Busy-Private — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$158

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-16 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

63% 54% -$23

Sports

30% 0% -$47

Crypto

8% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$47	113	0	+113	No	-$47	07-16 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 17:30 UTC	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	03-25 17:35
nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	3	$10	9	3	+5	Yes	+$0	03-31 13:01
msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	3	$9	8	3	+5	No	-$4	03-31 13:02
play quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt46	3	$8	13	9	+4	No	-$2	03-31 13:03
cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	3	$7	7	3	+4	No	-$3	03-31 13:02
mkc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt61	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	03-31 12:52
rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 2pt22	3	$6	15	5	+10	No	-$4	03-31 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 15?	2	$5	109	109	+0	Yes	-$5	05-15 20:24
fds quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 4pt37	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	03-31 12:53
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 15?	1	$5	209	0	+209	Yes	-$5	05-14 12:25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$1	06-13 22:40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on May 15?	1	$4	26	0	+26	Yes	-$4	05-14 12:24
dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 08 2026 0pt63	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	03-31 13:01
lw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt63	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 12:53
wdfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 09 2026 1pt43	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	03-31 13:02
nmax quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 26 2026 neg0pt09	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	03-26 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	05-15 20:21
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	05-15 20:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 18?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	05-17 19:20
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on May 18?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	05-17 19:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	05-15 20:20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 18?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	05-17 19:25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	05-17 19:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	06-12 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	06-12 13:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 18:53:38	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	113	42¢	$47	0xf97654…
06-13 22:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x19f43a…
06-12 13:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x20dc2f…
06-12 13:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xc00622…
06-12 13:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xd9bd83…
05-17 19:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 18?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd802dd…
05-17 19:25:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2b2125…
05-17 19:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on May 18?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xef8907…
05-17 19:20:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 18?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x012812…
05-15 20:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 15?	No	SELL	109	0¢	$0	0x686ea4…
05-15 20:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x9f4ba2…
05-15 20:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1169ae…
05-15 20:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x113723…
05-14 12:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	209	2¢	$5	0xbfe024…
05-14 12:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 15?	No	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0xe9afc9…
05-14 12:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x3dc161…
03-31 13:03:25	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 2pt22	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x336273…
03-31 13:03:07	play quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt46	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xc03a26…
03-31 13:02:53	wdfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 09 2026 1pt43	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x81c88c…
03-31 13:02:35	cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x797021…
03-31 13:02:11	msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$3	0xf00f5d…
03-31 13:01:49	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 08 2026 0pt63	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x51a628…
03-31 13:01:29	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1e6152…
03-31 12:53:37	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 2pt22	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x46287d…
03-31 12:53:29	cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x8d049e…
03-31 12:53:23	lw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt63	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x405ca4…
03-31 12:53:17	msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xaa42c8…
03-31 12:53:11	fds quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 4pt37	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x69d3d8…
03-31 12:52:59	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0x36baee…
03-31 12:52:51	mkc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt61	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0f3770…
03-31 12:52:43	play quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt46	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0x007c9a…
03-26 15:37:03	play quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt46	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xde8511…
03-26 15:36:45	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 2pt22	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5a4def…
03-26 15:36:29	cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd52f37…
03-26 15:36:15	fds quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 4pt37	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x93b97b…
03-26 15:35:43	lw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt63	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x115cc2…
03-26 15:35:03	mkc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt61	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x05c6cb…
03-26 15:34:31	msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x078a51…
03-26 15:34:05	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xd91896…
03-26 15:33:43	nmax quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 26 2026 neg0pt09	Yes	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x34fd36…
03-25 17:35:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc7fde3…
03-25 17:30:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x545dac…