Realized P&L
+$78
Unrealized P&L
+$200
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
21
Trades
2,637
lifetime
Volume
$40.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$206
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 03:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
54% 100% +$126
Other
41% 0% $-43
Sports
5% 59% $-5
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -50 $-221 100¢ $-50 +$171 06-28 00:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-48 100¢ $-50 $-1 06-17 03:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +80 $40 46¢ $37 $-3 06-25 22:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -150 $-19 19¢ $-28 $-10 06-25 22:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -50 $-29 42¢ $-21 +$8 06-25 22:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +100 $87 10¢ $10 $-77 06-28 00:36
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes -50 $-5 10¢ $-5 +$0 05-29 01:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -24 $-4 12¢ $-3 +$2 05-29 01:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -700 $-92 $-1 +$91 06-25 22:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes -500 $22 $-0 $-22 06-25 22:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes -480 $-25 $-0 +$24 06-11 06:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -101 $-5 $-0 +$5 06-17 12:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -300 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-17 01:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -200 $-6 $-0 +$5 06-14 13:30
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Yes -150 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-29 01:31
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -100 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-17 00:51
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes -82 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-29 01:32