Elaborate-Request — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

28.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$61

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-25 10:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

52% 40% $0

Crypto

37% 100% +$0

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+57	$57	100¢	$57	$0	10-25 10:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+2	$2	96¢	$2	+$0	10-25 10:09
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$1	10-25 10:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$154	78	78	+0	open	—	08-25 14:10
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$136	68	68	+0	No	$0	03-14 10:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$136	68	68	+0	No	$0	03-14 10:22
will jean michel ghiotto be the next mayor of toulon	2	$132	66	66	+0	No	$0	03-14 10:13
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$116	60	58	+2	open	—	10-25 10:09
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$116	58	58	+0	No	$0	02-12 02:01
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$115	58	58	+0	No	$0	02-12 02:00
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$114	57	57	+0	No	+$0	01-19 08:23
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	2	$79	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	03-14 10:14
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$67	0	68	-68	open	—	05-20 04:14
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$67	67	0	+67	No	+$0	03-14 10:25
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	02-12 02:02
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$57	57	0	+57	open	—	10-25 10:09
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	08-25 14:11
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-20 04:19
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	07-06 03:45
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-20 04:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-20 04:15
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-20 04:16
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 04:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-25 10:09
atp friend geerts 2026 08 25	1	$1	1	0	+1	Jay Dylan Friend	+$0	08-25 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 10:09:56	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x10e605…
10-25 10:09:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9f6154…
10-25 10:09:05	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x5eb7c3…
09-01 13:13:16	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x163c89…
08-25 14:11:30	atp friend geerts 2026 08 25	Jay Dylan Friend	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4f79ed…
08-25 14:11:01	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x904aca…
08-25 14:10:34	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0xcc37ba…
07-06 03:47:23	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf4a7a5…
07-06 03:46:58	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xa9ca19…
07-06 03:45:59	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x96ab5b…
06-24 23:28:28	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x367d4b…
06-17 05:54:02	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4b2169…
05-20 04:19:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7a7ddd…
05-20 04:18:48	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa2ded9…
05-20 04:18:27	Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5fcbb9…
05-20 04:17:45	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4ed94f…
05-20 04:16:54	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x927708…
05-20 04:15:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xeb17ae…
05-20 04:14:34	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x00e249…
03-14 10:25:11	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x0e5eb3…
03-14 10:22:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x57eb18…
03-14 10:21:49	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x0c8450…
03-14 10:20:13	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xf418b8…
03-14 10:17:15	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xdd5ef6…
03-14 10:14:59	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x3906dd…
03-14 10:14:49	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x126a92…
03-14 10:13:49	will jean michel ghiotto be the next mayor of toulon	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xe7e37b…
03-14 10:13:41	will jean michel ghiotto be the next mayor of toulon	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x2ee392…
02-12 02:02:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x2db74f…
02-12 02:01:45	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x9d4a10…
02-12 02:01:35	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xeceed3…
02-12 02:00:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x95a10b…
02-12 02:00:01	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0xe46299…
01-19 08:23:08	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x8b0618…
01-10 09:52:54	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x77d47a…