Long-Term-Siege — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$76

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

435

435 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$9.79K

$9.79K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$188

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% $-76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 389 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	+331	$131	38¢	$126	$-5	05-06 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	+289	$28	8¢	$25	$-3	05-06 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	+21	$18	62¢	$13	$-5	05-06 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	+15	$8	82¢	$12	+$5	05-05 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	+1,000	$10	1¢	$10	+$0	05-06 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	+16	$8	18¢	$3	$-5	05-05 23:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	5	$974	986	0	+986	Down	+$12	05-04 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$957	2,573	0	+2,573	Up	$-957	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$779	1,166	0	+1,166	Down	$-107	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	37	$612	2,103	535	+1,568	Up	$-3	05-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	8	$553	563	0	+563	Up	+$2	05-05 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$546	0	552	-552	Up	$-6	05-05 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	5	$522	855	0	+855	Down	$-250	05-05 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$373	763	0	+763	Up	+$390	05-04 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$302	696	0	+696	Down	+$394	05-04 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	7	$262	543	0	+543	open	—	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	5	$259	724	0	+724	Up	$-259	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$257	716	0	+716	Down	+$459	05-05 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$224	299	0	+299	Up	+$74	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	7	$223	555	0	+555	Down	+$331	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$200	417	0	+417	open	—	05-05 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$187	0	189	-189	open	—	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$181	490	0	+490	Up	+$308	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$165	320	0	+320	Down	$-165	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	7	$149	351	0	+351	open	—	05-06 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$149	311	0	+311	Down	+$34	05-05 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$143	185	0	+185	Up	+$42	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$138	246	0	+246	open	—	05-05 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	28	$125	11,349	0	+11,349	open	—	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$118	11,786	0	+11,786	Up	$-118	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	29	$113	211	0	+211	open	—	05-05 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	15	$111	233	0	+233	Down	+$119	05-05 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$96	145	0	+145	Down	+$49	05-05 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	27	$91	96	0	+96	Up	+$5	05-05 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$87	272	0	+272	Down	$-87	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$86	667	0	+667	Down	$-86	05-05 02:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x4c5e93…
05-06 00:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	89	9¢	$8	0x338aaa…
05-06 00:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x5ba636…
05-06 00:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x210c26…
05-06 00:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x801278…
05-06 00:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf6b3a0…
05-06 00:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe34878…
05-06 00:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	92	40¢	$37	0xda641a…
05-06 00:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	92	40¢	$37	0xb252dc…
05-06 00:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	146	39¢	$57	0x280fc2…
05-05 23:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x4616f6…
05-05 23:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0x36dd1e…
05-05 18:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x8d617a…
05-05 12:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x758d78…
05-05 10:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb61a1c…
05-05 10:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x81fd7f…
05-05 10:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd54a03…
05-05 10:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xac23e6…
05-05 10:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa4c028…
05-05 10:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xc89f3e…
05-05 08:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xcff674…
05-05 08:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xda341e…
05-05 08:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x2a9773…
05-05 08:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	66	46¢	$30	0xbc817e…
05-05 08:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	39	70¢	$27	0xd117bd…
05-05 08:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xdd7633…
05-05 08:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	41	66¢	$27	0xde73c7…
05-05 08:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0x0377a5…
05-05 08:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9705e9…
05-05 08:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf198df…
05-05 08:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x5de6c2…
05-05 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x2ab2cf…
05-05 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x30912c…
05-05 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa8c563…
05-05 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x66bd37…
05-05 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd9491c…
05-05 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x73b94e…
05-05 08:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xdb76db…
05-05 08:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4121ca…
05-05 08:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdc42f6…
05-05 08:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x336f03…
05-05 08:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$6	0x9d1bed…
05-05 08:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4cc77e…
05-05 08:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x2669b9…
05-05 08:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x75d47c…
05-05 08:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xba4833…
05-05 08:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcbeff2…
05-05 08:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x5fbc60…
05-05 08:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdce9d5…
05-05 08:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xd1086f…
05-05 08:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x52b7b3…
05-05 08:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xfa0565…
05-05 08:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xd88b76…
05-05 08:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb8a37c…
05-05 08:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc58482…
05-05 08:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x3d52af…
05-05 08:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd6fdd8…
05-05 08:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x193e83…
05-05 08:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xa8b713…
05-05 08:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6a8fd4…
05-05 08:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	241	56¢	$135	0x4132e8…
05-05 08:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcd84bf…
05-05 08:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x191437…
05-05 07:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe9a8c1…
05-05 07:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xc30f2e…
05-05 07:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd34f7c…
05-05 07:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5f86c5…
05-05 07:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe70ee9…
05-05 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	208	54¢	$112	0x02d666…
05-05 07:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	307	44¢	$135	0xbed3a8…
05-05 06:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0xe5fef0…
05-05 06:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	189	99¢	$187	0x2ec6a2…
05-05 06:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xbe3936…
05-05 06:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x08aba6…
05-05 06:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x569777…
05-05 06:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x35f1cf…
05-05 06:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x83a40e…
05-05 06:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3e775d…
05-05 06:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x492577…
05-05 06:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x416c7f…
05-05 06:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x5f5a11…
05-05 06:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x1d9888…
05-05 06:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0xdc533e…
05-05 06:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6,195	1¢	$62	0x467ea7…
05-05 06:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0xd7bf44…
05-05 06:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x91d324…
05-05 06:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	910	1¢	$9	0x32a450…
05-05 06:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	486	1¢	$5	0x7aa798…
05-05 06:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x718cc7…
05-05 06:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,123	1¢	$11	0xd6ae02…
05-05 06:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	379	1¢	$4	0x080d8d…
05-05 06:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9f14a4…
05-05 06:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x51245a…
05-05 06:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	298	1¢	$3	0x943cb0…
05-05 06:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0xa2d819…
05-05 06:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0xab686e…
05-05 06:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc12a88…
05-05 06:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	590	1¢	$6	0xc7849b…
05-05 06:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x2ab491…
05-05 06:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x9d4fd0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	80	$10.7K	405	05-06 00:24
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	67	$15.3K	388	05-06 00:23
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	66	$4.47K	284	05-06 00:22
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	65	$4.46K	290	05-06 00:13
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	63	$3.54K	288	05-06 00:13
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	62	$3.56K	298	05-06 00:13
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	62	$810	288	05-06 00:10
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	59	$1.11K	136	05-06 00:22