Realized P&L (30d)
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved (30d)
275
Trades (30d)
1,702
2,940 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.65K
$7.59K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$15
17 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 11-04 11:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
54% 51% +$3
Crypto
33% 63% +$8
Politics
7% 56% -$7
Sports
3% 60% +$20
Tech
3% 44% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +5 $2 100¢ $5 +$3 10-29 22:57
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? Yes +4 $3 63¢ $2 $0 11-01 16:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3 -$2 89¢ $2 +$4 09-20 15:41
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +5 $2 40¢ $2 +$0 10-23 16:08
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $0 10-20 12:18
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 $0 11-02 17:06
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 11-01 18:58
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2 $1 30¢ $1 $0 09-05 10:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 $0 10-23 09:10
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +2 $0 16¢ $0 $0 10-30 00:44
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +1 $0 14¢ $0 +$0 09-12 23:37
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 24¢ $0 -$1 10-25 03:03
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 21¢ $0 $0 10-29 16:24
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-19 19:59
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 10-31 01:59
Israeli Knesset election annulled? Yes +1 -$1 3¢ $0 +$1 10-29 13:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +0 $0 11¢ $0 +$0 10-24 16:41