Noteworthy-Honor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.39K

Unrealized P&L

+$5.44K

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

178

Trades

382

lifetime

Volume

$73.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

$45.1K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-31 00:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Politics

72% 30% +$2,945

Sports

18% 62% +$211

Other

10% 41% -$1,763

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+30,997	$17,689	70¢	$21.9K	+$4,164	10-21 16:34
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+12,173	$7,972	74¢	$8.9K	+$975	10-31 00:23
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	+7,000	$4,900	74¢	$5.1K	+$245	10-27 15:23
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+19,167	$5,610	26¢	$5.1K	-$531	10-20 02:51
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3,069	$1,302	44¢	$1.4K	+$64	10-15 04:44
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+2,500	$990	48¢	$1.2K	+$222	10-29 04:39
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$600	70¢	$695	+$95	10-15 04:47
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+500	$190	52¢	$258	+$68	10-19 03:12
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+1,000	$170	15¢	$145	-$25	10-20 02:59
Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	+200	$92	64¢	$129	+$37	10-13 05:34
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+400	$112	26¢	$106	-$6	10-29 04:22
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-1,000	-$49	5¢	$-50	-$1	08-31 02:37
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-862	-$181	6¢	$-47	+$134	05-10 15:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-41	-$38	94¢	$-38	$0	10-13 06:02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	+50	$12	26¢	$13	+$2	10-21 16:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	14	$17.7K	30,997	0	+30,997	open	—	10-21 16:34
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	13	$8.0K	12,173	0	+12,173	open	—	10-31 00:23
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	6	$5.6K	19,167	0	+19,167	open	—	10-20 02:51
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	1	$4.9K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	10-27 15:23
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	48	$2.9K	5,161	0	+5,161	open	—	10-31 00:22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$2.4K	4,500	4,500	+0	No	-$1,449	04-12 17:30
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,450	1,450	+0	open	—	10-27 15:17
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-27 15:05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-27 15:06
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	4	$1.3K	3,069	0	+3,069	open	—	10-15 04:44
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	14	$1.1K	2,236	2,236	+0	open	—	10-28 21:17
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	3	$990	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	10-29 04:39
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	5	$977	1,392	0	+1,392	No	+$414	01-23 23:32
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	5	$880	500	500	+0	open	—	10-27 15:07
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	1	$600	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-15 04:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$395	500	0	+500	No	+$105	01-14 04:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$360	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$1,640	02-14 06:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$290	500	0	+500	Yes	-$290	01-14 04:50
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$290	432	0	+432	No	-$290	04-10 03:54
cfb miss fl 2026 09 26	1	$248	400	0	+400	Florida	+$152	09-26 15:51
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$242	400	0	+400	No	+$158	01-15 07:07
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$225	500	0	+500	Yes	+$275	02-15 04:14
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	2	$223	121	121	+0	open	—	10-27 15:09
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$206	1,150	0	+1,150	No	-$206	02-07 05:51
mlb mia sd 2026 09 19 spread home 2pt5	1	$200	279	0	+279	Miami Marlins	+$79	09-19 16:51
mlb wsh stl 2026 09 19 total 9pt5	1	$200	339	0	+339	Over	-$200	09-19 16:49
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets	1	$200	370	0	+370	New York Mets	+$170	09-19 16:41
mlb nyy ari 2026 09 19 spread away 2pt5	1	$200	294	0	+294	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$94	09-19 16:50
mlb chc cin 2026 09 19 spread away 2pt5	1	$200	303	0	+303	Chicago Cubs	-$200	09-19 16:46
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	1	$190	500	0	+500	open	—	10-19 03:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 00:23:42	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	71¢	$1,420	0xae0dd1…
10-31 00:22:01	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0xf98621…
10-31 00:21:48	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0x6df3a0…
10-31 00:21:34	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0x4ba0e1…
10-29 04:39:38	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	39¢	$390	0x09d925…
10-29 04:26:56	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x8a4e56…
10-29 04:26:20	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x2a3a7c…
10-29 04:22:13	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	28¢	$112	0x232d44…
10-28 21:18:01	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	280	56¢	$157	0x34f8d7…
10-28 21:17:32	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Yes	SELL	2,236	11¢	$246	0x9d5c19…
10-28 21:16:50	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,500	68¢	$2,380	0x61d618…
10-28 21:14:08	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	400	56¢	$224	0x0e2ba6…
10-28 14:32:49	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xe75ea8…
10-28 14:29:49	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	2,000	55¢	$1,100	0xcc1349…
10-28 14:27:53	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	188	54¢	$101	0x29b083…
10-28 14:27:43	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0x3151f5…
10-28 12:21:43	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x7a472a…
10-28 12:21:43	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x6d0534…
10-28 12:21:43	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	170	54¢	$92	0x558c25…
10-28 12:21:43	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x27b1e3…
