Somber-Size — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.60K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

370

Trades

1,348

lifetime

Volume

$160.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-12 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

61% 57% -$4,781

Politics

24% 56% -$3,089

Sports

10% 54% -$1,004

Tech

3% 86% +$63

Crypto

2% 72% +$170

Pop-Culture

0% 71% +$37

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes		-30	-$7	18¢	$-5	+$2	06-12 18:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	13	$10.1K	4,006	6,228	-2,222	No	+$97	03-02 05:01
epl eve mun 2026 02 23 eve	1	$7.8K	7,897	0	+7,897	No	+$96	02-23 21:38
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 16 2026	12	$7.2K	7,295	0	+7,295	No	+$78	02-16 22:43
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 17 2026	15	$7.0K	7,120	0	+7,120	Yes	+$76	02-17 18:10
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	15	$5.2K	5,595	0	+5,595	No	+$374	02-27 22:03
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	1	$4.4K	4,449	0	+4,449	No	+$33	03-03 03:59
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	2	$4.0K	4,021	0	+4,021	Yes	+$30	02-16 03:26
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$3.9K	3,980	0	+3,980	No	+$103	02-24 17:46
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	19	$3.7K	3,901	0	+3,901	Yes	+$157	02-12 02:27
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	30	$3.6K	4,720	612	+4,107	Yes	-$2,742	02-27 19:26
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	24	$3.5K	1,566	2,044	-478	Yes	-$4	02-25 05:40
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	20	$3.4K	6,398	2,800	+3,598	No	-$3,033	02-18 18:06
Will Eduardo Coudet be the next permanent manager of River Plate?	36	$3.4K	1,718	1,718	+0	Yes	+$13	03-03 23:13
will m5 be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	17	$2.8K	2,796	2,833	-37	No	-$2,307	03-04 16:29
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	2	$2.8K	1,413	1,413	+0	No	+$11	02-12 23:33
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	3	$2.7K	2,834	0	+2,834	No	+$142	02-25 02:04
will ipad be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	9	$2.7K	2,524	2,774	-250	No	-$2,095	03-04 16:09
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$2.5K	2,574	0	+2,574	No	+$45	02-14 14:16
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	6	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$50	04-07 20:50
epl mac ful 2026 02 11 mac	5	$1.9K	972	972	+0	Yes	+$13	02-11 21:05
cbb tenn sc 2026 03 03	17	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Tennessee Volunteers	+$10	03-04 00:11
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$1.9K	1,063	1,063	+0	Yes	+$237	02-20 16:54
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	8	$1.9K	1,000	998	+2	Yes	+$110	04-07 20:53
will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	4	$1.8K	927	927	+0	No	+$11	02-23 23:01
will kenneth walker iii win the super bowl lx mvp	8	$1.8K	1,097	1,097	+0	Yes	-$66	02-09 03:25
will apple announce the iphone 17e by march 15	13	$1.7K	862	882	-20	Yes	+$67	03-02 14:58
lal bar lev 2026 02 22 draw	1	$1.6K	1,659	0	+1,659	No	+$17	02-22 16:39
nba bos mil 2026 03 02	6	$1.6K	1,000	727	+273	Celtics	+$65	03-03 02:03
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	13	$1.6K	843	843	+0	No	+$52	02-27 06:20
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	4	$1.6K	860	714	+146	No	+$13	02-21 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 18:56:03	Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0xba520b…
06-12 18:55:58	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	177	11¢	$19	0xc30aa9…
06-12 18:55:55	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$15	0x4eb2a5…
06-12 18:54:16	Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	250	9¢	$23	0x4795ab…
06-12 18:54:12	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	291	10¢	$29	0x4f19cd…
06-12 18:54:07	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	210	16¢	$34	0x68db7d…
06-12 18:50:21	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	121	71¢	$86	0xda46de…
06-12 18:46:28	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	174	65¢	$113	0x7ea2ef…
06-12 18:44:48	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	703	80¢	$564	0x195552…
06-12 18:43:31	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	90	18¢	$16	0x82c53b…
05-26 14:45:31	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	45	80¢	$36	0x0b0e00…
05-26 14:34:22	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	85	96¢	$82	0xa105f4…
05-26 14:19:25	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x586afc…
05-26 14:04:27	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	55	8¢	$4	0x456b7b…
05-26 13:59:00	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0xb6fd07…
05-26 13:46:18	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0xd31afb…
05-26 13:46:10	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	51	7¢	$3	0x50c860…
05-26 13:45:42	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	51	24¢	$12	0x816e68…
05-26 13:41:54	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xc737d3…
05-26 13:36:18	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0x597f4f…
05-26 13:32:36	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0x201de1…
05-26 11:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	413	2¢	$9	0x5c7dfb…
05-26 10:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	3,662	0¢	$9	0x1d0ab8…
05-26 05:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or below on May 27?	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x1dd206…
05-25 19:51:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	511	2¢	$9	0x1f2a3d…
05-25 16:06:56	Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	893	2¢	$15	0x3e6de2…
05-25 16:06:51	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	784	2¢	$19	0xe66ed1…
05-25 14:24:54	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xe0db44…
05-25 09:22:11	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x9fe964…
05-25 09:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or below on May 27?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xd766fc…
05-25 09:03:08	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0xb4d8f6…
05-25 08:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 27?	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xb34e6d…
05-25 08:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x132c86…
