Tedious-Tumbler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.24K

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

622

Trades

2,505

lifetime

Volume

$63.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$2.50K

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Politics

48% 83% +$1,279

Other

33% 86% +$647

Sports

13% 79% +$282

Crypto

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 86% +$27

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+990	$983	99¢	$983	$0	10-29 19:24
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+455	$455	100¢	$454	$0	10-30 07:49
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+355	$348	98¢	$349	+$1	10-30 08:53
Human moon landing in 2026?	No	+124	$125	99¢	$123	-$1	10-30 04:14
Will Alberta join the US?	No	-124	-$118	99¢	$-122	-$4	05-18 21:06
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	+123	$121	98¢	$120	$0	10-30 04:15
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+120	$121	98¢	$118	-$3	10-30 16:07
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+111	$110	99¢	$110	$0	10-30 04:23
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	+45	$44	99¢	$44	+$0	10-30 07:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-43	-$36	97¢	$-42	-$6	05-08 23:15
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	-20	-$19	99¢	$-20	-$1	05-13 11:41
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	+12	$16	97¢	$12	-$5	10-30 07:06
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	+0	-$1	98¢	$0	+$1	05-13 09:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$2.2K	1,625	635	+990	open	—	10-29 19:24
Will Sally Doyle win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	32	$1.5K	927	795	+131	No	+$186	10-21 22:38
Will Aaron Orlando win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	34	$1.3K	1,297	262	+1,035	No	+$263	10-16 19:36
Will Nolan Schanuel win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	12	$1.2K	654	653	+1	No	+$56	10-16 08:14
Will Kevin Hyland win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	21	$1.1K	775	381	+395	No	+$48	10-27 18:03
Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	19	$1.1K	728	422	+306	No	+$61	10-18 23:07
Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	26	$996	664	396	+269	No	+$63	10-27 23:27
Will Marshawn Lynch buy the Seattle Seahawks?	19	$995	702	438	+264	No	+$136	07-12 07:31
Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	27	$858	729	218	+511	No	+$73	10-28 22:19
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	8	$845	490	370	+120	open	—	10-30 16:07
Will Kevin Kiermaier win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	16	$657	338	338	+0	No	+$15	07-31 02:40
Will Macklemore (Benjamin Hammond Haggerty) buy the Seattle Seahawks?	13	$616	524	138	+387	No	+$41	07-12 14:52
will dr congo go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622444	5	$585	662	0	+662	No	+$78	06-24 08:20
Will Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks?	14	$469	461	301	+160	No	+$18	06-26 12:22
Will LeBron James buy the Seattle Seahawks?	14	$468	335	294	+41	No	+$11	07-02 13:30
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$455	455	0	+455	open	—	10-30 07:49
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?	20	$434	269	269	+0	No	+$18	10-09 07:28
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?	6	$410	218	217	+0	No	+$17	09-01 02:28
Will Michael King win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	4	$392	225	185	+40	No	+$15	10-16 08:26
Will James Chumsa win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	6	$378	383	10	+373	open	—	10-27 19:40
will trump say olympic during panthers visit	7	$375	428	0	+428	No	-$161	01-15 22:25
Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	10	$367	237	195	+42	open	—	10-14 23:53
Will Joey Ortiz win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	3	$361	201	180	+21	No	+$13	10-16 08:27
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$348	355	0	+355	open	—	10-30 08:53
Will Paula Wriedt win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	19	$344	212	148	+64	No	+$14	10-28 22:18
Will James Randall win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	9	$319	275	52	+223	No	+$7	10-27 23:29
Will Weng Shou-liang win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?	9	$313	170	170	+0	open	—	10-15 17:38
Will Jairo Palheta win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?	3	$310	164	164	+0	No	+$18	10-05 05:03
Will Kyle Manzardo hit a home run in the 2026 ALDS?	3	$304	317	0	+317	No	+$13	10-03 17:12
Will Patrick Von Dohlen win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	19	$299	518	303	+215	open	—	09-29 08:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:07:21	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa43ad3…
10-30 08:53:51	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0x6097f2…
10-30 08:30:39	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x24fefa…
10-30 08:28:06	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x32c3c2…
10-30 08:27:57	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0x4ebd37…
10-30 07:53:40	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	235	98¢	$231	0xb1ddb4…
10-30 07:49:21	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xab354f…
10-30 07:49:19	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	455	100¢	$455	0x19212a…
10-30 07:45:06	Is Earth flat?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xe426a0…
10-30 07:44:13	Will Anthony Santander win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xbcef61…
10-30 07:39:15	Is Earth flat?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x46ed32…
10-30 07:06:12	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	111	98¢	$108	0xb11edc…
10-30 06:13:51	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3d98c1…
10-30 04:23:15	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x06c08a…
10-30 04:15:00	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x4aa804…
10-30 04:14:24	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	174	99¢	$173	0xae005a…
10-29 23:42:16	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x57ff83…
10-29 21:11:24	Will Justin Douglas win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x5486a9…
10-29 19:24:55	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	990	99¢	$982	0x542560…
10-28 22:19:53	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0xd805ba…
10-28 22:19:16	Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x86a7a1…
10-28 22:18:22	Will Paula Wriedt win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1203b5…
10-28 22:17:44	Will Dustin May lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x178052…
10-28 22:16:49	Will Dillon Roberts win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	No	BUY	111	96¢	$107	0xb83aa8…
10-28 18:10:20	Will Angela Offord win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$34	0x8dfeaf…
10-28 08:37:13	Will Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	108	81¢	$88	0x237127…
10-28 07:55:43	Will Dillon Roberts win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	No	BUY	81	89¢	$72	0x93c745…
