Petty-Buck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$63.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$431

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

123

Trades

1,367

lifetime

Volume

$2.04M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.49K

Open exposure

$39

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-05 06:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 58% +$26,621

Other

28% 56% +$36,748

Sports

3% 42% -$154

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes		+1,399	$36	3¢	$39	+$3	10-19 20:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$434	88¢	$0	-$434	11-05 06:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	92	$456.6K	245,735	245,735	+0	open	—	11-05 06:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	13	$206.0K	106,544	106,544	+0	No	+$1,046	10-11 10:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	378	$116.2K	99,560	45,548	+54,013	No	+$17,611	07-29 15:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	23	$98.5K	83,361	83,361	+0	Yes	+$4,165	08-29 19:57
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	32	$94.4K	66,403	29,152	+37,251	No	+$614	01-31 15:30
will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	52	$88.3K	57,161	53,603	+3,558	Yes	+$12,032	08-19 21:46
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	6	$81.4K	42,015	42,015	+0	No	+$971	02-24 17:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	3	$80.5K	41,145	41,145	+0	No	+$172	10-10 02:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	67	$75.8K	95,173	95,173	+0	No	-$6,841	09-11 16:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	3	$65.2K	33,459	33,459	+0	No	+$1,317	05-28 14:51
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	11	$64.8K	71,452	2,465	+68,987	80k	+$9,008	01-31 17:08
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	9	$61.0K	30,739	30,739	+0	No	+$77	01-20 15:37
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	32	$48.7K	40,657	40,657	+0	No	+$1,329	07-16 03:44
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	35	$38.6K	31,491	31,491	+0	No	+$4,895	03-27 12:37
will silver si hit high 150 by end of february 397 652 494 395 172	15	$38.5K	19,804	19,804	+0	No	+$507	02-14 01:55
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	39	$37.5K	21,972	21,972	+0	No	-$189	08-10 15:26
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	20	$34.8K	26,589	26,589	+0	No	+$3,646	07-01 01:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	7	$31.2K	21,405	21,405	+0	No	+$5,230	05-22 20:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$29.7K	25,212	14,477	+10,736	Yes	+$7,054	07-29 15:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	8	$28.0K	14,577	14,577	+0	No	+$223	10-20 03:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	2	$21.4K	11,696	11,696	+0	No	-$339	10-10 10:34
will silver si hit high 130 by end of february 915 491 526 914 543 364	8	$21.1K	12,005	12,005	+0	No	+$530	02-05 20:44
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	43	$16.6K	15,710	15,710	+0	Yes	+$1,832	05-22 20:43
will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	14	$14.6K	9,034	9,033	+0	Yes	+$43	08-04 17:14
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	12	$12.9K	17,275	17,275	+0	No	-$428	08-09 10:20
bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	7	$10.6K	10,500	10,500	+0	Yes	-$1,313	07-29 14:43
will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	33	$10.6K	8,220	8,220	+0	No	+$534	08-09 07:05
Cowboys vs. Packers	4	$9.5K	10,081	20	+10,061	Packers	+$553	10-19 03:02
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	5	$9.5K	9,341	9,341	+0	No	+$308	03-18 15:46
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	11	$9.4K	9,358	9,358	+0	Yes	-$922	08-03 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 06:41:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44,644	94¢	$41,965	0x13e9c9…
11-05 01:27:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x4f8454…
11-04 22:43:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,023	94¢	$962	0xad5917…
11-04 20:15:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	181	94¢	$170	0x378b78…
11-04 17:11:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,856	94¢	$1,745	0xe8d4aa…
11-04 16:39:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0x428d67…
11-04 15:59:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	345	94¢	$324	0xa93dff…
11-04 15:08:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,207	94¢	$3,955	0x6f376f…
11-04 14:34:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9,000	93¢	$8,370	0x07d530…
11-04 11:51:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	672	93¢	$625	0x705cb7…
11-04 11:51:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	503	93¢	$468	0xf9b0c9…
11-04 11:50:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	93¢	$930	0x92fb36…
11-04 11:50:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	93¢	$930	0xb09db3…
11-04 11:50:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	93¢	$930	0x76f09a…
11-04 11:50:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	93¢	$930	0x96fa4c…
11-04 11:50:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	93¢	$930	0xd867df…
11-04 11:48:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0xb02b54…
11-04 07:00:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,639	93¢	$5,244	0xe14222…
11-04 01:53:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x5efab8…
11-02 22:54:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11,000	92¢	$10,120	0xed8637…
11-02 06:41:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21,331	92¢	$19,625	0xe68c08…
11-02 06:41:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x5f459e…
11-02 01:56:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	162	93¢	$150	0x15f4c8…
11-01 20:31:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	77	93¢	$72	0xebb3ec…
11-01 19:49:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33,302	92¢	$30,638	0x8407cf…
11-01 18:30:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	538	93¢	$500	0xa66356…
