Lustrous-Harmony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.20K

Unrealized P&L

-$196

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

752

Trades

2,715

lifetime

Volume

$98.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$310

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 11-14 12:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Other

62% 22% -$1,240

Sports

30% 42% +$2,779

Crypto

7% 41% +$727

Politics

1% 0% -$70

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		+1,170	$403	16¢	$181	-$222	11-14 01:26
Will England win on 2026-11-15?	Yes		+486	$103	26¢	$129	+$26	11-14 01:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?	8	$3.2K	4,940	0	+4,940	Yes	+$1,744	06-21 20:15
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?	11	$2.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$2,730	05-17 22:30
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$1.3K	1,202	1,202	+0	Yes	+$1,069	04-12 23:01
Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Jamaica Kingsmen	9	$1.1K	1,057	772	+285	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	+$238	09-21 02:56
European T20 Premier League: Rotterdam Dockers vs Dublin Guardians	11	$1.1K	954	954	+0	Dublin Guardians	+$728	09-17 18:00
mlb sd col 2026 09 16 total 13pt5	5	$1.0K	628	628	+0	Under	+$227	09-17 03:29
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	8	$1.0K	1,486	1,486	+0	open	—	08-04 13:47
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	28	$963	1,155	892	+263	Knicks	+$510	05-20 02:51
Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?	2	$954	917	917	+0	Yes	+$794	07-26 20:45
criccpl jam tri 2026 08 15	11	$869	655	655	+0	Jamaica Kingsmen	+$438	08-16 04:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	10	$861	3,005	1,835	+1,170	open	—	11-14 01:26
Thunder vs. Spurs	14	$859	1,138	629	+509	Thunder	+$337	05-23 03:09
Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs Jamaica Kingsmen	5	$845	531	531	+0	Jamaica Kingsmen	+$217	09-17 02:55
ITF Gimcheon: Dong Ju Kim vs Keisuke Saitoh	7	$802	1,666	666	+1,000	Dong Ju Kim	+$132	05-22 05:02
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	4	$795	576	576	+0	Yes	+$357	07-06 03:16
Metro Bank One Day Cup Women: The Blaze vs Hampshire Women	6	$792	587	587	+0	The Blaze	+$252	09-19 20:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	19	$766	4,262	4,262	+0	open	—	05-26 19:15
Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 28.5	2	$756	556	556	+0	Under	+$356	10-26 03:21
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings	5	$753	540	531	+9	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$308	04-18 18:02
Will J. J. Spaun win the 2026 BMW PGA Championship?	15	$745	882	882	+0	Yes	+$319	09-20 16:12
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	13	$739	595	595	+0	Knicks	+$449	06-04 03:16
T20 Series Namibia vs Scotland: Namibia vs Scotland	4	$706	500	492	+8	Namibia	+$276	04-18 15:25
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals	8	$664	477	477	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$288	05-24 17:58
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	3	$610	417	410	+7	Yes	+$216	04-27 20:55
Spurs vs. Thunder	10	$598	502	502	+0	Spurs	+$243	05-19 03:42
Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Guyana Amazon Warriors	5	$593	413	413	+0	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	+$222	09-18 02:12
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	3	$593	357	357	+0	Athletics	+$113	05-22 04:33
Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 56.5	2	$589	589	589	+0	Over	-$11	10-27 01:48
mlb mia ari 2026 09 16 total 9pt5	3	$564	364	364	+0	Under	+$164	09-17 04:55
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings	6	$557	405	398	+7	Chennai Super Kings	+$245	04-23 18:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 12:21:23	Will Wales win on 2026-11-14?	Yes	BUY	279	9¢	$25	0xdd0166…
11-14 01:37:31	Will Bolivia win on 2026-11-13?	Yes	BUY	142	7¢	$10	0x5b43c5…
11-14 01:31:07	Will Bolivia win on 2026-11-13?	Yes	BUY	173	7¢	$12	0x41954a…
11-14 01:27:07	Will England win on 2026-11-15?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xe7e545…
11-14 01:26:35	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	94	18¢	$17	0x8c9495…
11-14 01:26:13	Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 10:00 PM ET?	Yes	SELL	90	97¢	$88	0x4e42a8…
11-13 23:35:10	Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 10:00 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	90	31¢	$28	0xf6cbda…
11-13 23:30:30	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	175	17¢	$30	0xedf099…
11-13 16:42:22	Will England win on 2026-11-15?	Yes	BUY	105	22¢	$23	0x666f7b…
11-13 04:17:13	Will England win on 2026-11-15?	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0x93f09b…
11-13 04:15:12	India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x25c776…
11-13 04:12:07	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Over	SELL	328	99¢	$325	0x5dc357…
11-13 03:50:21	Will England win on 2026-11-15?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xd66c63…
11-13 03:50:15	Will England win on 2026-11-15?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x2174fb…
11-12 23:00:48	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x908d25…
11-12 22:44:33	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	328	52¢	$172	0xceb01c…
11-12 21:54:15	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xf7d802…
11-12 21:32:00	Will Czechia vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x04a7a4…
11-12 21:27:28	Will Czechia vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	115	4¢	$5	0xff83b8…
11-12 21:25:37	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	112	16¢	$18	0xa57964…
11-12 21:25:15	Will Italy win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	SELL	120	93¢	$111	0x04a4fd…
11-12 21:23:19	Will Italy win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	SELL	106	93¢	$99	0x86eb3d…
11-12 21:22:10	Will Italy win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	SELL	226	93¢	$210	0x1f4793…
11-12 20:17:57	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	177	16¢	$28	0xc8b06f…
11-12 20:17:27	Will Italy win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	81	21¢	$17	0xd76067…
11-12 17:26:45	Will Italy win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x57cbe3…
11-12 00:30:49	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	811	14¢	$114	0x13f183…
11-11 15:33:18	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie	Cameron Norrie	BUY	272	39¢	$106	0xffa74f…
11-11 15:29:55	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	West Indies A	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x7a8c93…
