Criminal-Sleuth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$831

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

236

Trades

395

lifetime

Volume

$20.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$42

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-03 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 75% +$557

Sports

27% 57% -$940

Other

16% 42% -$450

Tech

2% 100% +$10

Politics

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+257	$35	13¢	$34	-$1	07-25 03:54
will the la clippers make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742385	Yes	+55	$11	6¢	$3	-$8	07-26 02:41
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+54	$10	5¢	$3	-$7	05-20 13:14
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+250	$5	1¢	$2	-$3	10-03 06:06
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-83	-$2	0¢	$-0	+$2	07-05 13:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$1.6K	1,241	1,241	+0	Yes	-$247	02-25 00:07
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$575	2,743	0	+2,743	No	-$575	02-25 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:35 UTC	3	$485	264	263	+1	Up	+$36	03-18 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:50 UTC	2	$483	323	318	+5	Up	+$151	03-18 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:45 UTC	2	$483	247	247	+0	Down	+$5	03-18 12:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:45 UTC	2	$470	251	250	+1	Down	+$27	03-18 09:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 08:55 UTC	2	$469	274	271	+3	Down	+$71	03-19 09:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 05:30 UTC	2	$457	261	259	+2	Up	+$59	03-19 05:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:45 UTC	3	$451	233	233	+0	Up	+$14	03-19 10:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:50 UTC	2	$448	227	226	+0	Down	+$4	03-18 09:55
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$446	4,061	4,061	+0	No	+$186	03-22 05:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:55 UTC	3	$415	218	218	+0	Up	+$17	03-19 10:00
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	2	$380	207	207	+0	No	+$4	07-21 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:35 UTC	2	$353	201	200	+2	Up	+$44	03-18 09:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:30 UTC	2	$322	168	168	+0	Up	+$12	03-18 09:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 05:25 UTC	2	$316	167	167	+0	Down	+$18	03-19 05:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 05:15 UTC	2	$283	144	144	+0	Up	+$3	03-19 05:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 11:20 UTC	2	$274	179	176	+3	Up	+$77	03-19 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:40 UTC	2	$264	135	135	+0	Down	+$4	03-18 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:40 UTC	2	$247	140	139	+1	Up	+$28	03-18 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:00 UTC	2	$242	127	127	+0	Down	+$10	03-19 10:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 11:35 UTC	2	$239	131	131	+1	Down	+$22	03-19 11:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$225	125	125	+0	No	+$25	05-30 04:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:00 UTC	4	$216	111	111	+0	Up	+$6	03-18 09:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 02:05 UTC	2	$210	111	111	+0	Down	+$9	03-22 02:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 12:10 UTC	3	$210	113	112	+0	Up	+$13	03-21 12:16
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	3	$206	161	141	+20	No	+$26	05-17 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:25 UTC	2	$204	105	105	+0	Up	+$4	03-18 12:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$204	108	108	+0	Yes	+$4	05-19 22:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$201	110	110	+0	Yes	+$1	06-14 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 06:06:15	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xdec99e…
10-03 06:01:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	477	2¢	$10	0xfcd90a…
10-03 02:48:03	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x8571d4…
09-05 12:05:07	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x627d9b…
08-04 01:58:44	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x46f96e…
08-02 04:28:36	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb820d7…
08-02 04:25:59	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	SELL	48	59¢	$29	0x7266c4…
08-01 02:33:56	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xe68cf2…
07-29 00:14:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	No	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xad75cb…
07-28 07:31:37	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x753b15…
07-28 07:31:19	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	168	59¢	$100	0x047796…
07-27 09:00:36	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	99	91¢	$90	0xf5b02a…
07-26 02:41:49	will the la clippers make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742385	Yes	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0xab96d2…
07-26 02:35:52	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	57	91¢	$51	0x974cef…
07-25 03:54:43	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	257	14¢	$35	0xb346ef…
07-23 12:29:06	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x3583ef…
07-23 12:28:36	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	135	16¢	$21	0xb82101…
07-23 00:26:39	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0x2a7f6f…
07-23 00:26:00	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x24106d…
07-23 00:25:06	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xaa65af…
07-22 03:08:37	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	43	89¢	$38	0x12591c…
07-22 03:08:15	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x0061e5…
07-22 03:07:37	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xbe0b61…
07-21 02:07:15	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x88a3b3…
07-21 02:04:46	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	207	93¢	$192	0x18d757…
07-20 10:03:06	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xcb0508…
07-19 05:36:15	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xca7621…
07-19 05:35:43	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0x48a42f…
07-19 05:33:49	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x3194e1…
