Realized P&L
+$78
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
21
Trades
2,529
lifetime
Volume
$39.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$231
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-08 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
53% 100% +$126
Other
42% 0% $-43
Sports
5% 59% $-5
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +416 $129 29¢ $119 $-11 06-08 19:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -150 $-90 24¢ $-37 +$53 06-01 14:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +80 $32 38¢ $31 $-1 06-08 19:59
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +110 $17 15¢ $16 $-1 06-08 01:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +100 $27 12¢ $12 $-15 05-27 20:50
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes -50 $-5 12¢ $-6 $-1 05-29 01:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +32 $16 12¢ $4 $-12 06-08 19:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes -130 $-9 $-3 +$6 05-29 01:33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -24 $-4 11¢ $-3 +$2 05-29 01:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes -82 $-1 $-1 +$1 05-29 01:32
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Yes -150 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-29 01:31