Somber-Size — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,164

lifetime

Volume

$154.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 05-26 14:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

60% — —

Politics

24% 100% +$4

Sports

9% 0% $-29

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% 100% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	13	$10.1K	4,006	6,228	-2,222	open	—	03-02 05:01
epl eve mun 2026 02 23 eve	1	$7.8K	7,897	0	+7,897	open	—	02-23 21:38
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 16 2026	12	$7.2K	7,295	0	+7,295	open	—	02-16 22:43
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 17 2026	15	$7.0K	7,120	0	+7,120	open	—	02-17 18:10
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	15	$5.2K	5,595	0	+5,595	open	—	02-27 22:03
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	1	$4.4K	4,449	0	+4,449	open	—	03-03 03:59
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	2	$4.0K	4,021	0	+4,021	open	—	02-16 03:26
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$3.9K	3,980	0	+3,980	open	—	02-24 17:46
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	19	$3.7K	3,901	0	+3,901	open	—	02-12 02:27
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	30	$3.6K	4,720	612	+4,107	open	—	02-27 19:26
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	24	$3.5K	1,566	2,044	-478	open	—	02-25 05:40
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	20	$3.4K	6,398	2,800	+3,598	open	—	02-18 18:06
Will Eduardo Coudet be the next permanent manager of River Plate?	36	$3.4K	1,718	1,718	+0	open	—	03-03 23:13
will m5 be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	17	$2.8K	2,796	2,833	-37	open	—	03-04 16:29
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	2	$2.8K	1,413	1,413	+0	open	—	02-12 23:33
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	3	$2.7K	2,834	0	+2,834	open	—	02-25 02:04
will ipad be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	9	$2.7K	2,524	2,774	-250	open	—	03-04 16:09
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$2.5K	2,574	0	+2,574	open	—	02-14 14:16
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	6	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-07 20:50
epl mac ful 2026 02 11 mac	5	$1.9K	972	972	+0	open	—	02-11 21:05
cbb tenn sc 2026 03 03	17	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-04 00:11
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$1.9K	1,063	1,063	+0	open	—	02-20 16:54
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	8	$1.9K	1,000	998	+2	open	—	04-07 20:53
will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	4	$1.8K	927	927	+0	open	—	02-23 23:01
will kenneth walker iii win the super bowl lx mvp	8	$1.8K	1,097	1,097	+0	open	—	02-09 03:25
will apple announce the iphone 17e by march 15	13	$1.7K	862	882	-20	open	—	03-02 14:58
lal bar lev 2026 02 22 draw	1	$1.6K	1,659	0	+1,659	open	—	02-22 16:39
nba bos mil 2026 03 02	6	$1.6K	1,000	727	+273	open	—	03-03 02:03
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	13	$1.6K	843	843	+0	open	—	02-27 06:20
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	4	$1.6K	860	714	+146	open	—	02-21 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 14:45:31	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	45	80¢	$36	0x0b0e00…
05-26 14:34:22	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	85	96¢	$82	0xa105f4…
05-26 14:19:25	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x586afc…
05-26 14:04:27	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	55	8¢	$4	0x456b7b…
05-26 13:59:00	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0xb6fd07…
05-26 13:36:18	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0x597f4f…
05-26 13:32:36	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0x201de1…
05-22 20:51:49	Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xcd51c7…
05-22 20:22:32	Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0xb1a8c7…
05-22 17:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x932ef6…
05-22 17:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xaf9243…
05-22 10:55:51	Will Trump say "Israel" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x34e714…
05-21 23:39:28	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x986f16…
05-21 19:08:13	Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x9c168f…
05-21 17:31:18	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x369231…
05-21 17:12:14	Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb52081…
05-21 17:11:21	Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1df968…
05-21 17:11:16	Will Trump say "Israel" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xfe37fe…
05-21 17:11:16	Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x6ba338…
05-21 16:30:21	Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0x95103b…
05-21 15:09:40	Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x108d5b…
05-17 23:34:15	Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	MIBR	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0e3bd0…
05-06 14:49:27	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	436	98¢	$430	0x7d692d…
05-06 14:49:24	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x7b7316…
05-06 14:49:22	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa24a59…
05-05 22:15:46	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	195	89¢	$173	0xbd5372…
05-05 22:13:16	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xf87abb…
05-05 22:13:10	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$177	0x4b798a…
05-05 22:12:48	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xa854a3…
05-05 11:36:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0xce8399…
05-01 00:24:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	3,810	0¢	$8	0x463ecf…
04-30 23:22:30	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	1,917	0¢	$6	0xf36722…
04-30 14:52:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	122	2¢	$2	0x54a3b7…
04-30 01:48:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	373	100¢	$372	0xfac670…
04-29 18:46:22	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xeda9d0…
04-25 19:25:34	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0xb422f8…
04-25 19:25:34	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	114	93¢	$106	0x2eca56…
04-25 19:25:32	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	114	93¢	$106	0xd47a48…
04-25 19:25:32	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x0c76b7…
04-25 02:22:58	Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-25?	No	SELL	420	100¢	$420	0x0be3e3…
