Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$976

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

621

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-23

last 07-31 13:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Tech

41% 69% -$1,177

Politics

27% 72% -$29

Other

23% 68% -$25

Sports

9% 88% +$255

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+0	-$3	32¢	$0	+$3	07-12 02:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	53	$3.2K	1,904	1,404	+500	Yes	+$39	06-28 02:09
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	28	$2.8K	2,510	2,510	+0	No	-$732	06-26 14:57
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	53	$2.0K	2,458	1,308	+1,150	No	-$26	07-03 22:10
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	52	$1.8K	2,330	2,330	+0	Yes	-$676	07-01 04:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	29	$1.3K	693	693	+0	No	+$30	06-28 15:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	11	$897	636	636	+0	No	+$20	07-14 19:11
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	23	$887	1,037	1,037	+0	No	-$97	07-02 09:29
will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	7	$848	462	462	+0	Yes	+$2	06-28 08:41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	35	$818	1,685	1,264	+421	No	+$152	07-11 19:15
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	25	$787	593	593	+0	Yes	+$21	07-01 19:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$781	565	565	+0	No	+$86	07-25 19:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	13	$640	377	377	+0	Yes	+$15	07-08 08:54
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	4	$518	700	0	+700	No	+$182	06-30 22:32
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	5	$414	404	404	+0	open	—	07-04 21:23
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$412	1,179	1,179	+0	Yes	+$84	07-10 21:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	8	$401	311	311	+0	open	—	07-22 18:05
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	16	$382	1,060	1,060	+0	Yes	-$296	07-13 04:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$355	200	200	+0	open	—	07-31 13:06
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	3	$304	307	307	+0	open	—	06-30 16:33
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	8	$290	306	206	+100	Yes	-$39	06-30 17:44
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	13	$283	200	200	+0	No	+$41	07-08 07:05
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	4	$257	250	250	+0	open	—	06-30 10:03
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$225	250	0	+250	No	+$25	06-30 11:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	4	$223	150	150	+0	No	+$13	07-01 15:23
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	11	$222	142	142	+0	No	+$23	07-03 21:02
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	2	$216	116	116	+0	Yes	+$16	06-23 17:47
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	6	$202	108	108	+0	Yes	+$12	06-28 16:43
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	1	$200	211	0	+211	Yes	+$11	07-03 04:29
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$3	07-01 09:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$195	200	0	+200	No	+$5	06-23 13:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 13:06:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x9972a8…
07-30 18:06:57	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x4b24c5…
07-30 16:53:21	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x34b3f0…
07-30 11:04:59	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x10050c…
07-25 19:48:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$298	0x7fab06…
07-25 19:25:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x4993d6…
07-22 18:05:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	311	65¢	$202	0x6e87a0…
07-14 22:44:14	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0xc58a1a…
07-14 19:11:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	276	100¢	$275	0x3e63e8…
07-14 11:18:07	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x1263d9…
07-13 04:17:58	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	SELL	1,024	3¢	$31	0x85ed04…
07-12 19:27:40	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	60	32¢	$19	0x5c4df9…
07-12 19:27:29	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x41f56d…
07-12 02:56:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	66¢	$48	0x2dbc76…
07-11 19:15:49	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	649	38¢	$249	0x5a550c…
07-11 19:15:02	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0xc73689…
07-11 19:14:23	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x338617…
07-11 19:14:10	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	57	38¢	$22	0xf782f6…
07-11 19:09:56	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x74a40e…
07-11 19:08:53	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x5b7959…
07-11 19:08:10	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xba188a…
07-11 19:07:41	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	130	38¢	$50	0x94da12…
07-11 19:07:05	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	38¢	$10	0xa0608a…
07-11 19:06:44	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x7428c7…
07-11 19:05:32	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x54efd8…
07-11 19:05:22	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xb95c54…
07-11 19:05:11	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	55	38¢	$21	0x2451fa…
07-11 19:03:07	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x3ede04…
07-11 19:02:07	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x24504e…
07-11 19:02:04	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x8eefbc…
07-11 19:01:52	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x71605c…
07-11 19:01:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x86af5c…
07-11 19:01:34	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xe5b7e9…
07-11 19:01:01	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x12ee5c…
07-11 19:00:53	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x81472a…
07-11 19:00:23	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x9dcb20…
07-11 18:58:52	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0xe799cb…
07-11 18:58:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xb523bb…
07-11 18:57:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	56	38¢	$21	0x557ec1…
07-11 18:57:43	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x396a27…
07-11 18:56:56	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x36d182…
07-11 18:56:50	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x0100cd…
07-11 18:56:17	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x15cc98…
07-11 18:54:35	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x1bc83d…
07-11 18:53:41	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	42	38¢	$16	0xb40325…
07-11 16:56:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x1df2b0…
07-11 07:59:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x01b5fb…
07-11 07:02:53	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0x2eda01…
07-11 04:39:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x076f65…
07-11 01:43:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xb118a6…
07-10 21:00:50	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	700	21¢	$147	0x2b8834…
07-10 21:00:20	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x6f90e3…
07-10 21:00:11	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	476	21¢	$100	0x756911…
07-08 17:26:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x8fe326…
07-08 08:54:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	252	87¢	$219	0x67fe22…
07-08 08:52:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x37276c…
07-08 08:49:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0x860a03…
07-08 08:49:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x7cdbdd…
07-08 08:49:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0xfd658c…
07-08 08:49:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x1aa586…
07-08 08:45:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	87¢	$84	0x694226…
07-08 08:42:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xa9afc8…
07-08 07:05:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xe3604b…
07-07 12:08:40	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	17	67¢	$12	0x450097…
07-07 11:35:26	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	33	67¢	$22	0x330a7f…
07-06 07:22:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xa996f8…
07-06 07:22:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x53b0dc…
07-06 07:22:04	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x8dc030…
07-06 07:20:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	305	10¢	$29	0x5dc989…
07-05 21:00:53	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	SELL	48	43¢	$21	0xf8b289…
07-05 20:38:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x0e4472…
07-05 20:18:20	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x821e68…
07-05 13:57:14	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x16a093…
07-05 10:00:46	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x2fca49…
07-05 09:12:37	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	142	20¢	$28	0xa64584…
07-05 08:42:32	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x93c732…
07-05 08:39:26	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$1	0x168d2b…
07-05 08:36:49	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	102	20¢	$20	0x7adb01…
07-05 08:17:14	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0x85c4cb…
07-05 07:26:43	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xe6a9e9…
07-05 04:18:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	105	74¢	$78	0x1d8c38…
07-04 22:45:44	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6befe3…
07-04 21:23:58	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	SELL	244	57¢	$139	0xfe4e58…
07-04 17:38:31	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	150	54¢	$81	0x250737…
07-04 16:18:31	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	SELL	92	57¢	$52	0x6f8183…
07-03 23:07:29	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	SELL	68	57¢	$39	0xfa03aa…
07-03 22:10:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd16e93…
07-03 22:09:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x064b1e…
07-03 22:09:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	110	11¢	$12	0xe166b0…
07-03 22:09:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	54	11¢	$6	0xeb662e…
07-03 22:09:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x8d0e67…
07-03 22:03:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	250	11¢	$28	0xaf20d1…
07-03 22:02:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	149	13¢	$19	0xe98ed4…
07-03 22:00:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x574f12…
07-03 21:44:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x41339e…
07-03 21:02:22	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	142	86¢	$123	0x34cf1f…
07-03 20:58:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xd1a6a9…
07-03 20:24:14	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	SELL	36	34¢	$12	0x5bb162…
07-03 19:22:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x3b0894…
07-03 18:07:04	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xd801c4…