Loose-Gang — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$113

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 09-24 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 93% -$3

Other

26% 75% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	No		+116	$107	97¢	$113	+$6	07-15 12:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	1	$128	128	0	+128	No	+$0	03-06 15:02
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	1	$127	128	0	+128	No	+$1	05-11 18:37
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	1	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	02-25 14:04
will bitcoin reach 82k february 16 22	1	$124	124	0	+124	No	+$0	02-20 12:31
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	1	$123	123	0	+123	No	+$0	03-26 16:11
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	1	$107	116	0	+116	open	—	07-15 12:10
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$1	02-16 12:44
will bitcoin reach 80k march 30 april 5	1	$84	84	0	+84	No	+$0	04-03 09:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	1	$82	82	0	+82	No	+$0	04-20 13:33
will ethereum dip to 1600 april 13 19	1	$81	81	0	+81	No	+$0	04-16 09:35
will ethereum dip to 1500 april 6 12	1	$81	81	0	+81	No	+$0	04-09 14:39
will solana dip to 30 february 9 15	1	$81	81	0	+81	No	+$0	02-13 13:33
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$79	79	0	+79	No	+$0	01-27 15:21
will bitcoin reach 104k january 19 25	1	$78	78	0	+78	No	+$0	01-23 11:16
will ethereum dip to 2600 january 12 18	1	$69	69	0	+69	No	+$0	01-16 13:08
will ethereum reach 3900 january 5 11	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	01-09 20:48
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	04-02 14:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	09-24 13:39
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	08-27 09:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-27 13:35
bitcoin above 62k on february 16	1	$5	4,770	0	+4,770	Yes	-$5	02-16 12:45
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	-$3	04-02 17:37
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	04-02 16:06
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	04-09 12:35
will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	03-09 13:39
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	-$2	04-20 14:16
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	01-09 15:44
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	04-02 15:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 13:39:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4f0a7e…
08-27 09:13:55	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xcf72e4…
07-27 13:35:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa2da5c…
07-15 12:10:43	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	116	92¢	$107	0xedae06…
05-11 18:37:35	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0x127f53…
04-20 14:16:02	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x90e228…
04-20 13:33:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xd93b34…
04-16 09:35:28	will ethereum dip to 1600 april 13 19	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xa47a6e…
04-09 14:39:37	will ethereum dip to 1500 april 6 12	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xab4c42…
04-09 12:35:07	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa441d7…
04-03 09:14:01	will bitcoin reach 80k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x50c60f…
04-02 17:37:29	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x436b9d…
04-02 16:06:09	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7a4497…
04-02 15:25:33	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x15d34c…
04-02 14:38:25	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x301884…
03-26 16:11:03	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xc86e74…
03-09 13:39:19	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x76e4d3…
03-06 15:02:55	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x04edf2…
02-25 14:04:00	will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x82667b…
02-20 12:31:14	will bitcoin reach 82k february 16 22	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xd46c2b…
02-16 12:45:47	bitcoin above 62k on february 16	No	BUY	4,770	0¢	$5	0x59b541…
02-16 12:44:59	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x341883…
02-13 13:33:57	will solana dip to 30 february 9 15	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x0f770e…
01-27 15:21:21	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xf8628c…
01-23 11:16:56	will bitcoin reach 104k january 19 25	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x1eed6a…
01-16 13:08:16	will ethereum dip to 2600 january 12 18	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xe31654…
01-12 14:45:44	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf68920…
01-09 20:48:02	will ethereum reach 3900 january 5 11	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xccca1b…
01-09 15:44:30	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7ae096…