Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
4
lifetime
Volume
$16
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$16
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 01:29
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
85%
Politics
15%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes +27 $10 40¢ $11 +$1 05-05 18:38
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? Yes +5 $3 53¢ $3 +$0 05-06 01:29
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? Yes -149 $-2 $-2 +$1 05-05 16:47
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31? Yes -6 $-1 18¢ $-1 $-0 05-05 19:08