Unruly-Feature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

407

Trades

19,405

lifetime

Volume

$63.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-15 00:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 76% +$13

Politics

16% — —

Other

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 540 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	16	$2.4K	1,783	1,233	+550	open	—	03-31 10:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	15	$1.6K	1,663	1,663	+0	open	—	05-29 18:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	21	$1.4K	800	1,800	-1,000	open	—	03-18 01:03
cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18	7	$1.3K	1,080	1,076	+4	open	—	03-19 00:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	9	$1.1K	1,247	1,247	+0	open	—	05-22 23:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$1.1K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	06-14 23:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$799	476	476	+0	open	—	06-15 00:12
btc updown 5m 1774592700	160	$648	658	284	+375	open	—	03-27 06:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$571	300	800	-500	open	—	03-18 00:06
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	13	$512	400	400	+0	open	—	03-16 03:45
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$446	460	50	+410	open	—	05-07 08:00
btc updown 5m 1774585200	200	$442	856	0	+856	open	—	03-27 04:25
btc updown 5m 1774593000	187	$436	778	0	+778	open	—	03-27 06:35
btc updown 5m 1774699200	219	$431	826	0	+826	open	—	03-28 12:04
btc updown 5m 1774543500	185	$408	808	0	+808	open	—	03-26 16:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$399	204	204	+0	open	—	05-21 03:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$397	282	282	+0	open	—	06-13 16:58
btc updown 5m 1774588500	171	$383	693	0	+693	open	—	03-27 05:19
btc updown 5m 1774695900	39	$370	167	223	-56	open	—	03-28 11:09
btc updown 5m 1774599000	184	$361	710	0	+710	open	—	03-27 08:15
btc updown 5m 1774608000	174	$360	707	0	+707	open	—	03-27 10:44
btc updown 5m 1774569600	150	$349	652	0	+652	open	—	03-27 00:04
btc updown 5m 1774579500	162	$348	689	0	+689	open	—	03-27 02:50
btc updown 5m 1774597800	167	$348	648	0	+648	open	—	03-27 07:54
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	4	$346	200	200	+0	open	—	05-20 13:12
btc updown 5m 1774587000	152	$344	626	0	+626	open	—	03-27 04:55
btc updown 5m 1774517700	167	$343	700	0	+700	open	—	03-26 09:39
btc updown 5m 1774543800	155	$341	654	0	+654	open	—	03-26 16:54
btc updown 5m 1774183500	7	$336	200	199	+1	open	—	03-22 12:49
btc updown 5m 1774542000	168	$330	727	0	+727	open	—	03-26 16:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 00:12:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	244	83¢	$201	0x7ef7b0…
06-15 00:12:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xe10abc…
06-14 23:07:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	215	93¢	$200	0xd21651…
06-14 23:07:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x20e53d…
06-13 16:58:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	282	70¢	$197	0x14f236…
06-13 16:58:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0x3c5984…
06-12 03:31:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	246	30¢	$74	0xe6372b…
06-12 03:31:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	246	31¢	$76	0x0a7838…
06-10 19:18:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	13¢	$52	0xfacbf7…
06-10 19:18:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0xf39268…
06-09 13:05:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	250	78¢	$195	0x86aca2…
06-09 13:05:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x09809a…
06-02 03:03:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0xe9be3b…
06-02 00:06:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xe57e2d…
06-01 17:31:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	233	85¢	$198	0x5503c0…
06-01 17:31:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0xe27275…
05-29 18:48:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	10¢	$40	0xb46be1…
05-29 18:48:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	11¢	$44	0x5702c3…
05-28 03:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2452f7…
05-28 03:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x286066…
05-28 03:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2cd645…
05-28 03:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3d8711…
05-28 03:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x13e639…
05-28 03:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xca3920…
05-28 03:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc09fd4…
05-28 03:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7102c0…
05-28 03:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6621d2…
05-28 02:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc4b048…
05-27 22:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x679af6…
05-27 22:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4c06f8…
05-27 11:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0e7f17…
05-27 07:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x3f3a33…
05-27 07:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x495a00…
05-27 06:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd09837…
05-27 06:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x973aa1…
05-27 06:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xef36c6…
05-27 06:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x807f00…
05-27 04:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x38f84f…
05-27 04:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3e7919…
05-27 04:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaa2f5d…
05-27 04:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb2c873…
05-27 03:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb49375…
05-26 02:21:02	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2af66c…
05-25 12:24:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	22	83¢	$18	0xdcbb09…
05-23 11:50:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x646fbe…
05-22 23:29:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,247	1¢	$15	0xac74d3…
05-22 19:06:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0x0dd0bb…
05-22 17:48:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	223	87¢	$194	0x7aa9eb…
05-22 04:20:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0xee7d8c…
05-22 04:19:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x62c982…
05-22 04:16:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	61	87¢	$53	0x32f82b…
05-22 00:38:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	28	84¢	$23	0xa65e7e…
05-22 00:18:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x981922…
05-21 22:53:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x790b3b…
05-21 19:56:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	253	78¢	$197	0x601a27…
05-21 19:56:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x15a1be…
05-21 16:41:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	253	78¢	$198	0xf32a16…
05-21 16:41:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xd0bed7…
05-21 15:16:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	77¢	$54	0x9fd9a7…
05-21 15:16:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	92	78¢	$72	0x529561…
05-21 15:15:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	161	79¢	$127	0x66fe81…
05-21 15:15:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	92	78¢	$72	0x53c52c…
05-21 15:15:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	79¢	$73	0x8d5948…
05-21 12:56:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	17¢	$68	0x51aff1…
05-21 12:56:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	17¢	$68	0x8917fe…
05-21 06:55:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	104	83¢	$86	0x0b6097…
05-21 06:55:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	104	83¢	$86	0x56e723…
05-21 03:45:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	204	97¢	$199	0xbaafbd…
05-21 03:45:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xeb14bb…
05-20 13:12:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x9c0a59…
05-20 13:12:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x32162b…
05-20 12:06:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xb3a13f…
05-20 12:06:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xb87f5b…
05-13 04:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xe75924…
05-13 04:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x2b9ee0…
05-13 04:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x901d8e…
05-13 04:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf64f27…
05-13 04:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8789ec…
05-13 00:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x57c63b…
05-13 00:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x39ee02…
05-12 23:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd1706f…
05-12 23:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x411ffa…
05-12 23:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0da734…
05-12 23:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe91c6e…
05-12 21:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x66c6cb…
05-12 21:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0c12b8…
05-12 21:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x789e72…
05-12 20:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x30dc02…
05-12 20:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe7de1a…
05-12 19:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6eb1c8…
05-12 18:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x575f61…
05-12 18:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x0525de…
05-12 18:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x1db5ab…
05-12 18:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xce36ac…
05-12 18:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xc16481…
05-12 18:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0x199185…
05-12 17:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb1e56b…
05-12 17:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x420d89…
05-12 17:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xebd659…
05-12 17:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$4	0x27c0ae…