Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.56K
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
93.2%
Resolved (7d)
42
Trades (7d)
157
941 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$12.1K
$59.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$1.02K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-29
last 11-01 05:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Sports
45% 72% -$841
Other
36% 65% +$301
Politics
13% 61% +$1,189
Crypto
6% 68% +$43
Tech
0% 50% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +148 $139 95¢ $141 +$2 11-01 01:06
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +141 $112 90¢ $127 +$15 11-01 00:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +106 $100 99¢ $105 +$5 10-30 19:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +118 $100 86¢ $101 +$1 11-01 01:47
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +105 $100 92¢ $97 -$3 10-28 11:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +80 $74 94¢ $76 +$2 10-30 17:55
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +332 $60 16¢ $54 -$6 10-28 12:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +166 $50 31¢ $51 +$1 11-01 01:58
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +39 $30 74¢ $29 -$1 10-27 11:00
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +111 $30 26¢ $28 -$2 11-01 00:43
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +32 $20 64¢ $21 +$1 11-01 04:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +69 $20 28¢ $19 -$1 10-31 20:53
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +22 $20 83¢ $19 -$1 10-04 15:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +59 $20 30¢ $17 -$3 10-27 04:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +18 $12 72¢ $13 +$1 10-28 01:12
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 10-26 04:00
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +46 $11 22¢ $10 -$1 10-16 12:02
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 10-28 01:10
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $10 78¢ $10 $0 11-01 05:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +14 $10 66¢ $10 $0 10-29 09:58
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +15 $10 64¢ $10 $0 10-28 01:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +26 $10 34¢ $9 -$1 10-29 09:57
Clippers vs. Warriors Warriors — +15 $10 56¢ $9 -$1 11-01 01:39
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +12 $10 70¢ $9 -$1 10-03 16:56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +62 $5 12¢ $7 +$2 10-05 16:05
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +53 $5 11¢ $6 +$1 10-15 03:46
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 70¢ $6 +$1 10-11 18:28
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 09-29 19:38
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +23 $5 22¢ $5 +$0 10-15 03:46
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +25 $5 14¢ $3 -$2 10-15 03:46