Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

429

Trades

1,116

lifetime

Volume

$30.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$146

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-08 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

37% 56% +$138

Politics

35% 74% +$260

Crypto

16% 74% -$232

Tech

6% 68% +$15

Pop-Culture

3% 25% -$92

Sports

3% 89% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No		-150	-$138	98¢	$-146	-$8	06-04 07:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	14	$2.7K	1,210	1,549	-339	No	+$26	01-29 01:34
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	8	$1.2K	1,210	200	+1,010	No	+$157	02-07 08:46
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	10	$897	510	412	+98	Yes	+$15	01-22 15:44
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 15	20	$758	610	187	+423	No	+$31	01-15 21:53
will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the 1 song on us spotify this week	9	$755	347	416	-69	Yes	+$5	01-02 14:16
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	8	$607	310	310	+0	No	+$5	01-24 01:34
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	9	$584	300	320	-20	No	+$16	03-21 18:05
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	11	$518	400	152	+248	No	+$34	01-16 01:08
will russia enter toretske by january 15	9	$464	300	200	+100	No	+$22	01-15 16:16
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	14	$379	250	330	-80	Yes	-$132	04-22 03:03
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	7	$346	410	0	+410	No	-$146	02-08 13:44
Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?	12	$340	384	0	+384	No	+$45	04-23 18:10
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	6	$298	320	0	+320	No	+$22	02-19 06:42
will russia capture all of prymorske by january 15 2026	6	$295	301	0	+301	No	+$6	01-13 16:14
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	6	$294	322	0	+322	Yes	+$28	02-03 16:44
will russia capture lyman by january 31 2026	11	$270	300	0	+300	No	+$30	01-16 20:31
will russia capture rodynske by january 31	5	$269	322	0	+322	No	+$53	01-28 00:21
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	1	$265	0	270	-270	No	-$5	06-04 07:10
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	5	$256	270	0	+270	No	+$14	03-10 09:06
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	6	$249	165	95	+70	Yes	+$6	01-07 23:11
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	9	$241	249	0	+249	No	+$8	04-11 22:49
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$240	200	100	+100	No	+$40	02-08 07:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$227	280	0	+280	No	+$53	03-24 14:22
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$225	410	0	+410	Yes	+$75	01-16 13:57
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	3	$221	250	0	+250	No	+$29	01-24 06:35
Space FDV above $160M one day after launch?	6	$220	230	0	+230	No	+$10	04-23 05:57
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	9	$216	309	0	+309	No	-$116	01-08 15:11
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	3	$215	220	0	+220	No	+$5	03-10 06:49
Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?	4	$214	250	0	+250	No	+$36	02-11 12:03
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	2	$205	210	0	+210	No	+$5	01-16 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 06:12:49	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x9b730d…
06-04 09:16:45	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	142	99¢	$140	0x8c2333…
06-04 07:12:13	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	150	92¢	$138	0x0b9aa6…
06-04 07:11:57	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$181	0x232963…
06-04 07:11:34	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xfe37a7…
06-04 07:10:36	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$191	0x497794…
06-04 07:10:01	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	270	98¢	$265	0x1f30d3…
06-04 07:09:04	Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	31¢	$61	0x54dbce…
04-24 18:50:44	Space FDV above $140M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf120e7…
04-24 15:37:54	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x3b4a2d…
04-24 12:08:32	Space FDV above $140M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xdaace8…
04-24 03:13:58	Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xc8980b…
04-23 18:10:10	Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	83¢	$26	0x935844…
04-23 14:45:18	Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xa5a495…
04-23 11:37:40	Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x897add…
04-23 05:57:58	Space FDV above $160M one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x6f1667…
04-22 03:03:20	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x6344be…
04-18 05:57:48	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x35ffcd…
04-18 04:58:20	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x736e8b…
04-16 18:01:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x7fd80a…
04-15 04:23:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x8eebf9…
04-13 14:53:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x33a2f8…
04-12 16:54:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xb19f2f…
04-11 22:49:07	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xfa46de…
04-11 22:48:29	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x8592ff…
04-09 12:33:15	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x7906a9…
04-09 12:24:05	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x12cf8c…
04-09 11:58:47	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x0f3721…
04-08 10:16:47	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x45ea38…
04-08 10:16:17	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xb42fdb…
04-08 10:07:33	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x967acf…
04-07 16:36:23	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf1dd37…
04-07 15:23:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x88a1a5…
04-07 15:21:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x80600c…
04-07 12:02:21	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9d2b3a…
04-07 05:02:41	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7341f4…
04-05 22:11:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x11bfd0…
04-05 17:19:19	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x681ddc…
04-05 15:19:59	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xf5637f…
04-05 14:12:59	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x979c91…
04-05 06:09:25	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xa48b30…
04-04 12:45:55	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x1b91a1…
04-03 18:22:09	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x91a826…
03-31 00:27:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xfb0f9a…
03-30 09:58:36	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x5d9ec2…
03-29 22:09:18	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xf65aef…
03-29 21:19:06	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x08e966…
03-29 21:11:30	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x09b57f…
03-28 22:18:50	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x20a9c8…
03-28 22:18:50	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x17e9f6…
03-28 19:18:32	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x9f392f…
03-28 18:25:11	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xf561a1…
03-27 00:51:39	Space FDV above $160M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x6e04b7…
03-27 00:46:35	Space FDV above $160M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xdb44dd…
03-27 00:46:17	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x389887…
03-26 18:09:37	Space FDV above $120M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x461369…
03-25 15:58:11	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x224e55…
03-25 11:23:51	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x4468a2…
03-24 20:48:45	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xaf7e12…
03-24 18:46:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x286d7b…
03-24 18:11:51	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x84c2bc…
03-24 17:53:45	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x2d399f…
03-24 17:53:43	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x76b89d…
03-24 17:52:47	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x85b5a4…
03-24 14:22:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x490736…
03-24 13:39:09	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xe7cbf1…
03-24 13:05:15	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1addee…
03-24 12:49:27	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xbcfc50…
03-24 12:35:03	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xa4bcf7…
03-23 11:08:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xdbd0a5…
03-21 18:05:19	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xb58a55…
03-20 11:16:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xe25655…
03-19 20:24:33	Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0xa27929…
03-18 16:28:51	Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x81431a…
03-18 13:03:29	Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x9c21cd…
03-15 20:16:55	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xa15eb6…
03-15 20:16:53	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x3a3295…
03-15 20:16:43	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x9384b5…
03-15 20:16:37	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0xf36c71…
03-15 20:16:29	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xbd45dd…
03-15 16:06:13	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x76f402…
03-14 22:48:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xf15ec2…
03-14 16:12:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xa6040a…
03-12 23:15:35	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x73d2eb…
03-12 14:09:03	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xe11de3…
03-11 20:42:53	will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xde47dc…
03-11 19:31:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x44353e…
03-11 15:53:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x22f11c…
03-11 15:47:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x56c818…
03-11 14:37:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x775c4c…
03-10 18:03:45	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xa7f110…
03-10 14:30:07	Space FDV above $140M one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x10ce26…
03-10 14:29:35	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x9aa093…
03-10 09:36:17	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x244b96…
03-10 09:24:47	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x4e5844…
03-10 09:06:07	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x62954d…
03-10 06:49:37	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xbcbdab…
03-09 19:22:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x564f47…
03-09 19:20:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xd76c22…
03-09 19:20:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8e6934…