Realized P&L
-$66
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
52.8%
Resolved
363
Trades
1,535
lifetime
Volume
$4.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$78
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 10-04 01:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Other
65% 55% -$103
Sports
12% 46% +$39
Politics
12% 61% -$9
Crypto
9% 34% -$9
Tech
2% 56% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 09-09 05:44
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 09-14 11:02
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +9 $4 70¢ $6 +$2 08-18 18:48
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +34 $6 16¢ $5 $0 08-22 00:26
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 09-14 09:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 09-14 14:36
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5 $5 84¢ $4 -$1 09-26 00:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 09-24 14:39
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +7 $6 45¢ $3 -$3 08-10 11:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7 $2 42¢ $3 +$1 08-12 14:14
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 Yes +26 $3 11¢ $3 $0 08-15 11:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +7 $3 38¢ $3 $0 09-29 18:58
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922 No +9 $3 30¢ $3 $0 08-22 11:12
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 Yes +50 $28 4¢ $2 -$26 08-21 15:05
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +5 $1 27¢ $1 +$0 09-25 11:43