Grand-Restoration 0xc34a4a…ae6007 Create alert
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$1.92K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.44K
Hit rate
90.6%
Resolved (30d)
49
Trades (30d)
675
9,796 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$79.7K
$882.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$24.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 09:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Politics
66% 79% +$12,271
Other
32% 74% +$5,708
Crypto
2% 37% +$154
Sports
0% 50% -$680
Tech
0% 40% -$121
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +21,500 $1,928 19¢ $4.0K +$2,093 11-14 09:54
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +4,000 $3,836 98¢ $3.9K +$78 10-26 01:44
Trump out as President before 2027? No -2,400 -$2,160 98¢ $-2341 -$181 05-23 21:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $1,803 78¢ $2.3K +$535 11-08 23:49
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,500 $1,365 93¢ $1.4K +$25 11-12 22:01
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,300 -$949 94¢ $-1216 -$266 06-08 01:41
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +1,200 $1,096 99¢ $1.2K +$94 09-29 13:20
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1,050 $955 93¢ $978 +$24 11-12 10:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +1,000 $910 92¢ $915 +$5 11-14 03:30
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +800 $611 94¢ $756 +$145 11-09 16:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $1,481 22¢ $662 -$820 11-09 20:01
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +560 $521 98¢ $546 +$25 11-11 00:58
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +500 $433 98¢ $489 +$55 10-17 19:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +500 $374 92¢ $458 +$84 11-14 03:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026? No +500 $367 87¢ $435 +$67 11-13 06:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +900 $336 45¢ $405 +$69 11-13 12:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -400 -$300 82¢ $-330 -$30 07-16 16:20
FAA outage attributed to Iran? No +300 $291 99¢ $296 +$4 11-14 01:07
Will Christine Lagarde be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +300 $258 84¢ $253 -$4 11-14 00:21
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +260 $234 96¢ $250 +$16 09-20 15:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +250 $233 98¢ $246 +$12 11-14 03:32
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100,000 $190 0¢ $150 -$40 09-28 23:18
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +150 $138 92¢ $139 +$1 11-14 03:27
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? No +120 $92 82¢ $98 +$6 11-12 00:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $61 70¢ $69 +$8 10-26 10:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18? Yes +67 $64 97¢ $65 +$1 11-14 03:32
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -579 -$358 9¢ $-50 +$308 05-28 15:08
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $42 83¢ $42 $0 11-14 03:39
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $34 82¢ $41 +$7 11-11 22:15
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 -$85 74¢ $37 +$122 11-11 22:53