05-25 08:25:47	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	34	19¢	$6	0xd61386…
05-25 08:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or below on May 27?	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0xe18d33…
05-25 08:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xa50514…
05-25 08:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$6	0xf0070c…
05-25 08:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or below on May 27?	Yes	BUY	52	11¢	$6	0x63e845…
05-25 07:55:39	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0xf409bc…
05-25 07:55:39	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x591641…
05-25 07:55:32	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	19¢	$5	0xe8a8ba…
05-25 07:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	709	1¢	$6	0xa479c1…
05-25 07:34:14	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	624	1¢	$6	0x2fda24…
05-25 02:32:43	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x5f107c…
05-25 01:23:55	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0xc5143b…
05-24 20:11:22	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	19¢	$5	0x78395e…
05-24 09:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f01f3…
05-24 08:44:03	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$6	0x282735…
05-24 08:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	453	1¢	$6	0xbaac18…
05-24 08:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?	No	BUY	562	1¢	$6	0xfc699a…
05-23 23:34:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 25?	Yes	BUY	897	1¢	$6	0xc7596c…
05-23 23:34:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,648	0¢	$6	0xcb7fbd…
05-23 23:34:43	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 25?	Yes	BUY	446	1¢	$6	0x72cacb…
05-23 23:34:43	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	684	1¢	$6	0x40e8c8…
05-23 23:34:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 25?	Yes	BUY	780	1¢	$6	0x3edd99…
05-23 23:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on May 25?	Yes	BUY	661	1¢	$6	0xf93af4…
05-23 22:44:53	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x33d2b5…
05-23 21:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 24?	Yes	SELL	32	11¢	$4	0xf10f23…
05-23 21:44:13	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on May 27?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8ed700…
05-23 21:44:11	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 25?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$1	0x83fbf2…
05-23 21:44:09	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 25?	Yes	SELL	93	1¢	$1	0xe713a4…
05-23 21:44:09	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 26?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0x40d94c…
05-23 21:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 24?	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0x163de5…
05-23 21:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 24?	Yes	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0xd61927…
05-23 21:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 24?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xcdae1b…
05-23 20:54:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on May 27?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x064c29…
05-23 20:54:45	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C or below on May 26?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x2e737a…
05-23 20:54:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd77469…
05-23 20:54:43	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on May 24?	Yes	BUY	144	3¢	$5	0x820f53…
05-23 20:54:41	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 25?	Yes	BUY	261	2¢	$5	0xc38f5b…
05-23 20:54:41	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 25?	Yes	BUY	169	3¢	$5	0xbf91f2…
05-23 20:54:41	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba95f5…
05-23 20:54:39	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x15fb7e…
05-23 20:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xf1d748…
05-23 20:54:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 25?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4f397a…
05-23 20:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x6e13a9…
05-23 20:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x5a9037…
05-23 20:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0x3c5b92…
05-23 20:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 24?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x42ccc2…
05-23 20:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 24?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5da785…
05-23 20:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a6022…
05-23 19:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 23?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x04429e…
05-23 18:33:12	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	54	80¢	$43	0x09a331…
05-23 17:34:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x8d919e…
05-23 17:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on May 24?	Yes	SELL	814	0¢	$1	0x12f492…
05-23 10:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on May 24?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x613464…
05-23 10:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xcd2eb9…
05-23 10:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on May 24?	Yes	SELL	797	0¢	$1	0x6f76b5…
05-23 07:33:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on May 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2c1edc…
05-23 04:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7004ac…
05-22 23:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc2b1b0…
05-22 23:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 24?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd83bb2…
05-22 21:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9bd33e…
05-22 21:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 23?	Yes	SELL	44	10¢	$5	0xe538dc…
05-22 21:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,019	0¢	$5	0xce35b8…
05-22 21:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	818	1¢	$5	0xa4c76d…
05-22 21:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	907	1¢	$5	0x3fc27d…
05-22 21:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf63027…
05-22 21:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 62°F or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2ca97a…
05-22 20:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd45248…