's Legend	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5782b8…
03-04 21:02:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2518fd…
03-04 18:51:21	will silver si hit low 70 by end of march	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x63d161…
03-04 18:48:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0b9013…
03-04 18:37:49	lol es1 big1 2026 03 04	Eintracht Spandau	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xce5f52…
03-04 16:44:25	lol es1 big1 2026 03 04	Eintracht Spandau	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xef1756…
03-04 16:44:11	lol es1 big1 2026 03 04	Berlin International Gaming	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xaf1775…
03-04 11:42:09	will crude oil cl settle at 70 75 in march 528	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe1da3f…
03-04 10:19:03	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x94802f…
03-04 09:45:09	lol es1 big1 2026 03 04	Berlin International Gaming	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x35e925…
03-03 21:23:19	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc53e49…
03-03 13:47:51	lol uwinks clo 2026 03 03	Clocks	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x055432…
03-03 13:47:37	lol newmet lguide 2026 03 03	L Guide Gaming	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf6d759…
03-03 11:51:05	lol uwinks clo 2026 03 03	Clocks	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa92b28…
03-03 11:51:01	lol newmet lguide 2026 03 03	L Guide Gaming	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdb205c…
03-02 20:03:37	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x93df93…
03-01 10:47:33	lol lll red 2026 03 01	RED Canids	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd0a5f8…
03-01 10:46:27	lol ig1 nip 2026 03 01	Invictus Gaming	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x2a4bc9…
03-01 07:42:45	lol ig1 nip 2026 03 01	Invictus Gaming	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x05063a…
03-01 05:59:49	lol sen ly 2026 02 28	LYON	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5cf181…
02-28 20:57:15	lol sen ly 2026 02 28	LYON	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9b0c1a…
02-28 12:08:03	lol wlg tp2 2026 02 28	WLGaming Esports	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x5a2911…
02-28 10:42:05	lol wlg tp2 2026 02 28	WLGaming Esports	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x16099b…
02-28 10:40:55	lol fox1 dk 2026 02 28	BNK FEARX	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7e841f…
02-28 10:15:25	lol fox1 dk 2026 02 28	BNK FEARX	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8da3bb…
02-28 10:08:15	lol dcg shg 2026 02 28	Deep Cross Gaming	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6d5950…
02-28 09:45:45	lol dcg shg 2026 02 28	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfdeadd…
02-28 09:38:25	lol fox1 dk 2026 02 28	BNK FEARX	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x49e38a…
02-28 09:01:35	lol fox1 dk 2026 02 28	BNK FEARX	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x322fbd…
02-28 07:05:41	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3c55d8…
02-28 07:05:37	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x0d2e02…