Frivolous-Transition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

1,966

Trades

2,013

lifetime

Volume

$9.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 207 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% -$2

Sports

17% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 96% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	3	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:36
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-10 10:41
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:48
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:31
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:01
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	03-23 13:58
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0af86a…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6e376…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1f8ce4…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2edc44…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc7474…
10-20 18:42:41	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a59d3…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb5d5d…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x19e198…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b6b3a…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x08d68a…
10-13 20:58:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5db702…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1cb3cf…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0efce4…
10-12 09:04:30	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x812ec5…
10-11 20:16:10	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5dc3e…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d8c3a…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd226a9…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x187ecd…
10-09 02:09:54	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x398a27…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x629b97…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d193b…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f62b0…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf35e49…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09e806…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8a6ba…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1ca7e…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x136500…
09-30 23:54:53	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcbb054…
09-30 01:58:18	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5c09d…
09-29 13:58:56	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51e228…
09-29 13:20:14	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c9289…
09-29 06:38:08	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe9ecab…
09-28 21:01:39	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4af1c5…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47371b…
09-27 20:16:14	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd967b…
09-27 20:12:29	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8fb56…
09-27 13:30:42	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7a8959…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b146f…
09-27 01:58:20	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9effc9…
09-26 19:47:29	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbec028…
09-26 12:19:18	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84535f…
09-25 10:12:38	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf47562…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde9eea…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x372a5e…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5da9ef…
09-20 22:25:41	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91e89a…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcacb26…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf13aa4…
09-20 12:02:25	M15 Forbach: Manuel Frank vs Antoine Walch	Antoine Walch	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b3fa0…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9251fb…
09-20 01:26:40	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf72225…
09-19 20:30:14	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84d2b3…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x581a78…
09-17 17:27:07	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf893eb…
09-17 16:02:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2c849…
09-17 14:00:54	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0e218…
09-17 00:30:46	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x454202…
09-16 12:24:46	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d9878…
09-16 06:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x10d4a8…
09-16 01:10:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3c86b…
09-15 17:50:30	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x734574…
09-15 12:58:34	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3e0e2…
09-13 20:41:51	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f654f…
09-13 14:59:07	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x484f34…
09-13 07:36:42	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ef59b…
09-13 02:51:25	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf2b52d…
09-12 22:17:33	atp wild dodig 2026 09 12	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x67c60d…
09-12 18:46:13	Noche UFC: JJ Aldrich vs. Regina Tarin (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Regina Tarin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c393c…
09-11 20:32:57	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5dcde…
09-11 10:50:06	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c72f1…
09-11 02:58:28	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd09ac3…
09-10 18:48:21	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ef4ad…
09-10 18:37:37	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x135f04…
09-10 17:31:49	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6ea61…
09-10 01:18:22	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x473dc9…
09-09 22:45:57	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c6146…
09-09 18:51:13	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8236d2…
09-08 23:11:40	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc481f2…
09-08 05:01:42	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b813e…
09-07 21:25:49	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Elena Rybakina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05266f…
09-07 19:01:00	Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Blockx	Blockx	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda661e…
09-07 18:56:52	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdefa2f…
09-07 18:03:37	Will FK Liepaja win on 2026-09-07?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d3900…
09-04 13:06:22	Will Arema FC win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x13e70f…
09-04 04:29:42	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf5dc3…
09-03 10:12:52	itf jadou popovi 2026 09 03	Stevan Popovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6132c0…
09-03 07:44:42	cs2 fly kg 2026 09 03	FlyQuest	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x78f266…
09-02 18:38:24	Will AEK vs. OFI end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x985db1…
09-02 18:30:03	Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x88274e…
09-02 16:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x89a15c…
09-02 16:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc056d2…
09-02 14:00:39	W50 Leiria: Hannah Klugman vs Anna-Lena Friedsam	Hannah Klugman	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e6b92…
09-02 13:41:37	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz	KT Wiz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x74734f…
09-02 11:10:49	itf paque strakho 2026 09 02	Valeriya Strakhova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f7dce…
09-01 14:41:39	Como: Raul Brancaccio vs Duje Ajdukovic	Duje Ajdukovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a9bf3…
09-01 04:02:43	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf197ad…
09-01 04:02:43	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdac921…
09-01 04:02:43	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x627cb5…
08-31 13:22:34	China vs. Lebanon	China	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x877313…
08-31 04:00:30	Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcaac39…