Grand-Restoration 0xc34a4a…ae6007
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.76K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.03K
Hit rate
84.0%
Resolved (90d)
138
Trades (90d)
2,331
9,309 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$182.9K
$819.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$16.6K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 23:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Politics
65% 78% +$11,095
Other
32% 74% +$5,017
Crypto
2% 37% +$154
Sports
0% 50% -$680
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% 40% -$121
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +4,000 $3,836 97¢ $3.9K +$38 10-26 01:44
Trump out as President before 2027? No -2,400 -$2,160 96¢ $-2301 -$142 05-23 21:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +1,500 $1,489 100¢ $1.5K +$3 10-26 17:01
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +1,200 $1,096 97¢ $1.2K +$64 09-29 13:20
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? No +1,120 $1,080 99¢ $1.1K +$32 10-24 15:41
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,300 -$949 86¢ $-1112 -$162 06-08 01:41
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6,000 -$7 14¢ $819 +$826 10-06 01:13
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +700 $596 96¢ $668 +$72 10-25 16:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +500 $254 96¢ $478 +$223 10-25 15:58
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +500 $433 96¢ $478 +$44 10-17 19:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +400 $387 100¢ $398 +$11 10-20 22:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +1,000 $517 38¢ $375 -$142 10-26 02:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $532 37¢ $370 -$162 10-26 02:19
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +380 $346 96¢ $363 +$17 10-11 01:22
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +700 $330 44¢ $306 -$24 10-25 15:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -400 -$300 74¢ $-294 +$6 07-16 16:20
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +260 $234 95¢ $247 +$13 09-20 15:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +400 $266 50¢ $202 -$64 10-24 01:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +274 $113 62¢ $169 +$56 10-26 14:38
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +150 $131 98¢ $148 +$17 10-09 22:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +100 $64 66¢ $66 +$2 10-26 16:59
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -579 -$358 8¢ $-47 +$311 05-28 15:08
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +50 $43 90¢ $45 +$2 10-25 15:54
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20,000 $60 0¢ $30 -$30 10-23 14:57
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,000 $20 0¢ $15 -$5 10-25 15:40
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +66 $34 10¢ $6 -$27 08-12 04:22
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10 $6 16¢ $2 -$5 09-19 23:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +100 $35 0¢ $0 -$34 10-20 22:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 -$86 82¢ $0 +$86 10-04 00:21