Realized P&L
-$286
Unrealized P&L
-$396
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved
35
Trades
4,220
lifetime
Volume
$163.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$3.06K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 07-01 18:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
41% 67% +$30
Sports
38% 53% $-316
Crypto
15%
Tech
6%
Politics
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1,588 $638 49¢ $778 +$140 06-28 21:39
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +908 $630 72¢ $649 +$19 07-01 17:07
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +898 $495 51¢ $458 $-37 06-16 14:46
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +748 $374 54¢ $404 +$30 06-18 13:50
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -1,000 $-311 24¢ $-235 +$76 06-30 08:53
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +155 $115 68¢ $105 $-10 06-29 15:11
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +120 $37 56¢ $68 +$31 06-26 16:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -109 $-17 54¢ $-58 $-42 07-01 16:02
Discord IPO before 2027? No +108 $21 48¢ $52 +$31 06-15 11:38
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -211 $-34 24¢ $-52 $-18 06-06 11:46
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -60 $-23 74¢ $-45 $-22 06-30 09:36
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +71 $40 62¢ $44 +$3 06-26 10:27
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -89 $303 46¢ $-41 $-344 06-25 12:42
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +31 $18 52¢ $16 $-2 06-15 09:27
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -21 $-36 76¢ $-16 +$20 06-20 14:14
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $140 +65 $11 18¢ $12 +$1 06-24 18:20
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 06-27 13:10
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No +10 $10 92¢ $9 $-1 07-01 23:10
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +8 $-17 54¢ $4 +$21 06-18 17:20
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +4 $-9 76¢ $3 +$11 06-19 15:44
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +1 $9 10¢ $0 $-9 06-29 21:15
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 06-15 21:15
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +0 $-17 84¢ $0 +$17 06-23 05:18
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +0 $63 90¢ $0 $-63 05-30 11:24
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +0 $-25 46¢ $0 +$25 07-01 14:03
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +0 $281 26¢ $0 $-281 06-27 16:06
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +0 $-1 24¢ $0 +$1 06-19 15:24
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +0 $-5 16¢ $0 +$5 06-20 09:43