Prickly-Shoehorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$198

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$73

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

100% 67% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	+166	$110	41¢	$69	$-41	05-13 09:04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	+417	$5	1¢	$3	$-2	05-10 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	+560	$5	0¢	$2	$-3	05-10 14:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$110	166	0	+166	open	—	05-13 09:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 7?	1	$20	38	0	+38	No	$-20	05-07 19:26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	2	$14	2	13	-11	No	+$0	05-06 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 13?	1	$13	0	13	-13	open	—	05-14 05:35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	3	$5	4	16	-12	Yes	+$1	05-06 18:52
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$5	417	0	+417	open	—	05-10 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$5	560	0	+560	open	—	05-10 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	05-12 20:21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-10 19:53
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	05-12 20:21
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 10?	1	$4	0	7	-7	No	$-3	05-10 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 6?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	$-0	05-06 15:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-06 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 6?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-06 20:56
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 6?	1	$1	0	2	-2	Yes	+$1	05-06 15:16
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$1	143	0	+143	No	$-1	05-09 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 05:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 13?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0a148a…
05-13 09:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	166	66¢	$110	0x33effd…
05-12 20:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x2a227c…
05-12 20:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x57121a…
05-10 19:53:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x03384c…
05-10 18:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 10?	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x2e6bb4…
05-10 14:52:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	560	1¢	$5	0x871322…
05-10 14:51:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x043b7a…
05-09 14:58:34	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x4adf6a…
05-07 19:26:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xe8f1de…
05-06 20:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x00f564…
05-06 18:52:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x79094b…
05-06 15:17:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x836cc7…
05-06 15:17:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	No	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0xa1a22a…
05-06 15:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 6?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x8d6e56…
05-06 15:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 6?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xe15112…
05-06 12:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 6?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1ffb4f…
05-06 11:31:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x2fd5de…
05-06 11:31:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 6?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xfe007d…
05-06 11:31:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa1763f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e	11	$694	40	05-13 04:46
Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f	7	$573	109	05-12 16:16
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	4	$8.54K	142	05-14 12:59
Delicious-Peacoat 0xd897…9b49	4	$1.39K	5	05-13 04:39
Far-Post 0xf787…1b63	4	$1.19K	11	05-10 20:02
Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690	4	$1.19K	7	05-13 17:02
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	4	$1.03K	43	05-13 20:17
Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57	4	$876	19	05-14 12:00