Realized P&L
-$286
Unrealized P&L
-$426
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved
35
Trades
4,379
lifetime
Volume
$170.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$1.93K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 07-22 08:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
39% 67% +$30
Sports
37% 53% $-316
Crypto
18%
Tech
6%
Politics
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +948 $324 64¢ $602 +$278 07-10 19:25
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +898 $495 36¢ $328 $-167 06-16 14:46
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +360 $233 65¢ $234 +$1 07-09 12:11
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -1,000 $-311 22¢ $-225 +$86 06-30 08:53
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +150 $112 64¢ $97 $-16 07-12 11:49
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -211 $-34 35¢ $-74 $-40 06-06 11:46
Discord IPO before 2027? No +108 $21 66¢ $72 +$51 06-15 11:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -109 $-17 58¢ $-64 $-47 07-01 16:02
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -77 $-35 80¢ $-62 $-27 07-02 19:37
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +57 $51 96¢ $55 +$3 07-09 17:21
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -89 $303 34¢ $-31 $-334 06-25 12:42
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +31 $21 78¢ $24 +$3 07-19 19:13
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $140 +65 $11 22¢ $14 +$3 06-24 18:20
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -21 $-36 65¢ $-13 +$23 06-20 14:14
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +39 $20 34¢ $13 $-7 07-22 08:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +318 $12 $12 $-0 07-21 21:40
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No +10 $10 90¢ $9 $-1 07-01 23:10
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +8 $6 40¢ $3 $-3 07-20 19:26
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +1 $23 10¢ $0 $-22 07-12 04:49
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +0 $23 52¢ $0 $-23 07-03 12:51
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +0 $-17 90¢ $0 +$17 06-23 05:18
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 06-15 21:15
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -0 $-1 55¢ $-0 +$1 07-11 18:23
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -0 $-12 80¢ $-0 +$12 07-03 12:51
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +0 $63 90¢ $0 $-63 05-30 11:24
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +0 $-122 86¢ $0 +$122 07-15 11:15
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +0 $-1 85¢ $0 +$1 07-15 14:11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +0 $281 20¢ $0 $-281 06-27 16:06
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +0 $-1 20¢ $0 +$1 06-19 15:24
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +0 $-5 $0 +$5 06-20 09:43