Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
74.6%
Resolved
4
Trades
229
lifetime
Volume
$556
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$5
4 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-11 20:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
71% 100% +$4
Other
24% 100% +$1
Crypto
3%
Sports
2% 0% $-6
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 06-04 18:18
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 06-10 22:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-3 63¢ $-1 +$2 06-11 19:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -2 $-1 22¢ $-0 +$0 05-29 18:06