(anonymous) 0xcbc421…a86070 Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$319
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
71.8%
Resolved (30d)
229
Trades (30d)
993
1,092 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$67.8K
$69.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$1.31K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-29
last 11-03 14:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Sports
47% 70% -$812
Other
32% 64% +$278
Politics
15% 55% +$860
Crypto
5% 68% +$43
Tech
2% 50% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +459 $271 66¢ $301 +$30 11-03 03:58
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $156 76¢ $153 -$3 11-03 15:01
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +110 $80 74¢ $81 +$1 11-03 14:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +332 $60 21¢ $70 +$10 10-28 12:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +343 $57 19¢ $65 +$9 11-03 04:00
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +65 $60 92¢ $60 $0 11-03 15:02
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +75 $60 78¢ $58 -$2 11-02 17:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +166 $50 32¢ $52 +$2 11-01 01:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +59 $50 85¢ $50 +$0 11-02 23:31
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +57 $44 80¢ $46 +$2 11-03 14:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +42 $38 94¢ $40 +$2 11-03 15:04
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +111 $30 30¢ $33 +$3 11-01 00:43
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? Yes +34 $30 88¢ $30 $0 11-03 15:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +39 $30 76¢ $30 $0 10-27 11:00
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +34 $30 88¢ $30 $0 11-03 15:05
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +88 $30 34¢ $30 $0 11-03 15:04
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? Yes +22 $20 88¢ $20 $0 11-03 15:05
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +24 $20 84¢ $20 $0 11-03 14:19
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +22 $20 84¢ $19 -$1 10-04 15:52
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +32 $20 56¢ $18 -$2 11-01 04:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +59 $20 28¢ $16 -$4 10-27 04:23
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +139 $15 12¢ $16 +$1 11-03 14:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +18 $12 76¢ $14 +$2 10-28 01:12
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +15 $10 70¢ $10 +$0 10-28 01:11
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +46 $11 22¢ $10 -$1 10-16 12:02
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 10-28 01:10
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 11-02 23:03
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +12 $10 60¢ $7 -$3 10-03 16:56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +62 $5 12¢ $7 +$2 10-05 16:05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 72¢ $6 +$1 10-11 18:28