Untidy-Cadet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.38K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.9%

Resolved

985

Trades

8,147

lifetime

Volume

$185.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-27 09:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

60% 11% -$7,147

Politics

31% 11% -$1,026

Sports

5% 15% -$106

Tech

1% 12% -$45

Crypto

1% 36% -$3

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$57

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	143	$4.5K	3,455	5,718	-2,262	No	-$82	03-09 00:21
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	24	$3.4K	2,339	2,339	+0	No	-$6	04-13 03:34
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	72	$2.4K	2,494	4,869	-2,375	No	-$1,669	03-09 06:21
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	33	$1.9K	2,343	2,343	+0	No	-$15	04-13 03:53
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	34	$1.9K	750	1,240	-491	Yes	-$27	03-09 00:50
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	16	$1.8K	700	1,300	-600	Yes	-$62	03-09 00:26
atp cina rodiono 2026 04 06	18	$1.7K	1,761	1,761	+0	Jurij Rodionov	-$3	04-07 06:06
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	15	$1.7K	1,433	1,433	+0	No	-$12	04-13 03:52
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	24	$1.6K	2,172	2,172	+0	No	-$42	04-10 06:04
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?	26	$1.6K	1,304	1,304	+0	No	-$8	04-12 10:49
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	23	$1.6K	1,184	1,184	+0	No	-$8	04-06 11:26
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	37	$1.6K	1,881	1,881	+0	No	-$8	04-10 14:23
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	19	$1.5K	809	809	+0	No	-$7	04-10 15:43
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	43	$1.4K	1,101	2,486	-1,385	No	+$260	03-09 00:48
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?	28	$1.4K	1,285	1,582	-297	No	-$19	04-12 21:22
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	19	$1.4K	960	960	-0	No	-$8	04-11 20:09
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?	28	$1.3K	1,290	1,289	+1	No	-$5	04-12 23:30
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	149	$1.3K	1,611	1,611	+0	No	-$10	04-06 22:08
will velichie velichie win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	15	$1.3K	1,098	1,098	+0	No	-$13	04-13 03:52
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	54	$1.3K	940	940	+0	No	-$3	03-08 10:11
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	18	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	-$2	04-12 23:18
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	38	$1.3K	810	810	+0	No	-$6	04-08 07:31
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?	16	$1.2K	1,541	1,541	+0	No	-$9	04-11 18:08
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	62	$1.1K	907	1,185	-277	No	-$98	03-09 09:33
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	43	$1.1K	923	923	+0	No	-$13	03-08 14:10
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	11	$1.1K	812	812	+0	No	-$9	04-11 14:17
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	40	$1.0K	1,228	1,828	-600	Yes	-$36	03-09 00:43
Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?	22	$1.0K	812	812	+0	No	-$4	04-13 03:53
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	11	$1.0K	2,392	2,392	+0	Yes	+$21	04-07 17:48
will iran strike israel on march 6	37	$1.0K	685	835	-150	No	-$42	03-08 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 09:47:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xc35af4…
05-27 09:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb3077c…
05-24 12:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x68051d…
05-24 12:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xce8f55…
05-24 11:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6da817…
05-24 11:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x20f1eb…
05-24 11:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa9b254…
05-24 10:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x329e97…
05-24 10:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x935fa4…
04-13 03:53:17	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x2faca2…
04-13 03:53:15	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x824113…
04-13 03:53:13	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xd3020b…
04-13 03:53:13	Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x7163e9…
04-13 03:53:11	Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?	No	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x3f640b…
04-13 03:53:09	Will Russia enter Myrne by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0xc7aa11…
04-13 03:53:03	Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0xb8f8ef…
04-13 03:53:03	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x40370b…
04-13 03:52:59	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0x979697…
04-13 03:52:57	Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	No	SELL	68	85¢	$58	0x30303d…
04-13 03:52:55	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	No	SELL	147	92¢	$135	0x8287cf…
04-13 03:52:55	will velichie velichie win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	173	88¢	$153	0x616250…
04-13 03:52:55	will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	203	94¢	$190	0x06cbc3…
04-13 03:52:53	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	546	3¢	$15	0x91e7fb…
04-13 03:52:53	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	SELL	293	97¢	$283	0x4e403e…
04-13 03:48:29	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x960317…
04-13 03:48:27	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x96f53e…
04-13 03:48:27	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x296b44…
04-13 03:45:37	Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xe9af16…
04-13 03:36:51	will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xa088a0…
04-13 03:36:49	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	No	SELL	346	98¢	$340	0xa92075…
04-13 03:35:49	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x516e33…