11-11 15:25:19	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie	Cameron Norrie	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x0655c5…
11-11 15:24:34	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,660	12¢	$199	0x671cc4…
11-10 17:48:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	740	26¢	$192	0xb2b240…
11-10 17:45:03	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	920	26¢	$239	0x884bcb…
11-10 03:29:22	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	106	18¢	$19	0xcf4474…
11-10 03:20:04	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x0de4fa…
11-10 03:19:46	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x4e36eb…
11-10 02:30:25	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x405499…
11-10 01:45:45	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x3ad135…
11-10 01:44:12	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xff8fd8…
11-10 01:40:27	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	54	35¢	$19	0x9a2e65…
11-10 01:36:12	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	104	47¢	$49	0x1fe5a6…
11-10 01:33:07	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x292615…
11-10 01:32:51	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	19¢	$186	0x0eadc1…
11-10 01:31:16	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x240f4c…
11-10 01:30:55	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xe7ce43…
11-10 01:30:39	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x13914b…
11-10 01:29:31	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	771	8¢	$62	0x80fb1d…
11-09 22:53:30	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	West Indies A	BUY	449	3¢	$13	0x4871e0…
11-09 22:53:10	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,958	1¢	$24	0xb06bc1…
11-09 20:01:42	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	West Indies A	BUY	112	6¢	$7	0xda44eb…
11-09 19:58:00	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	West Indies A	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x7a7069…
11-09 19:57:51	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	West Indies A	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x9d76b2…
11-09 18:39:31	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	West Indies A	BUY	37	22¢	$8	0xab6862…
11-09 18:39:21	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	West Indies A	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x99134f…
11-09 18:38:24	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xb0d743…
11-09 18:36:58	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	West Indies A	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x6a47a1…
11-09 18:36:52	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	West Indies A	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb61f5e…
11-09 18:36:45	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	West Indies A	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x4f373a…
11-09 01:20:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	660	10¢	$66	0x40decb…
11-09 00:48:43	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$20	0x6f6753…
11-09 00:47:27	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0xeccd0a…
11-08 16:51:49	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0x911b92…
11-08 16:51:19	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xb69b71…
11-08 16:50:18	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x814266…
11-08 16:48:36	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4af31b…
11-08 16:48:22	Will Manchester United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	SELL	101	5¢	$5	0x65de06…
11-08 16:16:06	Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Ben Shelton	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x76a643…
11-08 16:15:36	Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Ben Shelton	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x428b09…
11-08 16:12:58	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0xdf98a2…
11-08 16:09:12	Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Ben Shelton	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x7009b0…
11-08 15:52:49	Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Ben Shelton	BUY	171	34¢	$58	0x86984b…
11-08 15:41:12	Will Manchester United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	101	8¢	$8	0x42d696…
11-08 15:26:49	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	87	12¢	$10	0x7292d2…
11-08 14:56:39	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x28d6b8…
11-08 14:56:33	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0xa13892…
11-08 14:56:19	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0xe4859f…
11-08 13:17:09	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	92	53¢	$49	0x3052ea…
11-07 18:26:10	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	West Indies A	BUY	111	26¢	$29	0xb6e907…
11-07 18:23:25	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	West Indies A	BUY	74	29¢	$21	0x8c832a…
11-07 18:23:07	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	761	3¢	$23	0x6fa63b…
11-07 18:22:43	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	West Indies A	BUY	102	29¢	$30	0xd51f32…
11-07 15:17:01	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	222	4¢	$10	0x71cebb…
11-07 15:16:55	Will Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x258563…
11-07 15:16:49	Will Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xad0d48…
11-07 15:16:40	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	222	4¢	$10	0x2cbedf…
11-07 15:16:24	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	1,457	4¢	$52	0x844a26…
11-07 15:16:16	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	350	9¢	$32	0xc781ad…
11-07 11:59:07	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc60f05…
11-07 11:58:27	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	237	38¢	$90	0xb8e234…
11-05 18:46:42	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	160	30¢	$48	0xf0e2fe…
11-05 18:46:12	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	759	20¢	$153	0xa17b09…
11-05 18:45:22	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x14f9f3…
11-04 20:13:54	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xc7eddc…
11-04 17:58:21	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0x0e7f0b…
11-04 02:39:01	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	759	20¢	$150	0x14223d…
11-04 02:07:33	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x2edfa0…
11-04 02:05:49	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8c1f79…
11-04 02:01:28	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x94ac55…
11-04 02:01:06	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xc62c77…
11-04 01:42:45	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x588967…