Realized P&L
-$136
Unrealized P&L
-$55
Hit rate
4.4%
Resolved
38
Trades
1,955
lifetime
Volume
$115.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$65.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 11:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
50% 0% -$106
Politics
34% — —
Sports
13% 65% -$30
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +15,282 $11,921 82¢ $12.5K +$572 10-20 00:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +11,540 $11,179 98¢ $11.3K +$171 10-10 07:30
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11,163 $10,629 95¢ $10.6K +$21 10-18 22:05
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +8,285 $7,958 96¢ $8.0K +$25 10-19 20:03
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +6,405 $5,736 88¢ $5.7K -$68 10-10 15:14
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +3,918 $3,691 96¢ $3.8K +$64 10-18 17:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +15,282 $3,402 18¢ $2.8K -$613 10-19 04:09
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +2,532 $2,422 97¢ $2.5K +$38 08-19 22:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,375 $2,033 84¢ $2.0K -$48 09-10 06:20
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +926 $902 99¢ $920 +$19 08-20 07:54
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +967 $861 90¢ $868 +$7 09-15 14:51
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6,405 $647 12¢ $737 +$90 10-06 19:54
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +637 $622 97¢ $618 -$4 08-21 06:13
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +11,163 $527 5¢ $513 -$14 10-19 10:03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +518 $502 97¢ $502 $0 10-20 11:44
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,375 $345 16¢ $391 +$45 09-10 22:51
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +395 $345 90¢ $358 +$13 08-23 11:37
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +8,285 $328 4¢ $302 -$25 10-18 09:39
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +321 $283 90¢ $290 +$7 10-15 17:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +238 $228 99¢ $236 +$8 09-29 16:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +11,540 $367 2¢ $190 -$176 10-06 21:21
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +3,918 $248 4¢ $163 -$86 10-19 11:36
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +121 $112 98¢ $119 +$7 08-29 06:55
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +967 $105 10¢ $99 -$6 09-26 04:23
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,532 $128 3¢ $72 -$56 08-20 07:01
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +395 $58 10¢ $38 -$21 08-30 05:41
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +321 $34 10¢ $30 -$3 10-17 06:07
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +637 $16 3¢ $19 +$3 08-18 09:24
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +518 $17 3¢ $16 -$1 10-18 02:15
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +926 $26 1¢ $6 -$20 08-18 23:37