04-13 03:34:49	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xa39f61…
04-13 03:34:47	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	No	SELL	495	97¢	$479	0x8632d4…
04-13 03:33:49	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	No	BUY	495	97¢	$479	0x58cc4e…
04-13 03:33:47	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x9a6e0a…
04-13 03:33:35	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x489c55…
04-13 03:33:19	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	No	BUY	487	98¢	$479	0x250975…
04-13 03:32:47	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	SELL	201	97¢	$195	0xa117ce…
04-13 03:32:17	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	494	97¢	$480	0x966618…
04-13 03:11:01	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe531a0…
04-13 02:35:03	Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?	Yes	SELL	85	3¢	$3	0x0f40ac…
04-13 02:34:51	Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?	Yes	BUY	85	4¢	$3	0x6443e6…
04-13 02:27:07	Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x3538ba…
04-13 02:21:37	Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?	No	SELL	292	3¢	$10	0x7adea7…
04-13 02:13:39	will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	403	95¢	$381	0xf7429a…
04-13 02:09:49	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x35480a…
04-13 02:07:05	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0xbe2ab7…
04-13 02:06:49	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x33b540…
04-13 01:29:57	Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0xa9c72d…
04-13 01:29:39	Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0xdcbeef…
04-13 01:27:03	Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x46edd1…
04-13 01:11:03	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	No	BUY	147	93¢	$137	0x69f367…
04-13 00:11:59	Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$38	0x3b26c4…
04-13 00:09:23	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xc0cf82…
04-12 23:39:51	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x52df73…
04-12 23:31:15	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x79b3aa…
04-12 23:31:13	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x50b383…
04-12 23:31:03	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xec5091…
04-12 23:31:03	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xa4bc7e…
04-12 23:31:01	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xdc9562…
04-12 23:31:01	Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xd6aa3f…
04-12 23:31:01	Will Baidu have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xc61284…
04-12 23:31:01	Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xbb7c54…
04-12 23:31:01	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb19d64…
04-12 23:30:59	Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0xed73fb…
04-12 23:30:59	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$2	0x19e7a8…
04-12 23:30:59	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?	Yes	SELL	205	1¢	$3	0x184155…
04-12 23:30:57	Will Christina Bohannan be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xed7c65…
04-12 23:30:57	Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0xe29ef9…
04-12 23:30:55	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0xe58874…
04-12 23:30:55	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xe08fa7…
04-12 23:30:55	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x7b3919…
04-12 23:24:59	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x9a52b6…
04-12 23:18:51	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	No	SELL	246	98¢	$242	0x47296f…
04-12 23:18:39	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	No	BUY	246	98¢	$243	0xb385d5…
04-12 22:55:41	Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	No	SELL	229	3¢	$6	0x7d3bab…
04-12 22:55:11	will alliance for rights and freedoms aps win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$1	0x1df691…
04-12 22:55:03	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?	Yes	BUY	205	1¢	$3	0xdc004e…
04-12 22:54:57	will alliance for rights and freedoms aps win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xa0a5e0…
04-12 22:54:57	will alliance for rights and freedoms aps win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x2ad7e0…
04-12 22:54:49	will alliance for rights and freedoms aps win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x06002c…
04-12 22:54:47	will alliance for rights and freedoms aps win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0x48698b…
04-12 22:54:37	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xd9b804…
04-12 22:54:31	will xauusd reach 4750 by april 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xd85ec0…
04-12 22:34:31	will xauusd reach 4750 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf88906…
04-12 22:34:17	Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x3acad9…
04-12 22:09:27	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x215833…
04-12 21:53:35	will claude opus 4 6 be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	Yes	SELL	130	0¢	$0	0x9057b5…
04-12 21:53:15	will claude opus 4 6 be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0xa6c942…
04-12 21:49:55	Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x5b9ac2…
04-12 21:49:27	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0x532fdd…
04-12 21:29:17	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xac01b7…
04-12 21:22:25	Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?	No	SELL	206	4¢	$8	0xd73b59…
04-12 21:22:25	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$16	0x9cea9e…
04-12 21:09:03	Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?	No	BUY	498	4¢	$19	0x2f38d5…
04-12 20:53:17	will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xd74842…
04-12 20:53:17	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$21	0x947205…
04-12 20:52:17	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$24	0x39b820…
04-12 20:52:15	will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x81938c…
04-12 20:52:15	Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x3c2acd…