Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

167 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$4.30K lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$154

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-07 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

68% 50% +$118

Politics

21% 53% -$212

Sports

8% 57% +$145

Crypto

3% 100% +$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No		+155	$100	89¢	$138	+$38	11-07 00:39
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		+91	$40	18¢	$16	-$24	11-06 11:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	4	$335	233	233	+0	Yes	+$129	01-13 08:32
will silver si hit low 95 by end of february 137 363 345 839 282 643 945 788	6	$181	288	0	+288	Yes	+$107	01-30 17:17
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	12	$157	389	0	+389	No	-$157	03-14 00:59
si hit 80 high jan 2026 988 594 987	4	$125	221	0	+221	Yes	+$96	01-05 07:15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$120	338	0	+338	Yes	+$218	07-19 00:18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$112	241	0	+241	Yes	+$129	02-28 15:30
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	3	$100	153	0	+153	Yes	+$53	02-03 13:52
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	3	$100	155	0	+155	open	—	11-07 00:39
will google gemini 3 score at least 50 on the frontiermath benchmark	3	$90	164	0	+164	No	-$90	01-07 15:08
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	6	$86	340	0	+340	Yes	+$254	01-14 11:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$82	129	0	+129	Yes	+$47	03-04 12:32
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	2	$80	139	0	+139	No	-$80	01-03 17:32
will ethereum dip to 2200 in february 2026	2	$80	96	0	+96	Yes	+$16	02-02 02:17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$75	422	0	+422	No	-$75	07-06 03:17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	4	$75	155	155	+0	No	-$65	01-30 02:29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$71	81	0	+81	Yes	+$10	01-30 02:30
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 30 2026	1	$70	77	0	+77	Yes	+$7	01-30 02:14
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$70	91	0	+91	Japan	+$21	06-14 10:32
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$70	86	0	+86	Yes	+$16	06-14 00:33
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	3	$70	104	0	+104	England	-$70	07-18 07:16
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$65	205	0	+205	No	-$65	01-09 02:08
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	2	$60	128	0	+128	Yes	+$68	06-13 00:32
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 4pt5	2	$60	86	0	+86	Germany	-$60	06-14 10:30
si hit 90 high jan 2026 157 295 494	2	$60	90	0	+90	Yes	+$30	01-13 08:34
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	3	$60	79	0	+79	Australia	+$19	06-14 04:19
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$55	156	0	+156	No	-$55	01-14 13:33
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	3	$50	78	0	+78	Egypt	+$28	06-15 17:15
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	1	$50	79	0	+79	Yes	+$29	06-14 00:27
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	1	$50	62	0	+62	No	-$50	06-13 04:27
will silver si hit low 70 by end of february 712 779 958 335 231 549 229 331	1	$50	93	0	+93	No	-$50	02-03 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 00:39:39	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x6c8019…
11-06 13:29:25	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x3f5941…
11-06 11:20:09	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xf4b12a…
11-06 03:55:16	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x86aaba…
07-19 00:18:18	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xc69add…
07-19 00:18:00	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x9ee7bd…
07-19 00:11:27	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x1c4d8b…
07-18 07:21:36	France to score first vs. England?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xe5809d…
07-18 07:16:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xf1b324…
07-18 07:16:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x4da38c…
07-18 07:16:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x5deeed…
07-18 07:16:13	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xe15c8c…
07-18 07:15:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x789cd6…
07-18 07:15:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x878edc…
07-15 07:27:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xdb6f8e…
07-15 05:44:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x865f74…
07-06 03:17:14	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x38bb75…
07-06 03:16:22	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xe937e0…
06-17 04:02:40	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Jordan	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb0c11a…
06-17 00:06:19	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Algeria	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x4cca25…
06-17 00:06:17	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Algeria	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3c2542…
06-17 00:06:02	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Algeria	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x73f384…
06-17 00:05:02	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x0386d5…
06-16 17:35:37	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	Iraq	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xb5563e…
06-16 12:25:06	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	185	11¢	$20	0x6d33be…
06-16 12:24:10	Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc88415…
06-16 11:28:28	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x5d0755…
06-16 11:27:40	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x26f32e…
06-15 23:24:19	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xe3c51a…
06-15 23:23:52	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	New Zealand	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x83d0fb…
06-15 17:38:42	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0x231ba9…
06-15 17:15:46	Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	Egypt	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x5166e7…
