Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.78K
Unrealized P&L
+$958
Hit rate
97.8%
Resolved (7d)
24
Trades (7d)
137
9,587 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$16.2K
$841.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$15.8K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 16:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Politics
65% 78% +$12,167
Other
32% 75% +$5,674
Crypto
2% 37% +$154
Sports
0% 50% -$680
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$63
Tech
0% 40% -$121
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +4,000 $3,836 97¢ $3.9K +$50 10-26 01:44
Trump out as President before 2027? No -2,400 -$2,160 97¢ $-2319 -$160 05-23 21:42
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +13,500 $1,159 16¢ $2.1K +$981 11-03 20:19
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,300 -$949 92¢ $-1202 -$254 06-08 01:41
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +1,200 $1,096 98¢ $1.2K +$79 09-29 13:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $996 44¢ $884 -$112 11-02 18:24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +1,000 $589 66¢ $655 +$66 11-02 20:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $594 56¢ $558 -$36 11-04 01:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +700 $468 74¢ $521 +$53 11-03 10:07
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +500 $433 96¢ $480 +$46 10-17 19:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +1,000 $517 45¢ $450 -$67 10-26 02:06
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +380 $346 95¢ $361 +$15 10-11 01:22
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +700 $330 40¢ $284 -$46 10-25 15:55
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +260 $234 96¢ $248 +$15 09-20 15:30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -400 -$300 56¢ $-222 +$78 07-16 16:20
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100,000 $190 0¢ $150 -$40 09-28 23:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +100 $88 100¢ $99 +$11 10-30 15:40
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -579 -$358 13¢ $-73 +$285 05-28 15:08
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20,000 $60 0¢ $30 -$30 10-23 14:57
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? Yes -70 -$32 29¢ $-20 +$12 10-23 20:17
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,000 $20 0¢ $15 -$5 10-25 15:40
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +66 $34 7¢ $5 -$29 08-12 04:22
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10 $6 10¢ $1 -$6 09-19 23:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +100 $35 0¢ $0 -$35 10-20 22:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 -$86 90¢ $0 +$87 10-04 00:21