Shallow-Orient-Plaintiff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$196

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 07-24 23:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 64% $-0

Tech

10% — —

Sports

2% — —

Other

1% 0% $-2

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$18	21	14	+6	open	—	05-03 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$12	18	18	+0	open	—	05-03 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$11	14	5	+8	Down	$-1	05-05 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	$-10	05-05 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$10	250	0	+250	open	—	05-03 16:07
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	1	$8	813	0	+813	open	—	07-22 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 14:53
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	1	$5	625	0	+625	open	—	05-16 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-03 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-03 16:11
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	07-24 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$3	12	0	+12	Up	$-3	05-04 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-04 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-04 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-05 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-04 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	05-04 20:50
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	05-03 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Down	$-3	05-04 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-05 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-04 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-05 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-04 20:40
Will Trump's remarks not air?	1	$2	612	0	+612	No	$-2	05-04 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 23:01:58	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x298c1f…
07-22 12:47:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x80376c…
07-22 12:46:34	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	Yes	BUY	813	1¢	$8	0xb95a82…
07-02 21:44:35	will trump say epic fury during tribute to america rally 20260630160620563	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xedf123…
05-16 21:34:21	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x3da8b6…
05-05 14:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x258625…
05-05 14:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2285cb…
05-05 14:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x7ca410…
05-05 14:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xb01d8c…
05-05 14:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x864993…
05-05 14:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x40ae4c…
05-05 14:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3167fd…
05-05 14:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x18c571…
05-05 14:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x040724…
05-04 20:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x3a55f9…
05-04 20:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xddcc81…
05-04 20:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xfa58ac…
05-04 20:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x15899e…
05-04 20:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x064728…
05-04 20:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2884f8…
05-04 20:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf854bb…
05-04 20:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x22b5a1…
05-04 19:58:06	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	612	0¢	$2	0xcb8578…
05-03 17:44:12	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x30de87…
05-03 16:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x197bc1…
05-03 16:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd5ec9c…
05-03 16:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x696b7a…
05-03 16:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf335e9…
05-03 16:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0x00fe5a…
05-03 16:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x710fc2…
05-03 16:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x86ab5d…
05-03 16:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8fce56…
05-03 16:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xa31c83…
05-03 16:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x626bb5…
05-03 16:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x50887b…
05-03 15:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xf17ab6…
05-03 15:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe3db56…
05-03 15:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0xf0bfba…
05-03 15:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x763d19…
05-03 15:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x3bb75d…
05-03 15:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x4706f8…
05-03 15:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9db999…
05-03 15:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xc0b43b…
05-03 15:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x69ed3e…