Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$44,700

Trades

4,703

Unique wallets

492

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-08-20

First seen

2026-08-19

last 08-20 14:00

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail +4,255 Noisy-Colonisation +3,114 Unlawful-Shear +3,017 Haunting-Cheese +2,113 (anon) +1,328 (anon) +1,203 (anon) +1,020 (anon) +1,013

NO holders

Apprehensive-Breakdown +5,860 Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail +4,691 Noisy-Colonisation +3,277 Unlawful-Shear +3,061 Popular-Insurrection +1,549 Lively-Authenticity +1,277 (anon) +908 Agile-Spacing +864

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -2.4¢ (top1%: 68% YES on $30.2K vs crowd: 70% YES on $42.0K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	86	$24.0K	$10.1K	+$14.0K
🐬 Dolphin	132	$3.9K	$1.3K	+$2.6K
🐟 Fish	146	$1.3K	$928	+$411
🦐 Shrimp	128	$326	$259	+$67

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	91	$20.5K	$9.7K	+$10.8K
🏆 Top 5%	55	$1.4K	$491	+$952
✅ Top 10%	31	$241	$108	+$133
Median	35	$186	$49	+$137
Below median	106	$503	$274	+$229
⚠️ Bottom 10%	49	$712	$328	+$384
🔻 Bottom 5%	80	$2.3K	$630	+$1.7K
💀 Bottom 1%	45	$3.7K	$926	+$2.7K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82	Down	+5,860	$2,500	$2,500	3	08-20 13:58
Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3	Down	+4,691	$1,210	$1,210	132	08-20 13:59
Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3	Up	+4,255	$2,422	$2,422	91	08-20 13:58
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	Down	+3,277	$789	$789	134	08-20 13:59
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	Up	+3,114	$2,201	$2,201	93	08-20 13:59
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Down	+3,061	$1,059	$1,059	114	08-20 13:59
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Up	+3,017	$1,983	$1,983	110	08-20 13:59
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	Up	+2,113	$2,092	$2,092	13	08-20 14:00
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+1,549	$105	$105	23	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x4483…54c6	Up	+1,328	$1,214	$1,214	84	08-20 13:59
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Down	+1,277	$233	$233	23	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x239e…1c10	Up	+1,203	$1,098	$1,098	72	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x0b4c…0f79	Up	+1,020	$698	$698	7	08-20 13:58
(anonymous) 0xe251…a237	Up	+1,013	$456	$456	26	08-20 13:58
Funny-Keyboarding 0xa665…01e3	Up	+1,000	$812	$812	24	08-20 13:58
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Up	+926	$622	$622	14	08-20 13:58
(anonymous) 0x8589…e2de	Up	+910	$495	$495	20	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x8589…e2de	Down	+908	$197	$197	31	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x664a…fc5f	Up	+905	$783	$783	11	08-20 13:58
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	Down	+864	$254	$254	57	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0xe251…a237	Down	+840	$237	$237	41	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x7209…53ff	Down	+804	$329	$329	36	08-20 13:59
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	Up	+765	$444	$444	33	08-20 13:59
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	Down	+752	$292	$344	229	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x31f1…5903	Down	+735	$211	$211	26	08-20 13:58
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	Up	+728	$527	$527	166	08-20 13:58
(anonymous) 0x7209…53ff	Up	+697	$348	$348	22	08-20 13:58
(anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90	Up	+638	$311	$1,143	70	08-20 13:58
(anonymous) 0x2b26…42f1	Down	+631	$180	$180	55	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x31f1…5903	Up	+592	$325	$325	12	08-20 13:58
(anonymous) 0x90b9…d563	Up	+537	$426	$426	45	08-20 13:59
Near-Failure 0x629d…756c	Up	+533	$389	$389	15	08-20 13:53
Standard-Divine 0x344f…9dec	Up	+525	$415	$415	7	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x43b3…0ccc	Up	+504	$325	$325	42	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	Down	+466	$95	$95	123	08-20 13:58
(anonymous) 0x43b3…0ccc	Down	+458	$149	$149	43	08-20 13:59
Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604	Up	+439	$399	$399	6	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0xd5c6…e702	Down	+423	$118	$118	37	08-20 13:58
(anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90	Down	+418	$258	$999	100	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x90b9…d563	Down	+413	$88	$88	57	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0xd5c6…e702	Up	+408	$277	$277	31	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0xa4eb…393f	Up	+402	$392	$578	9	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x2b26…42f1	Up	+387	$210	$210	7	08-20 13:58
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	Up	+375	$189	$352	230	08-20 13:59
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+313	$230	$230	40	08-20 13:58
(anonymous) 0x5e57…7c61	Down	+304	$106	$106	52	08-20 13:58
Somber-Jug 0x931c…a002	Up	+289	$275	$275	4	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x0210…5db2	Down	+288	$150	$150	1	08-20 13:50
(anonymous) 0x5e57…7c61	Up	+285	$172	$172	52	08-20 13:58
(anonymous) 0xef46…84ec	Down	+260	$10	$10	2	08-20 13:59
Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15	Down	+260	$117	$117	6	08-20 13:44
Hairy-Secretariat 0x9742…9253	Down	+257	$126	$126	1	08-20 13:43
Near-Failure 0x629d…756c	Down	+246	$161	$161	3	08-20 13:49
(anonymous) 0x0003…3b49	Down	+238	$65	$65	15	08-20 13:58
Dependable-Literate 0xfb20…3b5c	Up	+237	$200	$200	2	08-20 13:58
Leafy-Blackbird 0x3abb…3405	Down	+210	$50	$50	5	08-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0xad8b…284c	Down	+200	$6	$6	19	08-20 13:59
Rich-Afoul 0xc78e…5d77	Down	+200	$101	$101	2	08-20 13:45
Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d	Down	+200	$22	$22	5	08-20 13:59
Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd	Down	+193	$45	$45	12	08-20 13:58