Poor-Regime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$120

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

103

Trades

424

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-07

last 08-21 11:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% +$121

Other

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	05-10 17:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	33	$2.0K	1,046	1,046	-0	open	—	06-14 02:11
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	16	$1.5K	20,695	20,695	+0	No	-$21	02-07 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	18	$427	300	300	+0	Up	+$17	08-20 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 03:45 UTC	4	$316	176	176	+0	Up	-$4	07-02 03:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 07:30 UTC	8	$291	193	193	+0	Down	+$0	06-29 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 03:05 UTC	2	$269	146	146	+0	Down	+$9	07-02 03:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 10:15 UTC	6	$261	158	158	+0	Up	+$11	06-14 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 03:10 UTC	4	$248	176	176	+0	Up	+$8	07-02 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 05:15 UTC	4	$218	127	127	+0	Down	+$8	07-01 05:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 07:00 UTC	2	$204	108	108	+0	Up	+$4	06-29 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:30 UTC	2	$204	127	127	+0	Down	+$4	08-03 06:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 11:15 UTC	6	$190	153	153	+0	Up	+$10	07-02 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 11:00 UTC	8	$171	153	153	+0	Up	+$11	06-14 11:13
will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	4	$158	80	80	+0	No	$0	02-07 18:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 07:15 UTC	4	$154	135	135	+0	Up	+$24	07-01 07:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 07:00 UTC	4	$154	122	122	+0	Down	+$34	06-16 07:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:00 UTC	4	$151	127	127	+0	Down	+$31	08-03 07:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 10:45 UTC	6	$148	148	148	+0	Down	+$18	06-29 10:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 23:45 UTC	2	$141	94	94	+0	Up	+$42	06-15 23:58
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	14	$135	71	71	+0	open	—	05-10 17:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 11:00 UTC	3	$132	142	19	+124	Up	-$4	07-02 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:10 UTC	3	$132	151	49	+102	Down	-$6	08-04 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 06:30 UTC	5	$116	134	31	+102	Up	-$4	06-16 06:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 04:00 UTC	1	$105	109	0	+109	Down	+$4	07-02 04:10
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	2	$102	70	70	+0	Yes	-$1	06-15 23:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:15 UTC	6	$99	132	132	+0	Down	+$19	08-04 10:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:15 UTC	6	$69	64	64	+0	Up	+$9	08-03 07:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 05:45 UTC	2	$69	52	52	+0	Up	+$9	08-03 05:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 09:30 UTC	6	$68	60	60	+0	Up	+$8	08-03 09:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:15 UTC	4	$67	95	95	+0	Down	-$13	08-03 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 11:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:40 UTC	Up	SELL	38	43¢	$17	0xffe314…
08-21 11:40:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x863ed7…
08-21 11:31:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	71	32¢	$23	0x55325e…
08-21 11:30:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x35a693…
08-21 11:25:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x231e0b…
08-20 13:59:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0xfbc66f…
08-20 13:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xaf5807…
08-20 13:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0xa14b5f…
08-20 13:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x7b5fc6…
08-20 13:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x79783f…
08-20 13:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6e287c…
08-20 13:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5bc6ea…
08-20 13:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	28	92¢	$26	0x5630a9…
08-20 13:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x42c361…
08-20 13:59:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xeb0b28…
08-20 13:59:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xbb480f…
08-20 13:59:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x390923…
08-20 13:59:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x0b2f82…
08-20 13:53:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xb7222f…
08-20 13:52:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	107	70¢	$75	0xc67c5a…
08-20 13:51:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	107	52¢	$55	0x306d3a…
08-20 13:50:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	69	48¢	$33	0xf321ed…
08-20 13:49:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x63ffbd…
08-08 13:26:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xde34dd…
08-08 13:21:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:20 UTC	Down	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0xbdf212…
08-08 13:20:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xcc437a…
08-08 13:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xf0902e…
08-08 13:13:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xcd106c…
08-08 13:06:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9ec5ec…
08-08 13:00:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xddf6b5…
08-06 09:53:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 09:50 UTC	Up	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0xb70bac…
08-06 09:51:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xcd870d…
08-06 09:42:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0x112132…
08-06 09:30:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xee110b…
08-06 09:22:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x037936…
08-06 09:21:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf1dd40…
08-06 09:16:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0xf1c8ce…
08-06 09:15:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x540524…
08-06 08:53:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x07cf0d…
08-06 08:46:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xba94aa…
08-06 02:10:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	18	60¢	$10	0xc99ffc…
08-06 02:10:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x33ef22…
08-06 02:10:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x6412ce…
08-06 02:10:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x5aa495…
08-06 02:00:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe08b63…
08-04 11:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0x047a13…
08-04 11:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x2792ea…
08-04 11:36:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x6a64f4…
08-04 11:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x6547c9…
08-04 10:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x05626b…
08-04 10:31:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xddc77e…
08-04 10:26:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0xf3dd4e…
08-04 10:25:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x13d9db…
08-04 10:23:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	33	63¢	$21	0x380b5a…
08-04 10:21:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x2e0170…
08-04 10:19:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	68	44¢	$30	0x8d9fc9…
08-04 10:16:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0xaf1f43…
08-04 10:14:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc25a14…
08-04 10:13:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	49	25¢	$12	0x99c48e…
08-04 10:10:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xed133f…
08-04 10:00:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x314173…
08-04 09:58:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	36	8¢	$3	0x00e123…
08-04 09:51:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x737a12…
08-04 09:43:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5f2835…
08-04 09:40:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	77	18¢	$14	0x5b10f3…
08-04 09:39:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x56c1b0…
08-04 06:13:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	43	44¢	$19	0x3da122…
08-04 06:12:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x418dba…
08-03 10:19:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	23	48¢	$11	0x10a004…
08-03 10:18:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x606010…
08-03 09:42:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x0ea2dd…
08-03 09:41:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd9d537…
08-03 09:39:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	21	50¢	$10	0x350b8a…
08-03 09:37:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1d55a7…
08-03 09:33:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x4364c3…
08-03 09:30:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x877188…
08-03 09:10:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x3d0762…
08-03 09:10:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd2a36c…
08-03 07:21:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x64cf16…
08-03 07:21:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x529899…
08-03 07:19:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	21	60¢	$12	0x5cbb31…
08-03 07:18:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xaad5cc…
08-03 07:16:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	23	62¢	$14	0x487958…
08-03 07:16:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe9dcfb…
08-03 07:10:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	25	62¢	$15	0xbe706b…
08-03 07:10:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5af39c…
08-03 07:06:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	102	74¢	$75	0x598ec5…
08-03 07:01:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x7e4c76…
08-03 06:55:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x77de72…
08-03 06:46:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:45 UTC	Up	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0x67331a…
08-03 06:45:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x692975…
08-03 06:38:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	127	82¢	$104	0xe9aabc…
08-03 06:38:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xc245c2…
08-03 06:24:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x5143b6…
08-03 06:18:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xe15bb8…
08-03 06:15:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x36ab9d…
08-03 06:15:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x6e013f…
08-03 06:06:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	49	72¢	$35	0xb8fa55…
08-03 06:03:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xf20318…
08-03 05:59:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:55 UTC	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x38448c…