Appropriate-Railway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

514

lifetime

Volume

$4.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-10 00:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

64% — —

Sports

16% 0% $-0

Other

13% 0% $-0

Politics

7% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+17	$9	55¢	$9	+$0	06-04 20:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	27	$195	123	123	+0	open	—	03-18 19:13
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	16	$127	82	82	+0	open	—	03-20 03:01
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	14	$100	53	53	+0	open	—	03-19 05:36
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	03-13 03:55
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	11	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	03-19 04:33
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	7	$52	36	36	+0	open	—	02-27 23:44
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$52	27	27	+0	No	$-0	03-15 15:10
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	02-28 10:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$40	28	28	+0	open	—	02-03 22:11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$40	28	28	+0	open	—	02-25 21:11
bitcoin up or down march 9 3am et	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	03-09 07:59
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	7	$34	30	30	+0	open	—	02-02 05:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$32	29	29	+0	Yes	$-0	02-04 15:41
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$30	24	24	+0	open	—	03-19 19:09
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	3	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	02-01 13:48
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	4	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	02-01 01:36
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	02-28 19:27
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	2	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	06-09 21:50
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	02-11 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	2	$21	25	25	+0	open	—	05-20 01:50
por spo nac 2026 02 01 nac	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-01 13:47
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	03-14 20:16
bitcoin up or down march 3 5pm et	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 23:05
bitcoin up or down march 11 8am et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-11 12:55
bitcoin up or down march 9 6am et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-09 10:50
bitcoin up or down march 8 8pm et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-09 00:50
bitcoin up or down march 6 6am et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-06 11:54
cl up or down on march 9 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-09 14:49
bitcoin up or down march 10 8pm et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-11 00:58
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-29 12:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:38:04	wnba dal min 2026 06 09 total 172pt5	Under	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x7ab530…
06-10 00:32:22	mlb min det 2026 06 09 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa173da…
06-09 23:40:39	mlb ari mia 2026 06 09 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1e90fd…
06-09 21:50:19	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	71¢	$12	0xa30b27…
06-09 01:45:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 225pt5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa00392…
06-08 03:04:09	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xcb7ae1…
06-07 18:16:15	mlb sea det 2026 06 07	Detroit Tigers	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x5b8c10…
06-06 02:21:22	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 210pt5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xdf4a6b…
06-05 02:32:30	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xd8840b…
06-05 01:24:00	mlb oak chc 2026 06 04	Athletics	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xb1c6b5…
06-04 20:36:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x930edc…
06-04 02:02:37	mlb pit hou 2026 06 03 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x72295e…
06-03 01:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x47ff4f…
06-02 05:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4df7b6…
06-01 21:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xefcfd7…
06-01 10:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x975607…
05-31 21:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfd9510…
05-31 20:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x69a3a7…
05-31 19:07:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe63bca…
05-30 05:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x515a0b…
05-29 21:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xae8e96…
05-29 07:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc8260f…
05-29 03:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xb01df6…
05-27 16:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb0246e…
05-27 01:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x14aac9…
05-26 08:47:23	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x493f4b…
05-23 22:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x40866f…
05-22 22:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x67b493…
05-22 11:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x57bae9…
05-21 10:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x12a013…
05-21 05:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x403cdf…
05-20 01:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x1f4387…
05-20 01:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x8821ae…
05-19 20:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc9f666…
05-19 07:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0d2a44…
05-18 21:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb6abe…
05-18 19:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd53908…
05-18 07:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfc0e19…
05-17 22:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x06a0ea…
05-17 21:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x14568b…
05-17 02:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x719516…
05-16 10:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x07da3c…
05-16 07:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7404e4…
05-15 22:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0585dd…
05-15 17:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7c1c67…
05-15 09:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xfc9531…
05-15 07:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8cd922…
05-15 06:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xde2767…
05-15 03:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd03aec…
05-15 01:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb5a99b…
05-15 00:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x81725a…
05-14 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0x1dd013…
05-14 18:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xadf640…
05-14 09:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x11581b…
04-26 11:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfc9e60…
04-26 04:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0c851c…
04-26 03:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0a7ade…
04-25 20:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd3e29f…
04-25 15:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x683d22…
04-25 12:12:50	Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8e1dea…
04-25 11:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x78f493…
04-25 01:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbb2a4f…
04-24 22:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc3b451…
04-24 16:51:06	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf5e9ed…
04-24 10:50:44	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x947168…
04-23 10:50:18	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf584ac…
04-23 02:51:22	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x25570c…
04-22 23:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x963c56…
04-22 21:51:16	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb0ed9e…
04-22 18:57:24	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc11d62…
04-22 15:55:24	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5a9b1d…
04-21 23:50:30	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x92c0c6…
04-21 19:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x10bb20…
04-21 12:50:12	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0675bd…
04-21 11:50:16	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x588525…
04-21 03:57:34	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x853299…
04-20 21:50:16	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa5d32d…
04-20 18:56:04	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xadf6e5…
04-20 16:50:20	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x598249…
04-20 11:54:46	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3b02ff…
04-20 08:54:38	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xec6073…
04-15 06:57:24	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x009f64…
04-15 02:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f3a55…
04-15 00:50:10	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8b95c5…
04-14 21:57:42	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x123ffd…
04-14 18:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa53684…
04-14 15:54:05	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x95ff3e…
04-14 10:57:11	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb37e1a…
04-14 08:56:03	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4b3f14…
04-14 05:50:11	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x86b533…
04-14 01:52:11	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd60fd5…
04-13 19:50:13	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4d00c2…
04-13 16:50:15	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x00011d…
04-13 14:50:27	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb7c60b…
04-13 12:55:13	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1fdd0d…
04-13 08:53:41	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x81f02d…
04-13 06:50:37	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8ca696…
04-13 00:50:35	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe71f33…
04-12 20:50:13	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x4f90aa…
04-12 17:52:43	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x643e63…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c	259	$11.1K	2,222	06-03 02:02
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	255	$603.0K	86,185	06-03 02:00
Costly-Catamaran 0xbb28…aba9	246	$722	288	06-02 04:01
(anonymous) 0x4924…fac2	236	$32.3K	12,359	06-03 01:59
Dutiful-Alley 0x89fb…66ee	229	$1.02K	368	06-03 01:00
(anonymous) 0x5808…e67f	224	$16.2K	4,329	06-03 01:33
Safe-Irony 0xa08b…855b	219	$2.64K	262	06-03 01:12
Adventurous-Marksman 0x0084…4c4f	218	$71.2K	220	06-03 01:51