Appropriate-Mask — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

180

Trades

238

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 09-28 04:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Crypto

36% 89% +$0

Sports

28% 22% -$8

Other

23% 67% +$3

Politics

13% 70% +$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$605	303	303	+0	No	$0	02-13 03:22
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$459	230	230	+0	No	$0	02-10 09:38
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$423	212	212	+0	No	$0	01-15 06:32
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$423	212	212	+0	No	$0	03-19 10:39
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$421	211	211	+0	No	$0	03-18 09:06
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?	2	$298	150	150	+0	No	$0	05-20 05:28
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$298	149	149	+0	No	$0	05-19 07:56
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	2	$298	150	150	+0	No	$0	05-20 04:04
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$290	146	146	+0	open	—	05-16 11:57
Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$282	141	141	+0	No	$0	05-23 04:07
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$278	140	140	+0	open	—	05-27 04:11
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$276	139	139	+0	open	—	05-27 06:05
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$274	137	137	+0	No	$0	05-24 06:19
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$274	137	137	+0	No	$0	05-18 08:10
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$272	137	137	+0	No	$0	05-26 08:43
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$264	133	133	+0	open	—	05-14 04:14
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$254	127	127	+0	No	$0	05-11 06:53
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$247	124	124	+0	No	$0	03-12 03:48
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	05-28 04:18
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$236	118	118	+0	No	$0	01-18 08:05
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?	2	$212	106	106	+0	No	$0	01-14 12:04
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$212	106	106	+0	No	$0	01-15 07:25
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	2	$211	106	106	+0	No	$0	04-12 04:57
Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$211	106	106	+0	No	$0	04-11 09:24
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$204	102	102	+0	No	$0	01-24 05:47
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$202	101	101	+0	No	$0	01-26 03:56
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$202	101	101	+0	No	+$0	01-27 05:53
Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	$0	04-25 03:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	2	$201	100	100	+0	No	$0	04-26 04:07
Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	$0	04-21 08:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 04:13:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x8e48ba…
09-28 04:13:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd21669…
08-11 07:54:15	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x2c87f0…
07-17 09:21:31	will open dip to 3 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0xe14a90…
07-17 09:20:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xd0b548…
06-30 08:18:41	will tsla dip to 345 in june 2026	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xe9aeab…
06-05 12:05:36	will ng reach 3 90 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0x90abf7…
06-01 10:23:43	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Kansas City Royals	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xfa0133…
05-31 04:20:24	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x14cac2…
05-30 11:24:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x7f0007…
05-30 11:21:22	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x65fde8…
05-30 11:04:46	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xe64b1d…
05-30 11:02:42	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x27a968…
05-30 10:43:15	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x7bb8b7…
05-30 10:39:34	Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2	Natus Vincere	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb396c3…
05-30 10:35:40	Will OpenAI have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3ea483…
05-30 10:33:44	Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xee0c17…
05-29 10:20:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x2a63d4…
05-29 10:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on May 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7d486f…
05-28 04:27:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0xd92557…
05-28 04:24:27	Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	GLYPH	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xd8e055…
05-28 04:18:44	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0xba497b…
05-28 04:03:13	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0xb3f51a…
05-28 04:00:59	Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Faria	Jaime Faria	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x757817…
05-28 03:54:58	Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xeb4b13…
05-27 06:14:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x09b2e1…
05-27 06:11:20	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	magic	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x178854…
05-27 06:05:16	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	139	99¢	$138	0x433c41…
05-27 04:13:37	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	139	99¢	$138	0x67313b…
05-27 04:11:26	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0xe229b2…
05-27 03:51:11	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x7a77ee…
05-26 08:56:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x226233…
05-26 08:46:23	Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkova	Victoria Mboko	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x9f3374…
05-26 08:43:04	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0x54223a…
05-26 07:05:33	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0xd021cf…
05-24 06:23:44	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x8621a8…
05-24 06:19:47	Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x5767d5…
05-24 05:55:33	Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xf1c6a1…
05-24 05:53:01	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins	New York Mets	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6702fa…
05-23 04:10:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xcaec02…
05-23 04:07:56	Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x0edbef…
05-23 03:51:26	Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x3cf6c1…
05-23 03:47:19	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x3b09d7…
05-22 10:24:51	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x009cdf…
05-21 12:28:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x6c5930…
05-20 05:40:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$142	0x8956ee…
05-20 05:36:54	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xea8ef8…
05-20 05:28:43	Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0x720d10…
05-20 04:06:28	Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xfbdcca…
05-20 04:04:50	Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0x46680a…
05-20 03:47:27	Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xf2c48c…
05-19 08:02:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa7a3f5…
05-19 07:56:57	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0xe5f6f5…
05-19 07:40:09	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0xc362e4…
05-19 07:37:07	Istanbul: Lucas Poullain vs Mili Poljicak	Lucas Poullain	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x19d2b8…
05-18 08:13:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xd7748b…
05-18 08:10:02	Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0xe0f6e5…
05-18 07:45:54	Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x01731a…
05-18 07:39:47	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x2e02d6…
05-16 12:01:17	Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x4d2c52…
05-16 11:57:35	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0x6a143b…
05-16 11:30:06	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0xcaeaaa…
05-15 03:45:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0xff5ebc…
05-14 04:17:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x38161a…
05-14 04:14:09	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	133	99¢	$132	0xb06e0d…
05-14 03:55:52	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0xeb8b4f…
05-14 03:50:33	Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xd15048…
05-13 09:50:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x3068db…
05-12 04:29:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x9d2fff…
05-11 06:57:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xdf5d5e…
05-11 06:53:58	Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x84848c…
05-11 06:38:20	Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x9894d9…
05-11 06:34:08	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Legacy	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0xd0a5d5…
05-10 12:24:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xa2be81…
05-10 12:19:21	Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xe239cb…
05-09 04:00:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x615802…
05-09 03:56:32	Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x94e9e2…
05-09 03:40:35	Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3d3a41…
05-09 03:37:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Corentin Moutet	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0xd466d7…
05-08 03:39:07	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x7e1692…
05-07 08:54:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x33d0a8…
05-07 08:51:37	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0xc9689a…
05-07 08:36:12	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0xa17f5d…
05-07 08:33:03	Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0x568506…
05-06 12:14:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x9bcf93…
05-06 12:11:06	Will Ons Jabeur win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x05dc73…
05-06 11:52:16	Will Ons Jabeur win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x40096f…
05-06 11:48:44	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x5cbf07…
05-05 08:17:38	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x9cd5d6…
05-04 12:27:02	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 4?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x9e15c2…
05-03 10:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 4?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xaa362f…
05-01 09:56:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x264711…
04-30 07:26:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x487ebd…
04-29 06:05:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7cc0ce…
04-28 09:07:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x936d8d…
04-26 04:12:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0682aa…
04-26 04:07:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa33aa1…
04-26 03:52:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaf35f5…
04-25 04:02:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcc1b82…
04-25 03:57:52	Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0xb90a3c…