Impartial-Carter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$78

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,691

lifetime

Volume

$41.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-24 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

53% 100% +$126

Other

42% 0% $-43

Sports

5% 59% $-5

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	77	$2.7K	2,357	2,423	-66	open	—	03-30 20:28
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	63	$1.8K	2,110	2,150	-40	open	—	03-25 12:33
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	48	$1.1K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	53	$1.1K	1,500	1,400	+100	open	—	04-10 00:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	29	$1.1K	739	739	+0	open	—	03-31 22:28
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	26	$1.0K	710	710	+0	open	—	04-05 22:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	34	$1.0K	1,020	620	+400	open	—	04-07 19:46
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	63	$1.0K	2,631	2,242	+389	open	—	03-18 12:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	15	$851	499	599	-100	open	—	05-24 22:41
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	27	$644	800	600	+200	open	—	04-14 02:33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	15	$643	500	500	+0	open	—	04-05 20:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	24	$613	814	799	+14	open	—	04-22 20:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	20	$602	845	400	+445	open	—	04-14 02:53
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	21	$554	900	900	+0	open	—	03-18 21:44
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	22	$495	870	870	+0	open	—	03-29 16:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	10	$477	310	360	-50	open	—	06-28 00:27
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	17	$457	350	250	+100	open	—	03-27 13:46
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	17	$431	548	248	+300	open	—	04-07 14:55
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	6	$412	350	350	+0	open	—	03-28 21:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	17	$402	361	400	-39	open	—	05-22 04:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	16	$391	730	730	+0	open	—	04-08 01:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	26	$389	786	773	+13	open	—	04-20 16:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	16	$381	360	160	+200	open	—	03-31 07:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	14	$376	220	220	+0	open	—	03-30 20:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	11	$358	310	225	+85	open	—	04-24 03:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	21	$357	1,034	1,034	+0	open	—	07-14 14:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	8	$346	250	200	+50	No	+$72	05-01 22:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	9	$342	350	300	+50	open	—	05-13 18:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	12	$336	228	300	-72	open	—	04-27 16:52
ukraine hits moscow by march 31 2026	22	$336	1,824	1,900	-76	open	—	03-29 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 16:26:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x53385f…
07-24 01:17:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x5ab391…
07-23 12:44:30	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0xbd255e…
07-21 11:37:55	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xee0f87…
07-21 11:32:55	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x5bd072…
07-21 11:32:28	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0x465edb…
07-21 04:08:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x1de36a…
07-21 04:04:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0xe49f85…
07-21 04:04:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x4298b9…
07-21 04:03:03	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xb245c2…
07-21 04:03:01	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xdfa5fd…
07-21 04:02:45	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xc0449d…
07-21 04:01:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xfe78ce…
07-20 20:58:48	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xb9da57…
07-20 17:42:15	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xaec4ad…
07-20 17:42:15	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x93262d…
07-18 18:05:07	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xcfeb70…
07-18 18:04:30	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0xd33ef3…
07-18 18:03:31	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	38	14¢	$5	0x956119…
07-18 18:02:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0xf039f1…
07-18 17:50:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xa502ca…
07-18 05:17:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xdcf9e7…
07-17 20:01:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	77	19¢	$15	0x9d9358…
07-15 03:16:32	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0xc247f3…
07-14 22:05:26	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0xac048c…
07-14 22:03:43	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	10¢	$3	0x57a100…
07-14 22:03:11	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x0eada6…
07-14 22:02:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	9¢	$9	0x1cf76c…
07-14 22:02:32	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0xc77c62…
07-14 22:02:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0xe5a2ca…
07-14 15:04:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xcb319d…
07-14 14:05:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xb7dbaa…
07-14 13:56:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x5c0b01…
07-14 13:52:59	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	85	17¢	$14	0x4f17a2…
07-14 13:52:35	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x22f808…
07-14 13:52:11	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x8c3003…
07-13 22:35:13	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x394dcb…
07-13 11:10:32	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xc3123f…
07-12 05:14:32	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x946058…
07-12 01:19:47	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x1b3c6f…
07-12 01:18:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x54ba0c…
07-12 01:17:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$11	0x429688…
07-12 00:42:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xa604bd…
07-08 22:37:23	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x1af739…
07-08 22:06:32	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x08d9e6…
07-08 18:46:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	180	15¢	$27	0x65d554…
07-08 18:44:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x3aecbc…
07-08 08:17:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x2b1ed9…
07-05 04:54:34	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x4ae8fb…
07-03 19:45:29	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x1f0c55…
07-02 14:49:46	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xcdff9b…
07-02 11:43:08	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x967637…
07-02 07:03:10	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x5a33da…
07-02 04:31:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	195	0¢	$0	0x3c04d1…
06-30 03:05:19	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xc2e098…
06-29 19:49:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x53d8a9…
06-29 16:28:05	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	505	1¢	$4	0x3d9a26…
06-29 16:22:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x184411…
06-29 16:21:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2da248…
06-29 16:20:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3a1828…
06-28 00:36:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	138	12¢	$16	0x12adfb…
06-28 00:27:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xf2fbe0…
06-28 00:18:56	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xd7833e…
06-27 20:17:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x719687…
06-26 05:25:11	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xd1b958…
06-26 04:58:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xc8e1ec…
06-25 23:01:26	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xcd1510…
06-25 22:58:59	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x0ae9f1…
06-25 22:57:19	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xe2bea1…
06-25 22:53:29	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xa324ae…
06-25 22:52:08	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$1	0x595fe1…
06-25 22:51:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	550	0¢	$2	0xad5d89…
06-25 22:51:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x630fa4…
06-25 19:43:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	112	11¢	$12	0x7e1a2e…
06-25 00:08:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	150	13¢	$20	0xb38165…
06-24 05:54:22	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x8eea3d…
06-22 23:57:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x432376…
06-22 20:01:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	94	96¢	$90	0xb33add…
06-22 19:02:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x949a76…
06-22 18:53:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	75	12¢	$9	0x41b4a7…
06-22 18:52:40	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xb6ee9d…
06-22 18:50:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x67620a…
06-22 18:43:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0xcdb438…
06-22 18:42:29	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x57fbc6…
06-22 18:41:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc41616…
06-22 08:39:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x737f29…
06-19 09:07:50	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xe27b04…
06-17 23:24:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	158	18¢	$29	0xb0a93b…
06-17 15:15:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xd695dc…
06-17 12:02:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x21262b…
06-17 07:52:34	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	BUY	12	29¢	$4	0x9fa2d4…
06-17 07:11:38	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd11be0…
06-17 07:10:52	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x0442f1…
06-17 07:08:40	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x2413d5…
06-17 07:07:38	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x9caf7f…
06-17 07:06:32	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x0b9df3…
06-17 07:04:35	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x9ca0d0…
06-17 07:04:28	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xfe8075…
06-17 07:04:02	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xa6e2a4…
06-17 05:46:53	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xeff225…