06-15 17:00:19	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x723678…
06-15 16:59:39	Uruguay to score first vs. Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xb73707…
06-15 16:59:19	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 spread away 1pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xae6660…
06-15 16:59:16	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 spread away 1pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xdb189e…
06-15 16:58:48	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7b6398…
06-15 16:58:13	Belgium to score first vs. Egypt?	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xaeb7fd…
06-15 16:57:54	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x5bc001…
06-15 11:47:39	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xdbbe18…
06-15 08:03:54	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	185	16¢	$30	0x97a4dd…
06-15 05:11:09	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0xae4235…
06-15 05:03:39	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xa51ccb…
06-15 00:41:12	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x0c802a…
06-15 00:40:18	Spread: Sweden (-2.5)	Tunisia	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x99861c…
06-14 11:04:27	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Tunisia	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x9ba7b9…
06-14 11:02:57	Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xa85afd…
06-14 10:32:12	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Japan	BUY	91	77¢	$70	0xd0e0fa…
06-14 10:30:30	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 4pt5	Curaçao	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xac67f0…
06-14 10:30:12	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 4pt5	Curaçao	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0xc21f24…
06-14 04:55:10	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x06b435…
06-14 04:44:42	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x08b60f…
06-14 04:19:55	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Australia	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x1cd255…
06-14 04:16:16	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Australia	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x3ed9e1…
06-14 04:08:31	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Australia	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x1531d7…
06-14 04:08:22	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe4bd1a…
06-14 00:51:49	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x54d666…
06-14 00:44:00	Türkiye to score first vs. Australia?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x4fc281…
06-14 00:36:03	Scotland to score first vs. Haiti?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xfe79e5…
06-14 00:35:45	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Haiti	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0xffc049…
06-14 00:33:31	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf13860…
06-14 00:33:01	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x9db81b…
06-14 00:27:39	Scotland to score first vs. Haiti?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x08b847…
06-14 00:27:13	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x26b729…
06-13 04:31:09	Brazil to score first vs. Morocco?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x0e3df4…
06-13 04:30:55	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x9f1dfc…
06-13 04:28:06	Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar?	Yes	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x67511a…
06-13 04:27:52	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xbba543…
06-13 04:26:03	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xce5c13…
06-13 04:25:39	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x6b146e…
06-13 00:32:37	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xb05a69…
06-13 00:26:10	United States to score first vs. Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x2559fc…
06-13 00:25:45	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x26b780…
06-12 17:00:22	Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd5b0b9…
06-12 17:00:18	Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8fe1b8…
06-12 14:03:25	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x066f62…
06-12 13:57:22	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	186	16¢	$30	0x875250…
03-20 23:36:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x83eb5b…
03-15 02:10:27	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xbceeb4…
03-14 01:03:29	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	76	52¢	$40	0xd7f6a6…
03-14 00:59:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa417d8…
03-09 01:25:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x0cada2…
03-08 15:45:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x7952f6…
03-07 22:50:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x0d0e9e…
03-07 22:49:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x98485a…
03-07 22:49:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb93ec3…
03-06 22:00:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xbd473b…
03-06 22:00:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x1d3ff8…
03-05 22:03:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa596fd…
03-05 14:34:29	kristi noem out by march 31	Yes	BUY	98	31¢	$30	0xc25cbd…
03-05 13:42:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x0c989d…
03-05 07:56:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x9f0e2a…
03-05 07:56:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0x711dc5…
03-04 12:32:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0x0fb85d…
03-04 12:32:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x607051…
03-04 12:31:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa0f00a…
03-04 12:31:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2f3298…
03-02 22:20:27	will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	64	62¢	$40	0xcee8e9…
03-02 22:11:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xa40f39…
03-02 22:10:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xabfe84…