11-01 18:28:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0x5d83ef…
11-01 16:00:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x85e729…
11-01 11:39:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xc3fada…
11-01 11:10:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0xe1d66e…
11-01 11:05:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x761159…
11-01 11:05:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x3b55f8…
11-01 11:05:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x2e8140…
11-01 11:05:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15,544	92¢	$14,301	0xd9fb8f…
11-01 10:46:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	93¢	$558	0x8d5950…
11-01 10:42:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x807162…
11-01 08:24:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x5fd61d…
11-01 07:39:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x6489cc…
11-01 07:39:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$18	0xfef26e…
11-01 07:39:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xef2e20…
11-01 07:39:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xdf396c…
11-01 07:39:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xafc7c5…
11-01 07:39:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x84416f…
11-01 07:39:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x527449…
11-01 07:39:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x41bb36…
11-01 07:39:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x3cdb12…
11-01 07:39:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x15bbc5…
11-01 07:39:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x83809d…
10-30 22:05:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0x72c523…
10-30 21:47:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,045	93¢	$972	0x584658…
10-30 21:14:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	194	93¢	$180	0x5c236b…
10-30 20:08:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	215	93¢	$200	0x69d55d…
10-30 16:47:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	93¢	$58	0x038bf0…
10-30 10:13:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	92¢	$4,600	0x8d6302…
10-30 09:47:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	92¢	$4,600	0x451d72…
10-30 08:53:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	93¢	$17	0x2418f4…
10-30 08:39:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0xe6e90c…
10-30 08:03:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	125	93¢	$116	0xba0e8e…
10-30 02:58:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	102	93¢	$95	0x05d263…
10-30 02:54:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7,517	93¢	$6,991	0xf7a71c…
10-29 23:52:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	93¢	$930	0x7c6b67…
10-29 22:58:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0xfbf66e…
10-29 22:26:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	93¢	$279	0x1d425d…
10-29 20:10:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6,600	92¢	$6,072	0xf9275f…
10-29 17:51:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	694	93¢	$646	0xc3d0fa…
10-29 17:47:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	544	93¢	$506	0xefe8b3…
10-29 16:40:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,079	93¢	$1,003	0x6adb19…
10-29 16:37:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,029	93¢	$957	0x4d29ca…
10-29 10:45:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,900	93¢	$1,767	0x84c108…
10-29 07:59:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xaf23bf…
10-29 05:16:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	132	94¢	$124	0x027519…
10-29 04:34:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x85a061…
10-28 21:41:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19,000	93¢	$17,670	0xcd80f6…
10-28 21:33:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xb5576e…
10-28 21:12:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x18357e…
10-28 01:34:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x7333ae…
10-28 01:09:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xc6498d…
10-28 00:35:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x2c4c20…
10-27 19:24:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x8a79bf…
10-27 18:51:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0xc55fa5…
10-27 18:51:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20,000	93¢	$18,600	0xa3bbff…
10-27 16:13:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xa37501…
10-27 15:47:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x7a3f73…
10-27 15:17:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0x404d68…
10-27 15:16:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x53bd90…
10-27 10:14:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,298	93¢	$4,927	0x3c8afa…
10-27 10:05:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	214	93¢	$199	0xcd8054…
10-27 07:39:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,330	93¢	$2,167	0x863ea6…
10-27 02:40:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x414d7c…
10-22 03:30:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	188,746	93¢	$175,534	0x04a76f…
10-22 03:19:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56,989	93¢	$53,000	0x57f104…
10-20 05:13:36	Will Solana dip to $100 in October?	No	SELL	933	32¢	$300	0x6b7fa4…
10-20 05:11:48	Will Solana dip to $100 in October?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x212496…
10-20 05:11:47	Will Solana dip to $100 in October?	No	SELL	2,183	34¢	$745	0x6de669…
10-20 04:46:51	Will Solana dip to $100 in October?	No	SELL	1,244	36¢	$448	0xf1a2a0…
10-20 04:46:09	Will Solana dip to $100 in October?	No	SELL	627	37¢	$232	0x051df9…
10-20 03:06:26	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	1,926	78¢	$1,500	0x908ac3…
10-20 03:05:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	SELL	1,891	98¢	$1,850	0x7c8ce6…
10-19 20:40:36	Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	1,399	3¢	$36	0x33fcd8…
10-19 20:39:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xd6e86d…