(anonymous) 0xc2bf73…05cdc8
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved (7d)
61
Trades (7d)
745
2,839 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.51K
$7.39K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$11
18 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 10-31 18:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
54% 52% +$3
Crypto
33% 63% +$9
Politics
7% 52% -$8
Tech
3% 44% +$4
Sports
3% 65% +$20
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +5 $2 92¢ $4 +$2 10-29 22:57
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3 -$2 84¢ $2 +$4 09-20 15:41
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +5 $2 41¢ $2 +$0 10-23 16:08
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 46¢ $1 $0 10-20 12:18
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2 $1 42¢ $1 $0 09-05 10:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +4 $1 10¢ $0 $0 10-23 09:10
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +2 $0 16¢ $0 $0 10-30 00:44
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 40¢ $0 $0 10-25 03:03
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +1 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 09-12 23:37
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-19 19:59
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 14¢ $0 $0 10-29 16:24
Israeli Knesset election annulled? Yes +1 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 10-29 13:27
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +3 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-10 21:30
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +0 $0 78¢ $0 $0 10-31 01:59
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-30 13:43
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +0 $0 11¢ $0 +$0 10-24 16:41
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +0 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 10-29 17:48
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-23 14:45