07-19 05:33:16	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	207	91¢	$188	0xc151a0…
07-19 05:29:49	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3408c0…
07-19 05:29:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xb009f6…
07-19 05:27:46	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	No	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0x902bf9…
07-17 09:59:51	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	108	41¢	$44	0xf4731d…
07-17 09:59:40	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	116	59¢	$68	0xe15de3…
07-15 23:55:32	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xf1faca…
07-14 15:21:37	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	346	3¢	$9	0xeb823a…
07-14 15:21:08	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x7c9617…
07-14 15:17:16	dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 07 14	Team Liquid	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xf64133…
07-14 15:16:56	dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 07 14	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8de6ad…
07-14 01:24:32	nbasl por min 2026 07 13	Portland Trail Blazers	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xab4932…
07-14 01:24:17	nbasl por min 2026 07 13	Minnesota Timberwolves	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x5cba72…
07-14 01:22:23	nbasl uta chi 2026 07 13	Utah Jazz	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0xfe84b0…
07-14 01:22:07	nbasl uta chi 2026 07 13	Chicago Bulls	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x3b8000…
07-13 03:53:44	nbasl nyk det 2026 07 13	New York Knicks	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x0dac52…
07-13 03:53:29	nbasl nyk det 2026 07 13	Detroit Pistons	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0xdc187b…
07-12 12:52:56	cs2 innerc brute 2026 07 12	Brute	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1e9e96…
07-12 12:52:41	cs2 innerc brute 2026 07 12	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x964d99…
07-12 12:50:29	OG to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x13e2b9…
07-12 12:50:11	Virtus.pro to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xfc3be5…
07-12 12:47:10	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x8f5235…
07-12 12:46:53	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x5c9926…
07-12 12:46:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x1e8ede…
07-11 17:35:50	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x7b2a77…
07-11 15:04:28	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	No	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x9c2676…
07-11 13:42:43	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	112	25¢	$28	0xcbd029…
07-10 00:17:37	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x983ba1…
07-10 00:17:02	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x41294c…
07-10 00:16:19	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x4fd443…
07-09 02:44:08	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	152	18¢	$27	0xd3575c…
07-08 15:16:50	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x95dfb0…
07-08 15:14:52	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x5de582…
07-08 15:14:29	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x90ff6b…
07-08 15:13:41	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x5f9eed…
07-07 09:43:47	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xbb8450…
07-07 02:29:50	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x1feefa…
07-07 02:29:38	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x915716…
07-06 13:35:50	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0xd90e99…
07-06 13:34:52	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xdbe313…
07-06 09:48:07	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	152	10¢	$15	0x9bc2af…
07-06 09:43:44	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	Yes	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0x076b45…
07-06 09:37:01	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0xc8b0c7…
07-06 05:21:46	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xaeb02c…
07-05 13:33:05	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5c630e…
07-05 13:32:31	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	3¢	$2	0xe3b6bc…
07-05 00:38:29	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x67c731…
07-05 00:37:28	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x71a07f…
07-05 00:36:49	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	145	6¢	$9	0x578d75…
07-04 01:53:34	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xa2390c…
07-02 09:14:46	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x366681…
07-02 09:14:11	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6253ed…
07-02 09:13:37	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x4aed30…
07-02 06:37:04	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x38d465…
07-02 06:36:38	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	80	19¢	$15	0x481955…
07-02 06:36:16	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x35db8d…
06-30 02:58:19	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x617fee…
06-29 23:38:47	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xd9b57b…
06-29 23:37:56	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xe38a1d…
06-29 23:37:32	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0xc52068…
06-28 01:37:16	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x27c516…
06-15 01:46:03	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x933dd8…
06-14 15:23:42	will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xf7877d…
06-14 15:21:45	Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	25¢	$9	0x72dd0b…
06-14 15:09:18	Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x59ea95…
06-14 15:06:34	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd14d46…
06-14 14:59:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	92¢	$101	0x7f4ed7…
06-14 14:58:24	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,882	2¢	$100	0xb8b9e4…
06-14 14:57:01	Will Japan be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,028	10¢	$100	0xb09866…
06-14 14:56:33	Will Japan be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	844	12¢	$100	0xd2240b…
06-14 14:55:57	Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	408	24¢	$100	0xb79fb2…