Crafty-Piccolo — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$168

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

18.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

301 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$320

$12.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 11-02 03:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

85% 61% -$37

Crypto

13% 58% -$187

Politics

2% 14% -$168

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+179	$50	2¢	$3	-$47	11-02 03:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 29?	2	$609	309	309	+0	No	+$9	06-29 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?	1	$500	549	0	+549	No	+$49	06-04 04:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 27?	1	$500	576	0	+576	No	+$76	05-26 08:53
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 team total away 0pt5	2	$427	227	227	+0	Over	+$27	06-23 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 22?	2	$405	205	205	+0	No	+$5	06-22 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	3	$400	465	0	+465	No	+$65	06-01 23:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?	2	$346	234	234	+0	Yes	-$48	05-25 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 2?	2	$338	224	224	+0	Yes	-$62	06-01 23:23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 30?	1	$300	312	0	+312	No	+$12	05-29 15:31
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	2	$243	140	140	+0	Over	+$36	06-21 04:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	16	$215	460	460	+0	No	+$15	06-23 19:50
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 0 Japan?	2	$212	110	110	+0	No	+$8	06-21 04:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?	3	$203	405	405	+0	No	+$3	06-23 16:10
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	2	$202	102	102	+0	Over	+$2	06-21 04:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?	1	$200	269	0	+269	No	+$69	05-22 00:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?	1	$200	215	0	+215	Yes	+$15	06-14 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?	1	$200	222	0	+222	No	+$22	05-30 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13?	1	$200	206	0	+206	No	+$6	06-12 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?	1	$200	223	0	+223	No	+$23	05-12 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?	1	$200	218	0	+218	No	+$18	05-24 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?	1	$200	213	0	+213	No	+$13	06-12 02:31
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 17?	1	$200	211	0	+211	No	+$11	05-17 00:33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 14?	1	$200	209	0	+209	No	+$9	06-13 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 22?	1	$195	220	0	+220	No	+$25	05-21 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	2	$185	143	143	+0	Yes	-$15	05-13 03:52
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 18?	4	$184	200	0	+200	No	+$16	05-17 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?	3	$183	116	116	+0	Yes	+$46	06-22 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?	3	$170	166	166	+0	No	-$21	06-23 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?	1	$145	156	0	+156	No	+$11	06-13 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?	2	$112	172	172	+0	No	-$88	06-24 07:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 03:43:46	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x4327a5…
11-02 03:33:37	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x3f358b…
11-02 03:32:58	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0xeea509…
11-02 03:32:45	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0xd69079…
11-02 03:32:04	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xd02595…
11-02 03:31:33	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x1be78d…
11-02 03:31:15	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x19a658…
11-02 03:30:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x356b0d…
07-09 03:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	119	31¢	$37	0x20a4cf…
07-09 03:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x946474…
07-09 03:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0b523b…
07-09 03:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xa23203…
07-09 03:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x1b3241…
07-09 03:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x498791…
07-09 03:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$15	0xf79291…
06-29 07:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 29?	No	SELL	309	100¢	$309	0x14fec6…
06-29 02:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 29?	No	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x0368a9…
06-28 04:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0xaf45de…
06-28 04:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0x85c580…
06-24 07:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	172	7¢	$12	0xc8712a…
06-24 03:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xa49e98…
06-23 19:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	248	25¢	$62	0xe5f013…
06-23 19:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x864a29…
06-23 19:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x688996…
06-23 19:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x5a0f0f…
06-23 19:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0x5f2ee1…
06-23 18:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x14ff88…
06-23 16:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	385	26¢	$98	0x894925…
06-23 16:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x5bd9bb…
06-23 16:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x556ef5…
06-23 15:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x0ce528…
06-23 15:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0xa31a84…
06-23 15:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	42	25¢	$10	0x9a8b7d…
06-23 15:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x935918…
06-23 15:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x664945…
06-23 15:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0x1fda91…
06-23 15:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x091ce4…
06-23 14:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x8e33cc…
06-23 13:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	460	22¢	$100	0xdea248…
06-23 13:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	405	25¢	$100	0x1e5eb7…
06-23 05:03:41	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x6984b0…
06-23 05:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	166	45¢	$74	0xa5b3dd…
06-23 03:04:05	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x51b704…
06-22 17:49:28	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x08f93f…
06-22 17:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x2831ad…
06-22 17:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	66	57¢	$38	0x1c8a34…
06-22 08:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x712e7b…
06-22 08:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 22?	No	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0xf58c34…
06-22 03:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 22?	No	BUY	205	97¢	$200	0xf39d4f…
06-22 02:12:34	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xf603f3…
06-21 16:47:56	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 corners team home 7pt5	Over	BUY	115	44¢	$50	0x85fa79…
06-21 16:47:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 corners team away 2pt5	Over	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xda9ee2…
06-21 14:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x56db08…
06-21 14:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xb5191a…
06-21 14:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0x4b96f4…
06-21 04:42:19	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xfae93c…
06-21 04:33:23	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x8c57ec…
06-21 04:33:13	Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 0 Japan?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x9a1f11…
06-21 04:32:59	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x562912…
06-21 04:30:55	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x92e174…
06-21 04:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x1422bf…
06-21 03:24:40	Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 0 Japan?	No	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0x2a0cf9…
06-21 03:21:58	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	140	74¢	$104	0xaee7d0…
06-21 03:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	135	30¢	$41	0xdc6465…
06-20 16:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	58	36¢	$21	0x6c6c56…
06-20 16:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb0aec8…
06-20 16:24:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xf246b4…
06-20 16:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x8018b2…
06-20 15:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x01063a…
06-20 15:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xe0ee25…
06-14 06:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xc2b806…
06-13 07:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?	No	BUY	156	93¢	$145	0x8def22…
06-13 07:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x839071…
06-13 04:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$21	0x5a21e1…
06-13 03:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xdeef0c…
06-13 03:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xc5a094…
06-13 03:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	151	33¢	$50	0x9cabea…
06-13 03:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x712472…
06-13 03:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x13680e…
06-13 03:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0851f3…
06-12 02:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x33b9ee…
06-12 02:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x5dc1c2…
06-06 03:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0x57c828…
06-06 03:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x29dd51…
06-06 03:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x119546…
06-06 02:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xf2ff21…
06-06 02:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x1c7afc…
06-06 02:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0b44e7…
06-06 02:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0xad80e6…
06-06 02:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x76b41d…
06-05 06:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	118	1¢	$1	0x102433…
06-05 06:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	255	3¢	$8	0xc1e4f0…
06-05 04:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	110	5¢	$6	0x4829e9…
06-04 22:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	110	45¢	$49	0x7ff29c…
06-04 21:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$73	0x760dca…
06-04 17:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd96107…
06-04 17:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb913fb…
06-04 16:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa216f1…
06-04 16:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x37e1c1…
06-04 16:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x8dca91…