04-25 02:04:26	Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	424	99¢	$418	0x0dc353…
04-24 21:41:56	arg rie ind 2026 04 24 ind	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3db400…
04-24 21:41:48	arg rie ind 2026 04 24 ind	No	SELL	257	100¢	$257	0x19614c…
04-24 21:41:40	arg rie ind 2026 04 24 ind	No	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0xe04e93…
04-24 21:35:38	arg rie ind 2026 04 24 ind	No	BUY	453	98¢	$442	0x924a53…
04-24 20:57:38	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	SELL	393	100¢	$392	0x7151a7…
04-24 20:57:34	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xdd02f3…
04-24 20:42:42	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	443	98¢	$434	0x15c9b4…
04-24 16:24:24	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x741387…
04-24 16:22:48	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xe854dd…
04-24 00:43:00	arg def boc 2026 04 23 def	No	SELL	456	100¢	$455	0xb11d86…
04-24 00:13:16	arg def boc 2026 04 23 def	No	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0xb9e687…
04-24 00:13:16	arg def boc 2026 04 23 def	No	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0x651d30…
04-24 00:13:16	arg def boc 2026 04 23 def	No	BUY	82	94¢	$77	0x537463…
04-24 00:13:12	arg def boc 2026 04 23 def	No	BUY	131	94¢	$124	0x214e35…
04-23 23:38:50	cs2 9z vsc 2026 04 23	9z	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0xffac77…
04-23 23:38:50	cs2 9z vsc 2026 04 23	9z	SELL	274	100¢	$273	0x73d8f2…
04-23 22:49:24	cs2 9z vsc 2026 04 23	9z	BUY	381	98¢	$373	0x690014…
04-23 22:48:42	cs2 9z vsc 2026 04 23	9z	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x655e36…
04-23 01:33:02	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xd7ed3d…
04-22 21:44:22	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 cel	No	SELL	337	100¢	$336	0xc88dc7…
04-22 21:43:40	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 cel	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb6d4e5…
04-22 21:42:44	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 cel	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xdacd0e…
04-22 21:00:02	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 cel	No	BUY	449	96¢	$431	0x461e6a…
04-22 20:56:42	epl bou lee 2026 04 22 lee	No	SELL	431	100¢	$431	0x007448…
04-22 20:56:32	epl bou lee 2026 04 22 lee	No	BUY	340	98¢	$333	0x75452f…
04-22 20:56:16	epl bou lee 2026 04 22 lee	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x7f4c59…
04-22 20:49:26	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 bur	No	SELL	424	100¢	$423	0x77422a…
04-22 20:27:40	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 bur	No	BUY	241	98¢	$237	0x579f7b…
04-22 20:26:00	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 bur	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0x225cbe…
04-22 20:16:02	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 bur	No	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0xae584f…
04-22 18:28:56	fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 psg	Yes	SELL	417	100¢	$417	0x983a49…
04-22 17:46:46	fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 psg	Yes	BUY	417	98¢	$410	0x8396ba…
04-22 17:43:34	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xe7eaed…
04-22 17:11:30	cs2 9z alkaa 2026 04 22 game1	9z	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xa11b45…
04-22 17:02:08	cs2 9z alkaa 2026 04 22 game1	9z	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x5c9d0a…
04-22 17:01:42	cs2 9z alkaa 2026 04 22 game1	9z	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xcd6cdf…
04-21 21:40:12	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x85158c…
04-21 21:28:56	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 draw	No	SELL	412	100¢	$412	0xc57acf…
04-21 21:08:26	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 draw	No	BUY	412	99¢	$408	0x6b729e…
04-21 21:03:58	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 ala	No	SELL	408	100¢	$408	0xad5830…
04-21 20:47:30	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 ala	No	BUY	363	98¢	$355	0x94c2f9…
04-21 20:47:22	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 ala	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x4e8b8b…
04-17 22:28:12	codmw van g2m 2026 04 17	Vancouver Surge	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xc58c9f…
04-17 22:27:44	codmw van g2m 2026 04 17	Vancouver Surge	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x6c6442…
04-17 22:14:16	codmw van g2m 2026 04 17	Vancouver Surge	BUY	78	80¢	$62	0x6f50aa…
04-17 22:14:14	codmw van g2m 2026 04 17	Vancouver Surge	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xa32c9b…
04-17 22:14:14	codmw van g2m 2026 04 17	Vancouver Surge	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x37582e…
04-17 22:14:12	codmw van g2m 2026 04 17	Vancouver Surge	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0a829b…
04-17 22:14:02	codmw van g2m 2026 04 17	Vancouver Surge	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x01a79d…
04-17 17:14:18	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Mike Malott	BUY	52	71¢	$37	0x8bab1f…
04-17 14:14:48	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xbd03a0…
04-16 20:57:18	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 scb	Yes	SELL	596	100¢	$596	0x73aad8…
04-16 20:38:32	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 scb	Yes	BUY	597	94¢	$561	0x9a4bea…
04-16 02:22:04	lib flu cir 2026 04 15 flu	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x32b53b…
04-16 02:15:56	lib flu cir 2026 04 15 flu	No	SELL	315	99¢	$312	0xa92380…
04-16 02:14:52	lib flu cir 2026 04 15 flu	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe734ae…
04-16 02:11:54	lib flu cir 2026 04 15 flu	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xed58c6…
04-16 02:05:46	lib flu cir 2026 04 15 flu	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xeb9cf7…
04-16 02:05:30	lib flu cir 2026 04 15 flu	No	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0x608d8b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	142	$19.0K	4,367	05-26 20:01
(anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2	130	$74.0K	7,647	03-19 05:56
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	118	$317.7K	40,465	05-26 18:09
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	110	$261.5K	24,482	05-04 13:09
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	108	$626.0K	12,627	05-25 14:09
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	104	$629.2K	9,349	04-27 18:36
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	104	$162.6K	15,656	03-28 06:16
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	100	$64.5K	2,839	03-31 23:52