(anonymous) 0xcbc421…a86070 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$344
Unrealized P&L
+$119
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved (90d)
326
Trades (90d)
1,382
1,382 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$76.9K
$76.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$913
29 positions
First seen
2026-09-29
last 11-04 15:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Sports
42% 70% -$812
Other
33% 69% +$346
Politics
19% 70% +$767
Crypto
5% 69% +$48
Tech
2% 50% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +261 $203 92¢ $240 +$37 11-04 13:17
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +123 $100 94¢ $115 +$15 11-04 15:02
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +71 $58 92¢ $66 +$8 11-04 11:38
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? Yes — +68 $50 90¢ $61 +$11 11-04 15:06
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +59 $50 85¢ $51 +$1 11-02 23:31
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? Yes +73 $50 62¢ $45 -$5 11-04 15:04
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +169 $21 26¢ $45 +$24 11-03 21:48
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +39 $30 98¢ $38 +$8 10-27 11:00
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? Yes +33 $30 99¢ $33 +$3 11-04 15:07
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +41 $32 72¢ $29 -$3 11-04 11:40
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +27 $25 96¢ $26 +$1 11-04 02:55
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +22 $18 100¢ $22 +$4 11-04 03:52
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +22 $20 84¢ $19 -$1 10-04 15:52
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +139 $15 12¢ $17 +$2 11-03 14:29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? Yes +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 11-04 13:13
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 11-04 02:18
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +13 $10 90¢ $12 +$2 11-04 13:15
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +15 $10 70¢ $10 +$0 10-28 01:11
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +46 $11 22¢ $10 -$1 10-16 12:02
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 10-28 01:10
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 11-02 23:03
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +12 $10 68¢ $8 -$2 10-03 16:56
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 09-29 19:38
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +23 $5 22¢ $5 +$0 10-15 03:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +62 $5 8¢ $5 +$0 10-05 16:05
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No -30 -$17 8¢ $-2 +$15 11-04 00:23
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +80 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 11-02 23:03
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +59 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-06 11:44
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +12 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 11-04 03:56