Buoyant-Molasses — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$43

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved (30d)

650

Trades (30d)

971

12,621 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.23K

$24.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$91

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 11-05 22:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 43% -$841

Other

42% 41% -$854

Tech

2% 50% +$5

Politics

2% 82% -$8

Sports

1% 49% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 1114 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	-60	-$52	96¢	$-58	-$5	06-03 19:30
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+20	$9	95¢	$19	+$10	06-25 18:21
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	+100	$16	11¢	$11	-$6	11-04 10:55
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+50	$3	3¢	$2	-$2	10-15 06:31
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$2	2¢	$1	-$1	10-23 20:15
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$9	5¢	$1	-$8	06-17 08:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	39	$285	585	40	+545	Yes	-$1	06-19 14:45
Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?	16	$260	432	0	+432	Yes	-$64	06-13 20:08
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	19	$170	336	0	+336	No	$0	06-02 11:30
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	18	$163	334	0	+334	Yes	+$2	06-09 14:13
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	11	$123	76	76	+0	No	+$26	06-24 20:26
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	21	$109	450	0	+450	No	-$21	06-02 19:50
israel closes its airspace by june 9	16	$102	306	0	+306	No	+$0	06-09 08:29
will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	12	$101	189	11	+179	open	—	07-18 19:12
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	5	$100	149	149	+0	open	—	07-18 09:01
Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?	8	$99	154	4	+150	open	—	08-29 20:47
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?	4	$99	200	0	+200	Yes	+$1	06-01 18:35
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?	4	$99	129	0	+129	No	+$1	05-30 06:35
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	2	$87	20	80	-60	open	—	06-03 19:30
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	12	$84	359	0	+359	Yes	-$4	06-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?	10	$80	160	0	+160	No	$0	06-17 15:03
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	6	$78	80	40	+40	Yes	-$4	08-06 21:24
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?	11	$75	47	47	+0	No	+$18	06-18 10:40
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	18	$70	142	0	+142	Yes	+$1	06-19 16:40
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 20?	12	$70	170	0	+170	No	-$20	06-19 16:15
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?	7	$63	124	0	+124	No	+$1	06-01 18:32
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	4	$61	100	100	+0	open	—	06-18 18:54
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?	7	$61	120	0	+120	No	-$41	06-17 15:05
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?	7	$60	112	0	+112	No	+$51	06-21 08:03
will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	5	$58	40	40	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 21:02
Sendai 89ers vs. Utsunomiya Brex	13	$57	52	30	+22	Sendai 89ers	+$3	10-17 07:18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?	5	$52	100	0	+100	Yes	-$12	06-19 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?	8	$49	30	30	+0	No	+$11	06-18 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 19?	8	$47	100	0	+100	Yes	-$7	06-18 22:02
will aapl dip to 292 by june 22 2026	13	$47	65	0	+65	Yes	-$2	06-25 10:44
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$45	40	40	+0	open	—	06-24 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 22:37:04	Will Bengaluru FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbdde5c…
11-05 22:35:48	Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcdb4ea…
11-04 10:55:40	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xab1097…
11-03 20:39:46	Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1bed9b…
11-03 20:38:06	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1eecf0…
11-03 20:35:55	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x705562…
11-03 20:30:15	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2339d5…
11-03 20:28:57	Will Viking FK win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf37c0f…
11-03 20:27:15	Will RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdac546…
11-02 21:47:22	1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x32b458…
10-29 11:49:04	Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Abyssal (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Playoffs	Abyssal	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa328ca…
10-29 11:47:43	Counter-Strike: NEXVOID vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Playoffs	NEXVOID	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x16359d…
10-29 11:46:02	Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group A	ALKA	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x41be31…
10-29 11:26:01	Counter-Strike: Imperial vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group B	QUINTESSÊNCIA	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x670e53…
10-29 11:23:26	Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs PRIVATE (BO3) - CyberClash Playoffs	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xeef2c2…
10-29 11:22:32	Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs Just Players (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Saint Sinners	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd79d6b…
10-27 21:23:33	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7cfd63…
10-27 21:22:33	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	Liquid	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf00738…
10-27 21:20:38	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FaZe	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0a0aac…
10-27 21:17:54	cs2 lg6 envy 2026 10 28	Envy	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1ba094…
10-27 21:16:21	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x555814…
10-24 19:53:59	SHL: Luleå vs. Djurgården	Djurgården	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1e6c64…
10-24 17:35:51	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xdbe205…
10-24 12:33:23	GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x5fe396…
10-24 12:14:48	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa03cd8…
10-24 12:14:08	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xe25ca0…
10-24 12:13:18	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Nemiga	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x46f19d…
10-23 20:38:57	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Eternal Fire	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1d344a…
10-23 20:34:57	Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Rare Atom (BO3) - VOID Autumn Cup Playoffs	Rare Atom	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc4fee4…
10-23 20:33:33	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	FORZE Reload	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe05772…
10-23 20:31:24	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FaZe	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3e44de…
10-23 20:19:53	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x9eec87…
10-23 20:15:15	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x24ec86…
10-23 20:12:14	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x38456b…
10-23 10:20:41	M15 Tanagura: Hugo Hashimoto vs Chun-Chien Hou	Chun-Chien Hou	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x10388a…
10-23 10:20:05	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2bf6ea…
