Lasting-Donut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

1,967

Trades

2,038

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% -$3

Sports

15% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 98% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	04-26 02:50
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20bbf2…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb52526…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x142378…
10-24 13:22:35	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa7c351…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff912e…
10-24 12:40:05	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x775726…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x073461…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc124c2…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe23e5f…
10-20 18:39:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc891ef…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x816482…
10-15 20:32:36	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4ebe9c…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9b5af…
10-14 20:56:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4121bb…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60a14c…
10-13 20:58:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b14f9…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf81635…
10-13 01:32:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc9d22…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfeefa4…
10-12 09:08:34	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a355f…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd2c24…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2f3aea…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27ec97…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16164b…
10-09 02:09:50	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fafa3…
10-07 13:53:46	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0fe1a5…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf668e1…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x998510…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdcccf…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38e6f5…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4a050…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7d847f…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bf89a…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdd0b3c…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ae4e2…
10-02 14:15:26	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd1dc61…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e0850…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1752b…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x728217…
10-01 12:05:47	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f055c…
10-01 11:41:47	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed9b9f…
10-01 11:40:05	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d89f4…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76364d…
10-01 05:16:11	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffdffd…
09-30 23:54:47	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6cc8cc…
09-30 07:07:35	atp struff tirante 2026 09 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1764fb…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb7b84…
09-29 13:58:57	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9fae9…
09-29 13:18:56	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcba705…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7aa9eb…
09-29 00:54:09	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3a6fc4…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ce2ba…
09-27 20:41:57	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8cdd3a…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc89504…
09-27 13:31:21	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc3bace…
09-27 12:29:15	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9336c…
09-27 00:27:47	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ae869…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x239f01…
09-26 22:45:11	TCU vs. UCF	UCF	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed60fd…
09-26 19:53:26	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xacbf33…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf87938…
09-25 23:23:26	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43d0ca…
09-25 22:57:44	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa1053d…
09-24 20:48:14	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x978c77…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b70af…
09-24 09:38:47	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5667c3…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x699aed…
09-23 04:45:16	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77474b…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x421c54…
09-21 13:01:32	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd89025…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x230dec…
09-20 21:08:25	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf4c43…
09-20 20:53:01	KKS Lech Poznan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06a8bd…
09-20 12:44:48	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e35d7…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe8406…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c5cf2…
09-20 02:44:37	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f03f5…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaac4ac…
09-19 01:33:07	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e5268…
09-18 19:17:27	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x903c1f…
09-17 17:27:48	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5330de…
09-17 16:02:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x751dd8…
09-17 14:00:51	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe06cd…
09-17 04:43:57	itf ishii1 rajeck1 2026 09 17	Sayaka Ishii	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8003c5…
09-17 00:30:54	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96a2ba…
09-16 19:24:21	Will FK Rodina Moskva win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b632e…
09-16 06:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17b32b…
09-16 05:11:33	ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x81fd95…
09-16 00:09:54	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd08579…
09-15 18:32:07	crint ind afg 2026 09 15	India	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b5ed7…
09-15 14:15:46	W75 Le Neubourg: Demi Tran vs Sachia Vickery	Demi Tran	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x836470…
09-15 13:42:09	European T20 Premier League: Amsterdam Flames vs Dublin Guardians	Amsterdam Flames	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf71e89…
09-15 13:05:54	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Sebastiano Cocola vs Louis Wessels	Sebastiano Cocola	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1797c3…
09-15 12:58:34	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73c061…
09-15 09:42:04	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9b6e6…
09-14 19:48:04	cs2 drama zotix 2026 09 14 game2	Drama eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7df799…
09-14 04:36:52	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x396516…
09-14 01:22:54	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe47751…
09-13 14:59:09	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x071fa2…
09-13 09:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7b888…