10-28 07:41:17	Will Kim Phillips win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	92	97¢	$89	0x2d2660…
10-28 07:38:01	Will Geoffrey Summers win the next Burnie mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbd9988…
10-28 07:15:38	Will Tony Mulder win the next Clarence mayoral election?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0x58f28f…
10-28 06:38:49	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x9fc63a…
10-28 06:11:47	Will Marshall Callaghan win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xbff6dd…
10-28 05:52:08	Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	151	97¢	$146	0xebdcbb…
10-28 05:36:14	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x7677c2…
10-28 05:36:04	Will Nathan Volf win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x00254b…
10-28 03:36:57	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xe47c55…
10-28 03:31:12	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x5a5700…
10-27 23:35:08	Will Paula Wriedt win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d2767…
10-27 23:29:36	Will James Randall win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xeded56…
10-27 23:27:38	Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3144cf…
10-27 23:27:32	Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa29184…
10-27 21:45:47	Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x4cd6d5…
10-27 21:45:38	Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xc399eb…
10-27 19:40:09	Will James Chumsa win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	89	97¢	$86	0xdafbe9…
10-27 18:06:51	Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9de2c3…
10-27 18:05:29	Will James Chumsa win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	111	96¢	$107	0x9b7b43…
10-27 18:04:02	Will Angela Offord win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0xd43ad3…
10-27 18:03:29	Will Kevin Hyland win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xd2e177…
10-27 06:28:53	Will Justin Douglas win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0xeecfa4…
10-27 05:20:21	Will Justin Douglas win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0xefb518…
10-26 08:10:56	Will Angela Offord win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6ae96b…
10-26 07:38:14	Will Angela Offord win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0xdfdb54…
10-26 07:27:27	Will Kevin Hyland win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0x72f4fa…
10-26 07:14:11	Will Kevin Hyland win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0x76f8f9…
10-25 22:52:56	Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xf06f59…
10-25 16:47:45	Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$56	0x55d899…
10-24 07:24:08	Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0x724ffc…
10-24 07:22:11	Will Kevin Hyland win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0x363b8a…
10-24 07:13:59	Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf6a1a4…
10-24 07:11:26	Will Paula Wriedt win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc35337…
10-24 07:11:15	Will Paula Wriedt win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xeb1f70…
10-24 07:10:11	Will James Randall win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0xddfdd7…
10-24 02:48:42	Will Jeremiah Akpan win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xd6b947…
10-23 06:55:15	Will Geoffrey Summers win the next Burnie mayoral election?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x11d4f7…
10-22 22:48:54	Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x779105…
10-21 22:42:48	Will Kevin Hyland win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbaf47f…
10-21 22:39:54	Will James Randall win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc144b1…
10-21 22:38:35	Will Sally Doyle win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb3c64a…
10-21 22:36:12	Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7ef366…
10-21 22:34:59	Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x397138…
10-21 09:04:08	Will Paula Wriedt win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa9c640…
10-21 09:01:36	Alcatraz reopened in 2026?	No	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xb4eee6…
10-21 08:56:11	Alcatraz reopened in 2026?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xc60fc4…
10-21 00:48:26	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be less than $50M by November 30?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x72c90d…
10-20 23:10:24	Will Cam Smith win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	91	90¢	$82	0x37f40c…
10-20 23:09:24	Will Cam Smith win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xf909fe…
10-20 23:03:17	Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x24bc31…
10-20 18:36:06	Alcatraz reopened in 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x6b2d30…
10-20 18:36:06	Alcatraz reopened in 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4f1e99…
10-20 09:42:32	Will Wilyer Abreu win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xe0ea06…
10-20 03:24:56	Will José Ramírez lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x43cea5…
10-20 03:24:00	2026 ALCS Team Total Runs: Rays 30+	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xc8741c…
10-20 03:22:29	Will Freddy Peralta win the 2026 ALCS MVP?	Yes	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x284b0c…
10-20 03:07:24	Will José Ramírez lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb0cc52…
10-20 03:05:14	2026 ALCS Team Total Runs: Guardians 30+	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xbc1eab…
10-20 03:03:36	2026 ALCS Team Total Runs: Guardians 20+	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc1f1dd…
10-20 03:03:02	2026 ALCS Team Total Runs: Guardians 25+	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x64661e…
10-20 02:39:45	Will José Ramírez lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x52adf0…
10-20 00:09:33	Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x1eb93b…
10-20 00:07:32	Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x99f798…
10-19 20:59:57	Will James Chumsa win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x9b67b3…
10-19 12:39:32	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	69	80¢	$55	0x41282f…
10-19 06:20:21	Will Joey Cantillo lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x47a966…
10-19 06:08:18	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xc4ae7d…
10-19 05:49:00	Will Paula Wriedt win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x942ad0…
10-19 05:41:47	Will James Randall win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x3b4825…
10-18 23:12:18	Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x6f1703…
10-18 23:07:56	Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x43a423…
10-18 22:55:12	Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7f56cd…
10-18 22:55:11	Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x0bbaf9…