10-23 10:19:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7a5b5d…
10-23 10:14:54	SHL: Luleå vs. Djurgården	Djurgården	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe167f5…
10-23 10:08:24	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9f508e…
10-23 10:06:38	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	JiJieHao	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x979911…
10-23 10:01:15	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Playoffs	ILLYRIANS	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf29707…
10-23 09:47:54	Sonic Boom vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x13f77a…
10-23 09:00:05	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Playoffs	ILLYRIANS	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa3021f…
10-22 21:00:59	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xff97a1…
10-22 21:00:54	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x129efe…
10-22 19:56:47	Valorant: SK Nebula vs Nova Esports GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Nova Esports GC	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xbefcf6…
10-22 19:52:39	Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs	UPGRADE	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x27fc73…
10-22 18:05:18	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6632af…
10-22 17:55:08	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5ee4e1…
10-22 17:55:08	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x378146…
10-22 17:47:11	Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6a8af6…
10-22 17:30:59	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8e0680…
10-22 17:27:06	Spread: Anadolu Efes (-4.5)	Anadolu Efes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x487fe9…
10-22 17:25:45	Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs your end (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Playoffs	your end	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xc6dd5f…
10-22 17:23:20	Canadiens vs. Blackhawks	Canadiens	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x805f1e…
10-22 17:22:35	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xc93b5e…
10-22 17:13:33	Counter-Strike: wnT vs ZOTIX (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	wnT	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x30e068…
10-22 17:13:03	Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Rcave (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Rcave	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc2ad81…
10-22 15:38:29	SHL: Skellefteå vs. Djurgården	Djurgården	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x65a8d5…
10-22 12:39:59	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x66bba8…
10-22 11:09:14	Will Houston Dash win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbae4de…
10-22 11:09:14	Will Houston Dash win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x23a3ae…
10-22 10:54:38	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid PH vs Aurora Gaming PH (BO5) - MPL Philippines Playoffs	Team Liquid PH	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x09f942…
10-22 10:47:00	Fujian Sturgeons vs. Ningbo Rockets	Ningbo Rockets	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3229cf…
10-22 10:37:18	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Zhejiang Lions	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x949f3d…
10-22 10:36:54	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Zhejiang Lions	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd517f4…
10-22 10:32:24	Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	FORZE Reload	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd08885…
10-22 10:32:12	Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Playoffs	Lavked	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x001e2d…
10-22 10:27:12	Valorant: Nova Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 1	Nova Esports	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xdf910c…
10-22 10:22:23	Will Moik Baku win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4fe0d0…
10-22 10:11:59	Fujian Sturgeons vs. Ningbo Rockets	Ningbo Rockets	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x93efe9…
10-22 10:10:48	Beijing Ducks vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x280c90…
10-22 10:06:38	Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	FORZE Reload	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8ca3d3…
10-22 09:56:42	Mobis Phoebus vs. LG Sakers	LG Sakers	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb9f96b…
10-22 09:53:17	SHL: Skellefteå vs. Djurgården	Djurgården	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x17fd96…
10-22 09:51:56	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid PH vs Aurora Gaming PH (BO5) - MPL Philippines Playoffs	Aurora Gaming PH	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2dc7b0…
10-22 09:50:21	Will Simal win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe948a6…
10-22 09:49:50	Honor of Kings: LGD NBW vs Hero JiuJing (BO7) - King Pro League Grand Finals Breakout Stage	Hero JiuJing	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8755ad…
10-22 09:45:45	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Zhejiang Lions	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xeee468…
10-22 08:53:00	1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x730a13…
10-22 07:58:18	Illawarra Hawks vs. Sydney Kings	Illawarra Hawks	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xc576d2…
10-22 06:40:51	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Pelicans	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x72830d…
10-22 05:17:30	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Pelicans	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb7acee…
10-22 04:16:27	Spread: Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC (-1.5)	Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd61db9…
10-22 00:55:03	Will CF América win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x51a875…
10-21 21:34:03	Will Zaqatala FK win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x1a6b15…
10-21 21:28:05	M15 Singapore: Alexey Aleshchev vs Pranav Karthik	Alexey Aleshchev	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x558aa7…
10-21 21:17:57	Will FC Thun win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x835240…
10-21 21:07:17	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Pelicans	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xfef1a6…
10-21 21:02:06	LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Solary	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf1ec72…
10-21 21:00:30	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x278861…
10-21 20:58:41	Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x56e54b…
10-21 20:38:51	M25 Tamworth: Chen Dong vs Philip Sekulic	Chen Dong	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x2049d6…
10-21 20:37:50	itf katsum1 sato2 2026 10 22	Nanari Katsumi	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x3838ce…
10-21 20:33:18	W75 Saguenay: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Clemence Mercier	Clemence Mercier	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x94054f…
10-21 20:27:27	Will Cabrayil win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0fbfa6…
10-21 20:26:36	Will Cabrayil win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7d01b4…
10-21 20:21:59	Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Joga de terno (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A	Joga de terno	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xab456d…
10-21 20:19:59	Valorant: KeepBest Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 1	Wolves Esports	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x222451…
10-21 20:16:57	SHL: Skellefteå vs. Djurgården	Djurgården	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x394a5c…