Jaunty-Parachute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$232

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

2,356

Trades

3,640

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-28 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% +$244

Other

0% 26% +$2

Politics

0% 25% -$9

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	5	$2.5K	1,505	1,004	+501	No	+$1	02-11 14:12
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$1000	501	501	+0	No	+$0	01-27 17:48
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$999	502	502	+0	No	-$1	02-11 14:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$399	215	215	+0	open	—	05-19 15:12
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	2	$107	54	54	+0	No	$0	01-12 16:43
ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	5	$41	55	55	+0	open	—	06-07 05:07
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$27	27	27	+0	Yes	-$2	06-07 02:34
will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	2	$19	20	20	+0	No	-$7	06-11 12:49
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	2	$19	20	20	+0	No	-$4	06-11 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$15	13	8	+5	Up	+$1	06-01 12:19
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	1	$15	25	0	+25	No	-$15	01-26 16:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:40 UTC	3	$15	27	0	+27	Down	-$15	08-10 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$14	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	05-31 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$12	21	0	+21	Up	+$8	10-06 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$11	16	0	+16	Up	-$11	10-07 00:48
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$11	19	0	+19	Up	+$8	10-06 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	9	$11	18	0	+18	Up	-$11	09-06 21:04
pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	06-11 09:21
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	Up	+$8	10-08 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$3	10-07 00:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:40 UTC	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	09-21 08:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:35 UTC	3	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	09-21 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	10-05 19:23
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	09-20 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Up	-$2	10-04 21:17
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	+$9	09-20 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$0	06-02 19:28
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$10	19	0	+19	Down	-$10	09-20 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$1	06-02 23:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:25 UTC	3	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	09-21 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa1350f…
10-28 00:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6bb1a5…
10-28 00:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x813789…
10-27 23:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa76757…
10-27 23:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7f4850…
10-27 23:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x33a595…
10-27 20:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfce4f8…
10-27 20:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x503b98…
10-27 20:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7d96c5…
10-27 20:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xad3b35…
10-27 20:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x62d3bd…
10-27 19:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x3f905b…
10-27 16:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x18cc8a…
10-27 15:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x58789c…
10-27 13:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf75901…
10-27 11:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb4213e…
10-27 09:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8b6610…
10-27 09:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa7b726…
10-27 07:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xae6632…
10-27 06:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9f20e6…
10-27 06:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcfad6f…
10-27 05:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9dccda…
10-27 04:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9bdbe0…
10-27 04:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf06ec4…
10-27 04:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdbf3cd…
10-27 04:29:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xdc2b39…
10-27 03:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf97260…
10-27 03:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x47fdb4…
10-27 02:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xde29bb…
10-27 02:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaed740…
10-27 02:14:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3d4734…
10-27 02:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x38ddb9…
10-27 02:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x395eb9…
10-27 01:09:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc3aad6…
10-27 00:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8f42a9…
10-27 00:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2b191e…
10-26 23:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xec8d26…
10-26 22:50:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xeeda2e…
10-26 21:59:44	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3e64b6…
10-26 21:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8acb80…
10-26 20:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd8f244…
10-26 20:09:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9ab144…
10-26 19:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2fb6be…
10-26 19:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9b4ebb…
10-26 18:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x90dd64…
10-26 17:35:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xff91b3…
10-26 16:49:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x731de3…
10-26 16:49:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcc9e71…
10-26 15:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x56f7ce…
10-26 15:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb90dee…
10-26 12:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe92b69…
10-26 12:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xad63b3…
10-26 09:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x19c4ca…
10-26 09:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc21702…
10-26 07:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x78dbc5…
10-26 06:54:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfce984…
10-26 03:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf2ee87…
10-26 02:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1f7763…
10-25 21:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x22a63a…
10-25 17:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4102ad…
10-25 16:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x033941…
10-25 13:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x17ca65…
10-25 13:04:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x42626b…
10-25 09:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf4b0ee…
10-25 09:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6afffc…
10-25 05:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x601906…
10-25 05:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x6f2c68…
10-25 02:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0d5a6a…
10-25 01:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3e87a0…
10-24 21:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x02b6e7…
10-24 20:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5b6175…
10-24 19:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x62451b…
10-24 19:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xebf0b1…
10-24 17:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x72f851…
10-24 17:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x50946e…
10-24 14:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xbd93f3…
10-24 14:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8a6e0b…
10-24 13:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x34b14c…
10-24 12:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x571098…
10-24 10:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xebb44d…
10-24 10:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x836edb…
10-24 08:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2b4cdb…
10-24 06:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0xe87746…
10-24 05:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf6eac5…
10-24 03:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe70add…
10-24 01:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x588116…
10-23 20:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	127	1¢	$1	0xf06d94…
10-23 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7ba58e…
10-23 16:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x55e488…
10-23 16:19:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xef22ea…
10-23 16:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3b3ef3…
10-23 16:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa6a408…
10-23 15:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaa19e7…
10-23 15:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x392231…
10-23 15:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7da8f9…
10-23 15:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa88af2…
10-23 12:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x86bcec…
10-23 09:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xba2e44…
10-23 08:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa688fc…
10-23 06:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xad8529…