10-28 11:40:35	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x006a7f…
10-27 21:28:56	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x31b470…
10-27 21:27:20	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x6bf153…
10-27 21:23:39	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x944042…
10-27 21:07:20	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0xc2d778…
10-27 21:05:54	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0xb5e90a…
10-27 20:56:23	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x48348f…
10-27 20:52:11	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7d4dd0…
10-27 20:50:59	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$21	0xea0d13…
10-27 20:42:50	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xf267f6…
10-27 20:35:32	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xead015…
10-27 20:35:05	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0x9c94d0…
10-27 20:34:05	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xd77ebd…
10-27 20:31:24	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa4d658…
10-27 20:07:54	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$21	0x9473b0…
10-27 19:59:56	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xf6f01d…
10-27 19:46:06	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xb77daf…
10-27 19:20:35	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0xf0e44a…
10-27 18:10:47	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0x578eea…
10-27 18:08:41	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4a58d4…
10-27 18:05:41	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0x22b933…
10-27 17:53:06	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x0a0a6b…
10-27 17:52:42	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x44566e…
10-27 17:40:29	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf493d4…
10-27 17:38:21	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x90f3ac…
10-27 17:25:15	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x29d04a…
10-27 17:19:15	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x8693a0…
10-27 17:13:41	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb65fee…
10-27 17:13:17	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x066a60…
10-27 17:13:12	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x686838…
10-27 16:14:32	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x3b572b…
10-27 15:53:20	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xfbcbdf…
10-27 15:52:41	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0xc4a5ed…
10-27 15:23:29	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	7,000	70¢	$4,900	0x60742c…
10-27 15:17:42	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,450	74¢	$1,071	0xa5b3ea…
10-27 15:11:27	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0xcdf85e…
10-27 15:09:29	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	95¢	$115	0x44325a…
10-27 15:07:32	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	91¢	$455	0x220cc3…
10-27 15:06:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	1,000	87¢	$870	0x129127…
10-27 15:05:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?	No	SELL	1,000	88¢	$876	0x51fb30…
10-21 16:45:24	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xd69827…
10-21 16:43:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0x49ca4c…
10-21 16:40:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x98f2a7…
10-21 16:36:39	Spread: New Mexico State (-5.5)	Sam Houston	BUY	250	61¢	$152	0x0d4b54…
10-21 16:34:15	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5,000	65¢	$3,250	0x384172…
10-20 03:04:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	10,000	63¢	$6,300	0xdda1bb…
10-20 03:01:41	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0x909cf5…
10-20 02:59:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0xdbe25e…
10-20 02:53:53	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0xff8b6b…
10-20 02:51:20	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,667	30¢	$2,000	0x94f5ce…
10-20 02:49:27	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,450	74¢	$1,073	0x8e9bad…
10-19 18:10:08	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0xd3620e…
10-19 03:13:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0x7bed80…
10-19 03:12:09	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0x09a3cd…
10-19 03:09:50	Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x903afb…
10-19 03:08:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	250	15¢	$38	0x1fbed5…
10-19 03:08:00	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x7d854c…
10-19 03:02:35	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0xc8d844…
10-19 03:00:11	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	40¢	$400	0xfd491a…
10-18 03:54:14	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x80b2be…
10-17 16:52:17	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2,000	63¢	$1,260	0xcddeb4…
10-17 16:33:45	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	29¢	$2,900	0x6945dd…
10-16 21:33:20	Spread: Purdue (-6.5)	Washington	BUY	108	61¢	$66	0x0f2904…
10-16 21:07:02	Spread: Purdue (-6.5)	Washington	BUY	142	61¢	$87	0x8b0f9a…
10-15 14:20:05	Spread: Memphis (-10.5)	Tulane	BUY	250	61¢	$152	0x4acd34…
10-15 04:47:14	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0x200406…
10-15 04:45:23	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0x3a3432…
10-15 04:44:10	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	42¢	$420	0xa5d676…
10-15 04:41:05	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	62¢	$620	0xea210e…
10-15 04:39:17	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0x43db71…
10-14 14:27:42	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x75e1a4…
10-14 04:42:07	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	42¢	$420	0xab43d0…
10-13 21:15:01	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0xbbc302…
10-13 17:04:31	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	996	28¢	$279	0x1958ac…
10-13 17:03:34	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1797cd…
10-13 06:02:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	41	94¢	$38	0x691f1b…
10-13 05:40:03	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	29¢	$290	0x415b72…
10-13 05:38:22	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	43¢	$430	0x66b8b0…
10-13 05:34:45	Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0xe77faf…
10-13 05:29:38	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	62¢	$620	0x30fe29…