(anonymous) 0xcbc421…a86070 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$427
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
73.6%
Resolved
363
Trades
1,447
lifetime
Volume
$79.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$683
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-29
last 11-08 16:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Sports
41% 70% -$796
Other
33% 69% +$388
Politics
19% 67% +$788
Crypto
5% 68% +$51
Tech
2% 50% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes +90 $80 99¢ $89 +$9 11-04 15:07
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? No +71 $60 83¢ $59 -$1 11-05 00:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +94 $60 61¢ $58 -$2 11-06 01:49
Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +67 $50 84¢ $56 +$6 11-01 04:39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +59 $50 92¢ $55 +$5 11-02 23:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +169 $21 32¢ $55 +$34 11-03 21:48
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +41 $32 85¢ $35 +$2 11-04 11:40
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes -30 -$64 98¢ $-29 +$35 11-04 22:38
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? Yes +48 $25 52¢ $25 +$0 11-07 21:08
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +23 $20 90¢ $21 +$1 11-01 04:36
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026? Yes +35 $15 56¢ $20 +$5 11-08 16:17
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +22 $20 85¢ $19 -$1 10-04 15:52
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +139 $15 13¢ $19 +$4 11-03 14:29
Will Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? Yes +21 $10 86¢ $18 +$8 10-31 00:20
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +33 $15 49¢ $16 +$1 11-01 04:36
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? Yes +34 $20 36¢ $12 -$8 10-28 03:45
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +15 $10 76¢ $11 +$1 10-28 01:11
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +46 $11 24¢ $11 $0 10-16 12:02
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 10-28 01:10
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 11-02 23:03
spain general election pp vox get 50 of vote Yes +20 $10 44¢ $9 -$1 10-14 19:42
Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? Yes +14 $10 60¢ $9 -$1 10-02 21:46
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 09-29 19:38
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +693 $11 1¢ $5 -$6 11-05 02:38
will microsoft launch a muse like personal agent before 2027 No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 10-14 19:57
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +23 $5 22¢ $5 $0 10-15 03:46
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +12 $10 40¢ $5 -$5 10-03 16:56
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? Yes +40 $52 12¢ $5 -$47 11-08 13:43
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +62 $5 8¢ $5 $0 10-05 16:05
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 12, 2026? Yes +117 $37 2¢ $3 -$34 11-05 02:18