Past-Badge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$286

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

91.3%

Resolved

622

Trades

1,563

lifetime

Volume

$31.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$148

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 09-27 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 87% -$123

Other

30% 92% +$17

Politics

18% 95% +$401

Sports

2% 73% -$13

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+303	$100	32¢	$95	-$5	09-15 15:15
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+42	$30	76¢	$32	+$2	06-25 19:15
Blue wave in 2026?	No	+118	$40	12¢	$14	-$26	06-08 00:25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	+27	$10	24¢	$6	-$4	06-25 20:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$5	4¢	$0	+$5	07-23 19:38
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+0	-$5	5¢	$0	+$5	06-09 20:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	12	$653	693	693	+0	Yes	+$33	07-14 12:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	9	$522	707	707	+0	open	—	07-20 11:46
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	2	$511	435	435	+0	Yes	+$341	09-10 02:21
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	12	$304	225	250	-25	Yes	-$9	03-30 13:30
2026 rbc heritage winner ludvig aberg win	3	$200	109	109	+0	No	+$10	04-18 23:42
xrp above 1pt5 on april 20	7	$176	78	110	-32	No	+$2	04-19 17:11
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?	2	$154	79	78	+0	No	+$3	05-17 18:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$153	79	78	+0	No	+$2	05-15 14:21
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 12?	2	$153	79	78	+0	No	+$2	05-12 18:07
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	2	$152	78	78	+0	No	+$3	05-17 18:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 11?	2	$152	79	78	+0	No	+$2	05-11 18:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$150	77	76	+0	No	+$3	05-14 18:01
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	3	$149	81	81	+0	No	+$6	05-11 21:33
Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	2	$149	76	76	+0	No	+$3	05-08 14:47
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?	2	$139	71	71	+0	No	+$3	05-10 18:12
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$139	72	72	+0	No	+$2	05-16 21:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	2	$137	71	71	+0	No	+$2	05-09 01:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 10?	3	$132	68	68	+0	No	+$1	05-10 12:41
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$129	68	68	+0	No	+$3	05-25 18:10
Will Sam Couvillon be the Republican nominee for GA-09?	2	$126	65	65	+0	No	+$5	05-20 02:58
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 3?	4	$124	66	66	+0	No	+$4	05-01 20:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	2	$121	62	62	+0	No	+$2	05-11 18:02
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 10?	2	$117	78	78	+0	No	-$31	05-10 23:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 10?	2	$115	60	60	+0	No	+$2	05-10 23:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$115	61	61	+0	No	+$4	05-01 17:12
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	8	$109	55	62	-7	Yes	+$8	04-30 07:22
will ethereum dip to 1900 april 13 19	3	$106	56	56	+0	No	+$4	04-15 16:46
will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 1	6	$105	56	56	+0	No	+$5	04-01 14:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$105	227	227	+0	open	—	07-23 19:38
mlb pit cin 2026 03 31	2	$104	55	55	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$5	04-01 04:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 02:35:54	Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x8e478d…
09-15 15:15:07	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xfae7f2…
09-10 02:21:21	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	435	98¢	$426	0x6c73e9…
09-09 17:16:15	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	435	20¢	$85	0xaaafad…
08-23 23:40:37	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	SELL	76	48¢	$37	0x819268…
08-23 18:16:37	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0x2d7c7d…
08-23 18:16:22	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x9c4be5…
08-23 18:16:07	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xf9a06e…
08-23 18:15:52	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x7b4e0b…
08-23 18:15:27	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x8c7c97…
08-07 01:17:18	Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2718cc…
08-05 00:41:11	Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x242fa2…
08-02 01:19:05	Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7b5dda…
08-02 00:32:26	Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x97779c…
07-23 19:38:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	24¢	$35	0xcf6e56…
07-20 13:57:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	24¢	$19	0x3655c9…
07-20 11:46:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	207	78¢	$162	0x383dfb…
07-19 00:10:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x1f6f87…
07-17 16:02:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xa2cd97…
07-16 01:16:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x23b7f9…
07-15 22:19:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	190	22¢	$42	0x10869a…
07-15 22:19:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	277	22¢	$61	0x569ca5…
07-15 22:14:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	22¢	$7	0x5f94f1…
07-15 14:17:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x05ec8a…
07-14 12:45:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	377	44¢	$166	0x3951ab…
07-13 19:45:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x47d0f1…
07-13 19:44:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x63d891…
07-13 16:49:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	68¢	$57	0x66fb2f…
07-13 16:33:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x2f0330…
