Realized P&L
+$205
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
24.3%
Resolved
44
Trades
2,036
lifetime
Volume
$125.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$95.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-19 22:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
61% 100% +$1
Other
32% 0% -$14
Sports
5% 60% +$219
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +17,936 $17,299 96¢ $17.2K -$53 10-19 22:36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +16,468 $14,663 95¢ $15.6K +$982 10-16 08:52
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +11,376 $11,118 99¢ $11.3K +$190 10-16 16:12
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +13,524 $10,494 82¢ $11.1K +$562 10-19 06:59
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11,151 $10,618 95¢ $10.6K +$8 10-18 22:02
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8,060 $7,227 92¢ $7.4K +$148 10-09 00:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +5,367 $5,005 99¢ $5.3K +$316 09-29 16:48
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +2,863 $2,738 97¢ $2.8K +$41 08-19 22:32
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +13,524 $3,063 18¢ $2.5K -$595 10-19 04:09
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,753 $1,674 100¢ $1.8K +$76 09-09 12:52
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,698 $1,576 93¢ $1.6K +$3 08-25 20:22
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,306 $1,155 84¢ $1.1K -$52 10-18 16:26
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +899 $875 99¢ $893 +$18 08-20 07:54
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +16,468 $1,868 5¢ $823 -$1,045 10-17 15:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +17,946 $647 4¢ $691 +$44 10-18 19:45
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +8,060 $865 8¢ $685 -$180 10-19 16:04
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +578 $563 97¢ $561 -$2 10-19 16:43
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +534 $521 98¢ $525 +$5 08-21 08:48
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +11,151 $521 5¢ $524 +$3 10-19 05:42
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +523 $513 97¢ $509 -$4 09-04 12:39
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +439 $417 97¢ $425 +$8 09-01 15:09
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +290 $276 97¢ $283 +$7 08-29 09:57
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +239 $228 100¢ $238 +$10 08-15 15:11
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +237 $219 97¢ $229 +$10 08-29 08:37
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,306 $151 16¢ $204 +$53 10-19 09:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +1,698 $125 7¢ $119 -$6 08-29 13:50
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,863 $138 3¢ $83 -$55 08-20 05:40
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +11,376 $279 1¢ $68 -$210 10-16 19:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +5,367 $367 1¢ $46 -$321 09-29 09:24
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +578 $19 3¢ $16 -$3 10-19 03:27