Incomplete-Eyrie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,323

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-09 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 11% $-30

Other

22% — —

Politics

8% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana reach 100 in march 2026	2	$375	288	288	+0	open	—	03-04 22:46
btc updown 5m 1772722500	2	$347	241	238	+4	open	—	03-05 14:58
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	2	$301	474	474	+0	open	—	03-05 13:20
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	4	$296	347	347	+0	open	—	03-04 16:22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	15	$254	5,749	4,599	+1,150	open	—	05-27 02:08
btc updown 5m 1772722200	2	$233	124	124	+0	open	—	03-05 14:56
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	19	$216	941	886	+55	open	—	04-21 12:36
btc updown 5m 1772723400	2	$205	265	152	+113	open	—	03-05 15:14
btc updown 5m 1774035000	2	$200	159	157	+2	open	—	03-20 19:33
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tech signing event on wednesday	4	$176	150	150	+0	open	—	03-04 20:42
btc updown 5m 1772663100	2	$151	175	172	+3	open	—	03-04 22:29
bitcoin above 68k on march 4	3	$151	100	100	+0	open	—	03-04 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$148	0	150	-150	open	—	05-31 09:24
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	20	$148	1,440	1,387	+53	open	—	03-24 11:04
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5	3	$147	87	87	+0	open	—	05-22 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	25	$141	5	283	-278	open	—	05-25 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$141	10	139	-129	open	—	05-25 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	9	$140	10	140	-130	open	—	05-25 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	7	$140	0	280	-280	open	—	05-25 11:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	27	$139	994	1,000	-6	open	—	04-28 13:00
btc updown 5m 1774034700	2	$136	87	86	+1	open	—	03-20 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$130	10	130	-120	open	—	05-24 10:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	11	$114	1,292	1,292	+0	open	—	05-27 11:47
btc updown 5m 1772663400	3	$109	191	188	+3	open	—	03-04 22:34
bitcoin above 80k on march 9	2	$108	3,136	3,136	+0	open	—	03-07 02:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$108	343	231	+112	open	—	06-02 20:36
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	2	$105	66	66	+0	open	—	05-23 16:28
SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5	3	$104	62	62	+0	open	—	05-23 19:51
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	30	$98	2,088	2,088	+0	open	—	04-30 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	8	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	05-17 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:33:42	btc updown 5m 1781008200	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xfb618e…
06-09 12:33:42	btc updown 5m 1781008200	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x85a811…
06-09 12:33:40	btc updown 5m 1781008200	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xfb305c…
06-09 12:33:40	btc updown 5m 1781008200	Up	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xccd4c4…
06-09 12:33:40	btc updown 5m 1781008200	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa9049b…
06-09 12:33:40	btc updown 5m 1781008200	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x5da588…
06-09 12:33:40	btc updown 5m 1781008200	Up	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x088412…
06-09 12:28:09	btc updown 5m 1781007900	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x629116…
06-09 12:27:30	btc updown 5m 1781007900	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xd3bea9…
06-09 12:23:28	btc updown 5m 1781007600	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd36e78…
06-09 12:23:15	btc updown 5m 1781007600	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xae27fd…
06-09 12:21:52	btc updown 5m 1781007600	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe7a236…
06-09 12:20:48	btc updown 5m 1781007600	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x42e4d3…
06-09 12:19:09	btc updown 5m 1781007300	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe85d03…
06-09 12:17:42	btc updown 5m 1781007300	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb51024…
06-09 12:16:34	btc updown 5m 1781007300	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7f4531…
06-09 12:12:25	btc updown 5m 1781007000	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3f2162…
06-09 12:11:27	btc updown 5m 1781007000	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7b40e3…
06-09 12:09:58	btc updown 5m 1781006700	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$4	0xf337d9…
06-09 12:09:43	btc updown 5m 1781006700	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1a1043…
06-02 21:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x472a9b…
06-02 21:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xba87e4…
06-02 21:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe5a15e…
06-02 21:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8ba499…
06-02 20:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd2a40c…
06-02 20:36:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x8e3e05…
06-02 14:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfda3be…
06-02 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xfbc2c7…
06-02 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc69277…
06-02 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	350	1¢	$4	0xc447bd…
06-02 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xbd9a4d…
06-02 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0xa62f8e…
06-02 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x8a7e12…
06-02 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	630	1¢	$6	0x79d7b8…
06-02 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6241c0…
06-02 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x5445a9…
06-02 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4376c4…
06-02 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x412ed0…
06-02 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2efc16…
06-02 14:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0xe37a0b…
06-02 14:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xebd8e8…
06-02 14:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xe7d4a8…
06-02 14:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xc9ad07…
06-02 14:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x6bb45f…
06-02 14:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x1a80d3…
06-02 14:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x227a7f…
06-02 14:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	68	42¢	$28	0x06bc01…
06-02 14:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5dc19a…
06-02 14:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x933715…
06-02 14:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcc4c53…
06-01 18:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf4eff7…
06-01 18:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xae4abf…
06-01 16:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xb067d8…
06-01 16:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x57e6dd…
06-01 16:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xe073e1…
06-01 16:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xa85e52…
06-01 16:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xa776c3…
06-01 16:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x6732d6…
06-01 16:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x05037c…
06-01 16:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x8b58e8…
06-01 16:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0f2267…
06-01 16:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4cfc05…
06-01 16:34:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	45¢	$49	0x412a03…
06-01 15:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x05234f…
06-01 15:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x2fc4de…
06-01 15:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x7e5af9…
06-01 15:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf768a7…
06-01 15:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdd1b6f…
06-01 15:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x9b4860…
06-01 15:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7bd26b…
06-01 13:03:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	34¢	$24	0x556704…
06-01 13:03:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x4ae357…
05-31 17:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x824e96…
05-31 17:05:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	8¢	$10	0x6bad36…
05-31 16:54:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0xf36b12…
05-31 12:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x3ed589…
05-31 12:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x00dfbd…
05-31 12:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5b89c1…
05-31 11:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xa7f6c8…
05-31 11:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x22cfcb…
05-31 10:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x1b8565…
05-31 10:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xa2e029…
05-31 10:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x936e30…
05-31 10:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x2b8cfa…
05-31 10:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x154f47…
05-31 10:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0c64c7…
05-31 10:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	47	34¢	$16	0xd137c0…
05-31 10:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x0096cf…
05-31 10:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc24282…
05-31 10:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xd3aa0f…
05-31 10:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xea18f9…
05-31 10:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc80e15…
05-31 10:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3d55dd…
05-31 09:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8c6afd…
05-31 09:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0xcba91c…
05-31 09:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x6046b1…
05-31 09:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0x705aad…
05-31 09:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xe165b8…
05-31 09:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xdbf52b…
05-31 09:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0xd5f920…