Buoyant-Molasses — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.79K

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

5,935

Trades

12,995

lifetime

Volume

$25.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$100

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 11-11 14:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 43% -$877

Other

41% 41% -$864

Tech

2% 50% +$5

Politics

2% 82% -$8

Sports

1% 49% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 1114 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	-60	-$52	97¢	$-58	-$6	06-03 19:30
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+20	$9	95¢	$19	+$10	06-25 18:21
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?	No	+10	$9	97¢	$10	+$1	05-28 10:15
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	+100	$16	10¢	$10	-$7	11-04 10:55
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+50	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	10-15 06:31
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$9	5¢	$1	-$8	06-17 08:46
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$2	2¢	$1	-$1	10-23 20:15
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?	Yes	+10	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	05-28 08:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	39	$285	585	40	+545	Yes	-$1	06-19 14:45
Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?	16	$260	432	0	+432	Yes	-$64	06-13 20:08
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	19	$170	336	0	+336	No	$0	06-02 11:30
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	18	$163	334	0	+334	Yes	+$2	06-09 14:13
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	11	$123	76	76	+0	No	+$26	06-24 20:26
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	21	$109	450	0	+450	No	-$21	06-02 19:50
israel closes its airspace by june 9	16	$102	306	0	+306	No	+$0	06-09 08:29
will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	12	$101	189	11	+179	open	—	07-18 19:12
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	5	$100	149	149	+0	open	—	07-18 09:01
Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?	8	$99	154	4	+150	open	—	08-29 20:47
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?	4	$99	200	0	+200	Yes	+$1	06-01 18:35
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?	4	$99	129	0	+129	No	+$1	05-30 06:35
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	2	$87	20	80	-60	open	—	06-03 19:30
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	12	$84	359	0	+359	Yes	-$4	06-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?	10	$80	160	0	+160	No	$0	06-17 15:03
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	6	$78	80	40	+40	Yes	-$4	08-06 21:24
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?	11	$75	47	47	+0	No	+$18	06-18 10:40
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	18	$70	142	0	+142	Yes	+$1	06-19 16:40
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 20?	12	$70	170	0	+170	No	-$20	06-19 16:15
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?	7	$63	124	0	+124	No	+$1	06-01 18:32
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	4	$61	100	100	+0	open	—	06-18 18:54
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?	7	$61	120	0	+120	No	-$41	06-17 15:05
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?	7	$60	112	0	+112	No	+$51	06-21 08:03
will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	5	$58	40	40	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 21:02
Sendai 89ers vs. Utsunomiya Brex	13	$57	52	30	+22	Sendai 89ers	+$3	10-17 07:18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?	5	$52	100	0	+100	Yes	-$12	06-19 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?	8	$49	30	30	+0	No	+$11	06-18 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 19?	8	$47	100	0	+100	Yes	-$7	06-18 22:02
will aapl dip to 292 by june 22 2026	13	$47	65	0	+65	Yes	-$2	06-25 10:44
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$45	40	40	+0	open	—	06-24 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 14:20:19	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x966f71…
11-11 14:18:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9281f0…
11-11 14:15:37	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x284133…
11-11 14:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2b6ff7…
11-11 14:13:22	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x380c72…
11-11 14:13:21	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xb6ef3b…
11-11 14:10:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x52901f…
11-11 14:10:27	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0xb2dfdf…
11-11 14:10:27	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x37e69e…
11-11 14:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x54ba31…
11-11 14:06:57	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x40b219…
11-11 14:05:57	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x654fa6…
11-11 14:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xf395ea…
11-11 14:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa84ddb…
11-11 14:04:58	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdf0c2d…
11-11 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0cd3c1…
11-11 14:00:16	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x25c807…
11-11 13:55:57	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1d466a…
11-11 13:52:46	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe674ee…
11-11 13:51:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2a6ef4…
11-11 13:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb6f2a0…
11-11 13:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x577081…
11-11 13:35:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6de824…
11-11 13:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xff25f1…
11-11 13:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x1a5af0…
11-11 13:33:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x522275…
11-11 13:24:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc5a579…
11-11 13:17:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x274e22…
11-11 13:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x8d131b…
11-11 13:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x314d7e…
11-11 13:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x24365e…
11-11 13:16:18	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x989894…
11-11 13:01:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x74a64b…
11-11 13:00:48	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xb2c447…
11-11 13:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x32f983…
11-11 12:57:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc9584d…
11-11 12:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x85f3b7…
11-11 12:40:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9824a2…
11-11 12:40:18	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x832dcc…
11-11 12:36:27	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xbb5e88…
11-11 12:36:27	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xa4a918…
11-11 12:34:37	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3d58be…
11-11 12:26:52	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x53f6e3…
11-11 12:10:00	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x79ba37…
11-11 12:09:03	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x518059…
11-11 12:08:25	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xab632b…
11-11 12:07:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb77635…
11-11 11:03:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcefc1e…
11-11 11:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x65d6d2…
11-11 10:55:25	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x00bcb1…
11-11 10:50:42	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3d0759…
11-11 10:45:24	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x053ca3…
11-11 10:38:04	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xeedcc5…
11-11 10:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x221611…
11-10 23:10:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9be85c…
11-10 23:10:48	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0xa49a85…
11-10 23:10:48	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x088f9f…
11-10 23:10:03	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x154696…
11-10 23:00:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x230096…
11-10 22:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x26a0be…
11-10 22:45:18	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x41ac98…
11-10 22:42:42	BNB Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xf54cdf…
11-10 22:39:01	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x82915c…
11-10 22:26:37	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf2e773…
11-10 22:25:25	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x218753…
11-10 22:23:49	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x9a820c…
11-10 22:23:49	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x2fb716…
11-10 22:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4bc3ab…
11-10 22:16:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x14aa5e…
11-10 22:16:03	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc57f1e…
11-10 22:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x996c66…
11-10 22:11:19	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x24fb5a…
11-10 22:09:49	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x660bd8…
11-10 22:07:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6d8e4e…
11-10 22:07:48	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe22154…
11-10 22:07:16	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x82918f…
11-10 22:04:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xbb02d1…
11-10 22:04:09	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4b94e3…
11-10 22:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x109fae…
11-10 21:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x855998…
11-10 21:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0xc842a3…
11-10 21:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x767a05…
11-10 21:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x531af4…
11-10 21:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x9d2a26…
11-10 21:40:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7ffdc9…
11-10 21:40:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x7eb94d…
11-10 21:35:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4af7e8…
11-10 21:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x1da3f7…
11-10 21:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1a6fe2…
11-10 21:18:52	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x45d758…
11-10 21:15:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x14801f…
11-10 21:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x571ae7…
11-10 21:07:48	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xed2278…
11-10 21:07:48	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x4409ff…
11-10 21:02:00	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xf57223…
11-10 21:02:00	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xeeba20…
11-10 20:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf53968…
11-10 20:52:10	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x70ba9c…
11-10 20:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xe0181d…
11-10 20:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7ae076…