Vapid-Vase 0xc83872…161263
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$285
Unrealized P&L
+$65
Hit rate
55.4%
Resolved (7d)
19
Trades (7d)
251
1,645 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.94K
$9.47K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$830
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-29 19:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Politics
66% 60% +$470
Other
27% 62% -$27
Crypto
4% 59% +$9
Tech
2% 57% +$2
Sports
1% 50% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +164 $109 76¢ $126 +$17 09-26 05:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +133 $60 66¢ $87 +$27 10-27 15:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +242 $120 30¢ $71 -$49 10-29 12:32
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +80 $55 69¢ $55 +$0 10-26 17:00
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +91 $35 43¢ $39 +$4 09-27 05:41
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +30 $20 100¢ $30 +$10 10-27 21:12
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +107 $30 28¢ $29 -$1 09-28 19:37
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +36 $25 80¢ $29 +$4 10-29 19:07
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +28 $20 100¢ $28 +$8 10-27 15:24
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +33 $20 72¢ $23 +$3 10-04 09:19
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +32 $20 70¢ $22 +$2 10-27 20:37
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +57 $20 36¢ $20 +$0 10-26 00:50
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +20 $15 100¢ $20 +$5 05-30 11:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +30 $20 58¢ $18 -$2 09-17 21:37
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +17 $10 99¢ $17 +$7 10-26 01:45
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +17 $13 99¢ $17 +$3 06-15 18:06
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +20 $10 82¢ $17 +$7 06-11 07:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +56 $16 30¢ $17 +$1 10-27 13:41
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -16 -$14 96¢ $-15 -$1 10-24 08:19
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +22 $15 69¢ $15 +$0 10-29 04:47
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +15 $10 97¢ $15 +$5 07-30 06:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +16 $10 88¢ $14 +$4 09-26 03:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +19 $15 72¢ $14 -$1 10-29 17:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +32 $9 43¢ $14 +$4 10-27 20:06
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +54 $15 26¢ $14 -$1 10-26 00:55
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +19 $15 68¢ $13 -$2 10-05 06:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +13 $10 98¢ $13 +$3 10-05 20:20
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +25 $15 52¢ $13 -$2 10-29 04:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +19 $10 66¢ $12 +$2 10-27 05:36
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +14 $7 87¢ $12 +$5 05-01 13:43