Realized P&L
-$253
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved
209
Trades
343
lifetime
Volume
$5.66K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$599
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-28 01:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Crypto
31% 46% -$153
Other
29% 22% -$256
Politics
25% 29% -$4
Sports
13% 33% +$177
Tech
2% 67% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,007 $430 46¢ $468 +$38 10-28 01:40
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -760 -$20 3¢ $-21 -$1 10-02 05:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +113 $20 17¢ $19 -$1 10-08 03:42
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -572 -$17 3¢ $-17 +$0 10-02 05:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +43 $10 33¢ $14 +$4 10-16 07:04
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $10 72¢ $12 +$2 08-08 07:19
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $10 68¢ $11 +$1 10-11 05:54
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +96 $10 9¢ $9 -$1 10-12 05:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -130 -$8 4¢ $-6 +$2 10-05 04:44
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? Yes -103 -$5 5¢ $-5 -$1 10-10 05:00
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -500 -$8 1¢ $-4 +$4 10-02 05:35
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -30 -$7 15¢ $-4 +$3 10-05 05:39
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes -62 -$3 6¢ $-4 -$1 10-10 04:27
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -21 -$8 16¢ $-3 +$4 10-15 06:20
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes -38 $0 2¢ $-1 $0 10-15 06:21