07-13 00:27:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x8a43de…
07-12 23:50:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x72c889…
07-12 02:52:23	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x71b8dc…
07-09 10:35:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	116	48¢	$56	0x921932…
07-08 12:24:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	57¢	$54	0x6e346e…
07-08 10:42:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x35be87…
07-02 12:59:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0xd93394…
07-02 12:33:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x83a20e…
06-30 17:25:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x38ad14…
06-28 07:11:17	Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xef83f6…
06-25 20:01:04	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x706579…
06-25 19:15:26	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x48cb26…
06-25 19:03:41	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc1a8af…
06-24 23:35:26	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x747121…
06-24 11:16:55	Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xd8abd3…
06-23 05:11:55	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x7f9673…
06-22 21:08:52	Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xad8fe6…
06-21 23:24:02	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x145811…
06-19 08:25:22	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x0a68ad…
06-17 04:20:26	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x759688…
06-17 02:35:58	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x195531…
06-16 01:50:40	Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x388ae1…
06-15 15:49:52	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd9b178…
06-10 00:42:46	Will Billy Webster win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x43ace0…
06-09 20:39:48	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	180	25¢	$45	0x263552…
06-08 01:10:18	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x44e41f…
06-08 00:55:51	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x0832b6…
06-08 00:53:39	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	59	22¢	$13	0xa12ae7…
06-08 00:25:52	Blue wave in 2026?	No	BUY	48	34¢	$16	0xe1e425…
06-08 00:04:46	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x89d81d…
06-07 21:34:10	Blue wave in 2026?	No	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xda0692…
06-07 16:15:12	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x998056…
06-07 14:52:54	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x4ecc88…
06-07 14:50:46	Blue wave in 2026?	No	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0x89b7c7…
06-06 23:14:12	Will Billy Webster win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x1cec85…
06-05 01:25:22	Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	78	94¢	$74	0xcecdf2…
06-03 10:53:03	Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x69aec6…
06-03 04:27:37	Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?	No	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0xcadb9a…
06-03 02:06:15	Will Adam Hamawy be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x80eea9…
06-03 01:51:31	Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb396a3…
06-01 06:02:35	Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x609a19…
06-01 03:36:41	Will Adam Hamawy be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xe55da6…
06-01 02:26:43	Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?	No	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0x29ab38…
05-31 22:26:02	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa9c97f…
05-31 22:25:50	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xbfe91d…
05-31 10:24:03	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x97ea45…
05-31 08:07:59	Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	44	92¢	$41	0xe42871…
05-31 05:20:55	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	48	91¢	$44	0x205368…
05-31 03:37:10	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xec152c…
05-30 08:48:16	Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2211d6…
05-29 08:45:45	Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x342419…
05-29 03:12:24	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x5995ce…
05-28 22:02:23	Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x91784d…
05-28 22:02:23	Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?	Yes	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x27dbd5…
05-27 15:54:42	Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xea4105…
05-27 14:36:25	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x4f9bb2…
05-27 14:35:06	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x0775af…
05-27 03:04:21	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x45a947…
05-27 03:03:55	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x40b5d1…
05-27 00:47:16	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xc2e96a…
05-26 15:44:45	Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf3bb63…
05-26 07:12:09	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	92¢	$42	0xd1dd7d…
05-26 00:02:07	Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0xb64d85…
05-25 18:10:59	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	68	96¢	$66	0x008780…
05-24 02:13:39	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	79	96¢	$75	0x65ee1c…
05-24 01:10:36	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x72d420…
05-24 00:01:51	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0x9eb77f…
05-24 00:01:26	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	No	BUY	79	96¢	$75	0x498bd2…
05-23 00:49:08	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	92¢	$38	0xc42a95…
05-21 22:31:34	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x31e259…
05-21 22:31:33	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xa17fa0…