Productive-Hydrocarbon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$348

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 100% +$3

Other

20% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	+8	$8	99¢	$8	+$0	05-05 22:50
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	+8	$8	80¢	$6	$-1	05-05 22:14
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	+8	$8	36¢	$3	$-5	05-05 22:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 21:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 21:44
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 21:25
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 22:50
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 21:25
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Up	+$0	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Up	+$0	05-05 01:20
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-05 07:14
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Up	+$0	05-05 04:39
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-05 06:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-05 00:30
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-04 23:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-04 22:39
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-05 04:24
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-05 05:30
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-05 04:10
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-04 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:50:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x5af675…
05-05 22:39:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x252d7b…
05-05 22:14:58	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfd6838…
05-05 21:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb53b2f…
05-05 21:25:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x2ac85d…
05-05 21:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6b5cf6…
05-05 21:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x22f800…
05-05 20:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4a5549…
05-05 20:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x301720…
05-05 18:09:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0024fd…
05-05 18:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2284c2…
05-05 17:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8018b3…
05-05 16:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x092049…
05-05 07:14:58	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8cf9ca…
05-05 06:50:00	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x189109…
05-05 06:40:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc3d17c…
05-05 06:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x28b18d…
05-05 05:30:00	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x87378e…
05-05 05:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x79832b…
05-05 05:04:58	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc17ae5…
05-05 04:40:00	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x8a49c4…
05-05 04:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x614cbc…
05-05 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x16845c…
05-05 04:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa605b9…
05-05 04:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x122a24…
05-05 04:19:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x666634…
05-05 04:10:00	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5b7035…
05-05 04:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9215ae…
05-05 04:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcbc486…
05-05 03:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x525656…
05-05 03:24:58	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x0d4ba6…
05-05 02:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x47b62c…
05-05 02:30:00	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xd38949…
05-05 02:29:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x74bffb…
05-05 01:59:58	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9a8c3d…
05-05 01:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x9efa5e…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3f7407…
05-05 00:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x072890…
05-05 00:49:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4b6caf…
05-05 00:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xac1946…
05-05 00:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf6bc64…
05-05 00:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6b7251…
05-05 00:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x4c8bd2…
05-04 23:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x56f430…
05-04 23:44:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x43c16a…
05-04 23:24:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8f9589…
05-04 23:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xaf0162…
05-04 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x287d62…
05-04 22:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x404902…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	25	$1.71K	82	05-05 21:25
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	24	$4.32K	111	05-05 21:44
Thirsty-Adjustment 0x2f32…ada6	23	$1.28K	175	05-05 21:45
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	19	$509	46	05-05 22:45
(anonymous) 0x8804…5f52	18	$620	24	05-05 21:44
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	16	$793	55	05-05 20:55
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	16	$756	66	05-05 20:59
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	16	$749	63	05-05 20:59